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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Horace Fury
2:46
Some latest ranking of farm systems puts the Red Sox at 28th.  That's bad.  However, they have what seems to be a lot of pitchers in the lower minors who are throwing extremely well, and every time I hear that the farm system stinks, I ask are you even aware of what the pitching is like.  The High-A rotation right now has Mata and Raudes on the DL, and Kutter Crawford, Denyi Reyes, and Tanner Houck active.  That looks like a very good group to me, and it's just one level's rotation.  Darwinzon Hernandez just moved up (AA), Brayan Bello, too (GCL) and Mike Shawaryn went up to AAA a couple of weeks ago.  Am I imagining that at least the pitching part of this system is surprisingly strong?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:48
I see how you can like some of those guys and I agree they're prospects, but every org has arms like this. They just stand out in this system because there's not a lot else to see.
Manuel
2:48
Big fan of these chats--thanks. Has any farm system taken as big of a leap as that of the Mets this season? Any sneaky guys you like more than the average guy in that system?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:49
Baltimore
Diego
2:50
Andres Munoz ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:50
High leverage relief
^Padres righty who has been up to 102 in the past with a good breaking ball, has also dealt with injury.
Jared
2:51
Hi Eric thanks for chatting.  Are you excited to watch Kyler Murray start for Oklahoma? Do you think realistically he makes it to spring training next year for you to see him in person?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:52
I've stopped watching football (I've gradually lost interest since cutting cable) but I will catch the odd OU game on the WatchESPN app I imagine, and yeah if there's no baseball on I'll watch Kyler. I do think he'll be here in the spring and am stoke to see him.
Bob Dobalina
2:52
Hi Eric - what does Simeon Woods-Richardson's repertoire currently offer? The 17 year old's pro career is off to an auspicious start, albeit in a very small sample.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:53
Mid-90s, strikes, diving changeup, weird arm angle might help the slider play up. Not a very projectable bod but the stuff is already mostly there so that's fine. Tightly wound, more of a powerful athlete than a graceful one and not everyone like the delivery.
Dave Kingman
2:53
Most likely outcome for Phills and the playoffs?  - NL East Champ / Wild Card / miss post season?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:53
I don't think they get there at all.
Draftnik
2:54
Thanks for the chat. Do you anticipate updated THE BOARD for the 2019 draft anytime soon?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:54
I've got one more showcase to see and then I think we'll have collected enough to compare notes and expand/alter that part of the board, yeah.
Hello
2:56
Has McNeil's performance so far changed his long-term outlook in your opinion?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:58
If you wanna slap a 40 on him I guess you can? Just think he's an up down infielder. He's also 26 and, if we try to focus our window of prospect evaluation to team-controlled years (a subtle change to my current thinking for which which I think there's an argument) then we're almost surely incorporating his decline into that span.
Phil
2:59
Referencing Laurila's piece... have you seen any of Lowther? Buy him as a "better than his tools" type where the deceoption can translate all the way up to the majors?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:02
And yeah, we like Lowther. The fastball plays despite its velo, curveball is good one its own.
Jake
3:04
Noticed that Corey Ray sneaked his way back into the first page of THE BOARD. The strikeouts sure look worrisome, though. Do you think he hits enough to be an everyday player in Milwaukee?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:04
Yes but I don't think he's gonna be a 6 bat or anything. He's a 4 bat with power who is fine in CF.
Take On Me
3:04
The Keegan Thompson, Matt Swarmer, Justin Steele, Michael Rucker, and Thomas Hatch. Can I expect anything out of the bunch beyond a long reliever?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:05
Yes, I think the sheer volume of deceptive/pitchability guys in the Cubs' system will yield one or two guys who outperform expectations.
Sam
3:06
What level do you think Nolan Gorman ends up in next year? Hot start makes nervous he'll be advanced too quickly for good development.
Eric A Longenhagen
3:08
You're nervous because he's performing? C'mon now. I bet he starts back in Low-A next year, sees Hi-A if he hits. They've done the same with Elehuris Montero this year, that guy will probably start at Hi-A next year, then move up mid year if he merits it.
Pickle Nick
3:08
Has Corbin Carroll put himself into the top 15 of the draft conversation for 2019 after his strong summer showcase performances? Who has fallen the most since your last big board?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:11
Top 15 might be strong. Use last year's similar players as a barometer. Smaller but still=toolsy HS OFs who perform: Alek Thomas, Cole Roederer, Micah Bello all went in the 60s and 70s. I like Carroll more than all those guys and have him in round 1, but the top half is a little rich for me right now. But who knows? Gotta line all of them up and see, ultimately.
graphs man
3:11
michael kopech snapped off one disgusting changeup in his MLB debut but otherwise didnt feature the pitch much. What hold him back from being able to do that consistently?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:11
The fastball command to properly set it up
Pad Squad
3:12
The Padres are always last in all batting statistics, even though they have "core" pieces in place with Myers, Margot, Hedges, Hosmer, Renfroe. None of the Padres’ players have even 2 WAR this year. Why, and should the organization use their minor league depth to acquire SEVERAL significant upgrades?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:12
I think they'll entertain the idea of consolidation this offseason because the 40-man situation might require it.
Rockie Dangerfield
3:12
I saw that you were taking a second look at Rico Garcia after his 8-inning 10-K outing earlier in the week.  What are you thinking about him nowadays?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:12
Think he's a solid big league reliever.
Nick
3:13
Is Josh Naylor's bat good enough that San Diego should make room for him in the outfield?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:14
Yes, Prefer him to Franmil and feel better about his bat than Franchy, though Franchy does a lot of other stuff
Toni
3:14
Going back to his first start last year, Trevor Williams has a line of 3.54/4.01. Exactly 50 starts. A lot of people insist he will have a "Fall off the face of the earth" type regression, and while those numbers suggest *some* regression, it's a decent sample size that suggests otherwise. Do you think he has solidified himself as a quality back-of-the-rotation guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:14
Sure, Williams is a 5th starter.
DJ
3:14
Jose Garcia of the Reds seems to have turned it around in the second half. Any thoughts?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:16
This is a Reds SS signed out of Cuba who was on our preseason 100 (Int'l scouts saw 7 arm, 6 run, feel to hit, stays at SS) and then off mid-year because reports were way down. Agreed he's improved, looks bigger and stronger and is making a much better quality of contact now.
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