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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
Hey from Tempe, everyone.
2:03
Not much to link to because I was off last week and have been doing work on the guts of the Board this week in preparation for the offseason, so let's hop right in to this...
Padulla
2:03
Out of all the recent international signees by the Yankees, which one are you most excited to see?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
Kevin Alcantara, who is simply the kind of player I like to watch. Yankees instrux games start the 25th. Haven't seen their roster yet but lots of July 2 signees are here in the fall for instrux so he can be seen, domestically.
Ben
2:06
The Yankees system didn't quite hit the highs of previous years - should Yankees fans be disappointed? Or is the 'fall' of the system in rankings more due to Major League graduations, which are obviously good?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
I think it's clear their recent record of player dev means the system is always 'good' if there's malleable talent in the lower levels, and there is.
Towel
2:07
What is Ramon Laureano? Is he actually this guy racking up DRS in CF and mashing taters with A 10% bb rate? Or something less than that
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
I don't know, Towel. He looked awesome in the 2016 AFL and I thought he could be an everyday player. Then he was terrible the following year. I saw him this spring and didn't think he looked very good, had less twitch to him, the physical ability had just appeared to have left. And now he's great again. So, he's been all over the place and  I just don't know what to make of him. He's playing great, though.
A big dumb idiot
2:09
What can we expect from Nate Pearson in the AFL?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
No idea. Once guys get assigned to Fall League rosters I stop asking about them since they'll just be here in a month. I asumme he'll also tune up during instructional league, though.
Bored at work
2:11
Malcom Nunez and Jhon Torres. Anything tools to back ups their complex league performances or just statistical flash in the pans?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
I've got nothing on Nunez and I don't think the Cardinals are playing instructional league games so he's going to be a tough one to gather info on for the Cards list. Torres is very talented. Traditional RF profile. Big, 6-3 frame, power, athletic, feel to hit is fine.
Angelus Novus
2:14
Did you know Dean Kremer (of the Machado trade) had the most Ks in all of MILB with 178?  Has he elevated his profile? Orioles fans need any morsel of good news to cling to these days
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
If he learns to set up his change, he's a good rotation piece. If not, a good reliever. So, yep.
NYTT
2:15
There seems to be two trends within Camargo's season: the first half was a really patient hitter with bad BABIP luck and the second is a less patient/more strikeout hitter with regression to the mean BABIP and more power. Question is, who is he long term?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:19
Coming up, I thought he'd be a premium utility guy. I think there's been a little more game power this year than I'd expected moving forward, but still probably enough to be an everydya player.
2:20
Though, maybe Austin Riley's presence forces him into a lesser role?
Rox Fan
2:20
Does Garrett Hampson's 2018 performance improve his forecast from super-utility type to everyday player?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:21
I think he'll get a chance to be the everyday guy at 2B with Lemahieu set for free agency and I bet he sticks
Old Timer
2:22
Who in the high minors has a chance to be the next  Ramon Laureano?  By that I mean a prospect without much shine currently who could actually wind up as an actual MLB starter.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:24
Just peeking at the older players on The Board to eyeball some potential candidates: Tim Locastro (speed/contact guy on the favorable end of the defensive spectrum in an org that has a history of tweaking swings for the better), Adolis Garcia (tools guy who might get pushed out of a crowded OF picture in StL), Conner Joe (another Dodgers swing change guy)
Adam
2:25
Is the “catching controversy” in San Diego being overblown? Austin Hedges’ career high in games started is 120 and that’s also the only season in which he’s caught over 100 games. There seems to be plenty of playing time to go around.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:27
I think you can pair Mejia and Hedges effectively. Mejia can catch the guys with lesser stuff to mask his deficiencies. I just think this is just a thing for people invested in the Padres to talk about during a meaningless September and it's not controversial in any way.
Coach K
2:27
Talent and opportunity, when it comes together who are your top 5 prospects that in your opinion make a nice splash as rookie starting pitchers in 2019.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:30
I think we some of who we'll see next year are Paddack, Duplantier, Honeywell, Keller, Neidert, Puk, Jose Suarez and Taylor Hearn
2:31
Oh, Colin Poche, too. Which will be very interesting.
976
2:31
If Austin Allen can catch, and that's a big if that he'll answer in fall league, does his FV go up?  Is he the backup in SD eventually?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:31
Yes. Might be 'a' backup eventually maybe not 'the' backup, if that makes sense.
Dan
2:32
Welcome back after a week off!  Of the 2018 draftees, who in your mind has made the biggest rankings jump from where you and Kiley initially had them?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:35
Those evals tend not to change but the few that I believe we were light on and will alter this offseason: Cole Roederer (Cubs OF who I thought was a high-contact LF without pop, has gotten stronger than I anticipated he would and was crushing the b all in the AZL), Austin Cox (Royals lefty relief prospect with two-pitch mix that I think will miss big league bats, could move fast), Josiah Gray (Reds draftee, athletic conversion arm frmo small, northeastern school. Mid-90s, slider flashes plus, lots of strikes)
Fall Ball
2:37
Can you explain the World Series odds to me? If the Dodgers have less than a 70% chance of making the playoffs and the Braves are around 97%, how are LA's odds of winning it all nearly 4 times as high as ATL's?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:38
The projection system thinks the Dodgers are more talented than Atlanta in a vacuum but the Dodgers postseason situation is more in doubt due to how tightly packed they are atop their division.
Davey Jones' Lockerroom
2:38
Hi Eric.  What's your thought on the end of season showing for Kyle Lewis, Julio Rodriguez, and Evan White?  Encouraged? What you'd expect?  Underwhelmed?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:39
Very encouraged by White's changes. I really like Julio but he's much more physical than the typical teenager and probably belonged in the AZL. Lewis I'm still hesitant.
Try anything once.
2:40
Have you and Kiley considered ranking pitchers and position players separately? It seems like an over-complicated task to try to compare such different species in one list. And what's to lose? The magical, mystical number 100?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:43
We've talked about how best to account for the issues you're alluding to but never gone so far as to suggest separating the two completely.  You can also just view hitters and pitchers on The Board, separately,.
Jack
2:43
What are your thoughts on Dustin Fowler? Struggled during his run in the big leagues this year but seemed to really impress in AAA. Solid 4th outfielder/occasional starter, or do you think he has unfixable problems?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:43
Still think he's an everyday player. Low-OBP CF with power.
Abe
2:45
Cake or pie?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:46
Pie. It's gotta be the right pie(s), but the ceiling on pie is higher. I'll take a Derby Pie over any cake. But I'd take generic chocolate cake over a pie I don't like for textural reasons.
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