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Eno Sarris Baseball Chat
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Eno Sarris
12:18
Eventually he'll sign. And then, if he doesn't impress, we'll have a bunch of depressed pieces. And if he does impress in both things, he'll be like Mike Trout plus Corey Kluber rolled into one so you'll have all the content you'll ever need.
Bill
12:18
On a recent Effectively Wild, Tony Blengino talked about how the big/bold/visionary thing to do with Ohtani is to make him a SP/RF. Our hosts seemed a bit taken aback. Have we settled too quickly into the assumption that Ohtani won't play outfield? Do you think there are GMs out there who are making a moonshot pitch for a true two-way Ohtani?
Eno Sarris
12:18
Every NL team is putting him in the outfield. He has 80 speed, he can play there. The question is, what can a body handle?
Stumped in Texas
12:19
must admit--De Lux track is pretty hip
Eno Sarris
12:19
Chim Richolds
12:20
I've come across a handful of pitchers during my fantasy prep who have approximately constant 4-seam velo, but declining sinker velo but increasing usage of the sinker. JA Happ is an illustrative example, but there are more. Is this pattern a result of aging, strategy, or something else? What do I take away from such a divergence? What's the next step in that analysis?
Eno Sarris
12:21
I think that might be a 'can't be a terrible sign' thing. The study that showed that not throwing at your maximum is healthier is probably winding its way through the league.
Big Joey
12:21
Keep-forever, 7x7 (OBP/SLG/L/Hld are the extra categories) I'm keeping Judge, G Sanchez, Lindor, Hoskins and Bellinger already...and need to decide between Miggy and Conforto as my last keeper. FYI if I take Miggy he will be my UTIL spot.
Eno Sarris
12:21
Here I take Conforto. Miggy, back, age... it didn't look good.
Hooha
12:22
would you rather grab 5 cat offensive pieces early or get a stud starter to anchor your staff?
Eno Sarris
12:22
I'm moving my stud starter up slowly in drafts but not into the first round because I'm a fuddy duddy. But second, third round... way higher than I ever did before... I'm considering again.
Andrew
12:24
Dave Cameron's article about how the Cardinals should be favoring Josh Donaldson over Giancarlo Stanton got me looking into their stats and projected stats.  It seemed projections had Stanton fairing somewhat poorly in the coming years despite him being younger than Donaldson. Are there solid reasons I'm missing for these projections?
Eno Sarris
12:24
Mostly just defensive value. Stanton projected to be a better bat, and has been. But doesn't play third.
Ben
12:24
If Joe Mauer, Victor Martinez, Carlos Santana, Josh Donaldson, Mike Napoli, or John Jaso had to actually work behind the plate in 2018, which (if any) could still do so competently? How much better are they now as catchers than your average middle infielder "emergency" catcher?
Eno Sarris
12:25
I bet Mauer could be good. Injury forced him out, and he has one of the better body types on here. I'm sure Donaldson could be good, but would be hurt way more often.
Nick Morris
12:25
best Athens,GA beers? or atlanta if you're not too familiar
Eno Sarris
12:25
Creature Comfort Tropicalia and others.
Dever-ting Our Attention?
12:26
Do you agree with Steamer on Devers' .283 19/6 line (65 R 72 RBI)?  Seems a bit light to me on HR and counting stats by about 10 homers and 20 R and RBI . . .  I get the sense that Devers is going to go under the radar next year (and that's coming from me, a yankee fan!).  Even if he makes no improvements in 2018, he seems like an early AL ROY favorite.
Eno Sarris
12:27
I'll give him more homers because I love him as well, but not a ton more, unless he lifts the ball more. I don't think he can be ROY though, he had 240 PA last year. Not sure he'll be super under radar either, the radar right now is busted by two players sitting on it.
Brad
12:27
I'm seeing a lot of backlash to Joe Morgan by saying steroids was just one factor (not major factor) in the increase in offense during the "steroid" era.  Do you agree with that?
Eno Sarris
12:28
There were changes to the strike zone, new ballparks, league expansion, yes, and the evidence from the ball thing going on now suggests that this could have happened before in the past.
Michael
12:28
What should I get my beer nerd brother-in-law for Christmas? I live in Boston so I was thinking some Tree House or Trillium beers. thoughts?
Eno Sarris
12:28
He'll love it.
ryan
12:29
is there an industry standard discount rate for assessing prospect future value/production in trade packages? any sense of what it might be?
Eno Sarris
12:29
The piece by Pirates Prospects on their surplus value by ranking is the current standard on the subject, I think.
Art Vandelay
12:29
that Archer interview about Ohtani was interesting. Archer was suggesting he could maybe start in the field one day a week. Contrasted with the people saying maybe he'd be put on a Japanese-style pitching schedule of pitching only once a week. What do you think is more likely (provided he actually ends up doing both)
Eno Sarris
12:30
It's going to be very difficult for him to play a lot in the field, and he needs the most work there. An honest pitch would be: you're a starter for us, but we'll give you the opportunity to train with hitters, and we'll promise you 30 starts in the field over the course of the year, more as you earn it.
Jeff
12:31
Are there people out there on the internet who really believe the Mets when they say Conforto (or any player really) received great news about his recovery?
Eno Sarris
12:31
Good point, it's also the Mets. He's likely on his deathbed.
Ken
12:33
You like Ryon Healy. What do you think is a (reasonable-ish) best case scenario/comp for him?
Eno Sarris
12:34
.280/.330/.500 with mediocre defense at first. Like what Trey Mancini did last year. Requires a bit of growth in discipline.
Corey
12:34
What do you think about 2018 Tyler Chatwood? Dominated outside of Coors.
Eno Sarris
12:35
Buying, but his K-BB wasn't amazing outside of Coors. More buying like on that Petit deal, 2/10 or something.
Then he can be your 80-100 IP reliever swing guy too.
ballsandgutters
12:35
Your brother Cameron talks about 2B defense being less important due to shifts.   Is either SS or 3B defense less important as well?   Thanks.
Eno Sarris
12:36
It's harder to shift righties because you have to leave the first baseman over there. So the third baseman and shortstop still have to cover a lot of ground.
LogDawg
12:36
Who would be the better option to hang on to in my keepers league - Hosmer or Moustakas?
Eno Sarris
12:36
Moose.
Sandy Ravage
12:37
Can Delino Deshields be a good lead off hitter AND a decent defender next year? Feel like he had a low key good year last year but defense needs work.
Eno Sarris
12:37
He has and has always had the tools. The work ethic has been the question, and I've seen it in action myself. But with a job within reach... I think he could do it.
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