Eno Sarris Baseball Chat
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Vanimal
12:32
Are the Twins going to regret trading away Alex Meyer?
Eno Sarris
12:32
They should not have traded away a lotto ticket -- even one with a lower hit rate like Meyer -- to get from Nolasco to Santiago, no.
Choo Choo
12:32
I snagged Bruce off the wire in my dynasty league. Can I at least expect a good 1st half next year?
Eno Sarris
12:33
He's still useful in most leagues, just sorta a tick above replacement. Especially with HR increase.
Tommy Lasagna
12:33
Andrew Toles looks like a very good player. Can he keep hitting .300+ and has he worked his way into ABs v Rs next season for LA?
Eno Sarris
12:34
The question is what his true talent power is. If it's a .124 ISO as projections have it, eh. But he's hit for more power with the Dodgers in his comeback, and if he can hit for league average power, he'll be useful and a regular.
jayster7
12:34
Osuna blew a save a few weeks ago where he threw two straight change-ups to the same hitter, the 2nd of which was hit out of the park (and this was on a night he was blowing his fastball by guys). Maybe that experience has led Martin/Osuna to think it's better to get beat with your good stuff.
Eno Sarris
12:34
Very interesting!
12:35
Martin is an intriguing game caller. When I looked into the ten straight breaking balls Texas threw Brett Lawrie, he said Martin had done that to him before.
Erik
12:35
The only thing Bryce Harper was truly elite at this year was his walk rate, which leads all qualified batters. Will that fall off hard next year, when pitchers stop pitching him like an MVP? Or does that respect linger for more than a season? If the walk rate collapses and all else stays equal, we could be looking at a 2-2.5 WAR Bryce Harper.
Eno Sarris
12:36
He's been hurt all year, I'm convinced by the underlying numbers. I think he'll be good next year, star-level. And a fantasy value.
natsfan
12:36
We are well into Oktoberfest. Almost at the end actually. What are your favorites?
Eno Sarris
12:36
Firestone Walker Oaktoberfest and Sierra Nevada Oktoberfest.
Erik
12:36
Which is more common: teams thinking they can compete before their window is actually open, or teams thinking they can compete after their window has closed? Which is more damaging?
Eno Sarris
12:37
Definitely the second happens more often because the front office is trying to keep their job. I don't actually think the first is too damaging, because what does it mean? You went and bought a free agent too soon? He'll be around when you're good again.
2-D
12:37
Are there fads with pitches? Seems like sinkers were all the rage awhile back and now the cutter came along to counter the sinker. Watching lefties swing over the top of inside cutters who were probably anticipating sinker made me think of this.
Eno Sarris
12:38
For sure. Splitters were the rage at one point. Heck, if you go all the way back, the slider was a revelation.
Rusty
12:38
Who are 3 guys you figured would take a step forward this year, but have disappointed? 3 surprises you believe can now hold their gains?
Eno Sarris
12:38
That's a bit much for a chat. I thought Marcell Ozuna's breakout would look better than this. I do think Jake Lamb can hold this level.
The Cincinnati Kid
12:38
Do you trust Stroman today?
12:39
Do you trust Quintana today?
Eno Sarris
12:39
yes yes
The Decedent Moose
12:39
Please expound upon your spin rate/deception theory. You said it's about pitch sequence? Or dependent/effective on the pitch before and after? I'm confused and you have a platform with more than 140 characters.
Eno Sarris
12:40
We say that spin rate is a thing that we must report breathlessly, but spin plus arm slot plus velocity equals movement, and we always had movement and velocity numbers. So I think spin is actually an interactive stat. Throw a high spin curveball and then a high spin fourseamer, and the batter can't tell the difference and is more likely to do something -- swing, not swing, whiff. So high spin changeups are supposed to be bad, but Tyler Clippard and Marco Estrada throw high spin changeups (with high spin fastballs) and are really good. And I bet there are guys that throw almost everything low spin and are hard to pick up. Andrew Heaney? Without checking.
The Cincinnati Kid
12:41
Jake Lamb and/or Ryon Healy in 10-team Keeper League? (Both can be kept in Rd 10.) Would you keep both, either, or neither?
Eno Sarris
12:42
Damn ten teamers are so tough. I love both of them. I think Healy can hit .280 with 20+ next year, and Lamb can hit .250+ with 25-30 home runs next year. Are either of those top ten numbers at third?? More likely Lamb is.
Toki
12:43
If Lester throws a complete game shutout with 10k's to get his 20th win for his finale start of the year does that give him the Cy Young?
Eno Sarris
12:43
Maybe but I love love what Scherzer did this year.
Robert the Bruce
12:43
True or false: the playoffs determine the best team in baseball. True or false: There is a better option that the current playoff structure
Eno Sarris
12:44
False, that's the regular season. True: the wild card probably shouldn't be one game.
Let's pick it up a bit. Kid's home sick so you never know when I'll have to run.
Benbadatroto
12:44
Eno, is there any chance of an Otani posting this year? Like even a 5% chance?
Eno Sarris
12:45
If by this year, you mean after this season, then maybe a bit higher actually. He almost came to America before he signed with the NPB, he wasn't even talking to a Japanese team before the draft at one point. 30-40% after the 2017 season I'd say.
2-D
12:46
Someone brought up finger length for pitchers here last week, but what about flexibility? Is there any emphasis on that and are guys still sleeping with racquetballs in their fingers to help the splitter?
Eno Sarris
12:46
For splitters in particular, flexibility is the bar you have to cross to throw the pitch at all. Lance McCullers had a softball he was going to use to stretch out his fingers, so yeah, people still doing that sort of thing.
Robert the Bruce
12:47
In general, would you rather have prospects #s 1-3 on your teams, or #s 4-10?
Eno Sarris
12:47
1-3. At the top, quality. At the bottom, quantity.
Robbie
12:48
I didn't think advanced stats had gone too far until you used BACON and meant it....
Eno Sarris
12:48
batting average on contact tastes so yummy
Joe, Esq.
12:48
Am I the only one who wants this doomsday 5 way tie for the AL WC to happen? I want to watch the world burn.
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