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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:01
Hello, it is I. I'm sure most of you know where the content is, so let's get right to it.
randplaty
2:01
Is there a case for Tatis Jr over Vlad Jr? Or is that a non-starter?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
Sure, if you think Vlad moves to 1B/DH sooer than later and also have strong eval of Tatis at SS, I get it. I think Vlad stays at 3B for two years or so before he has to move.
randplaty
2:03
Any chance Luis Urias is a plus defender at second? He looked great defensively in his major league debut.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
Sure, you could argue he's fine at short, too.
GPT
2:04
Read your Giants instrux notes, great stuff. Anybody else stand out to you? Jairo Pomares, Jalen Miller, Yorlis Rodriguez?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
I'm not really on any of the three guys you mentioned but wanna see more Pomares. Ghordy Santos has been interesting, I mentioned Caraballo in that tweet, Ricardo Genoves has 6 raw right now, PJ Hilson is super tooled up. It's a pretty interesting group.
Joe
2:05
How many teams still have an advance scout that goes to watch live games regularly?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
It's dwindling but they still exist, i don't know how many off the top of my head
Jared
2:05
Last year you helped me out sending me some names of possible dominant high leverage RP’s in the upper minors. You mentioned Alvarado last year at around this time. Who do you got for me this year? Thanks a lot for your work
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
We'll have a similar list of guys like that who we love during Prospect Week (Feb 11 - 15) but for now I'd say you should use the sort functionality on The Board. Find guys we have the highest FV on but who  have future command grades beneath 50.
Mac
2:06
So far in your partnership, which prospect have you and Kiley been furthest apart on, and who’s grade became the official Fangraphs opinion?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
It's pretty rare that we're super far apart on individuals unless one of us is working with insufficient information, and I can't think of the last time it happened.
It wouldn't be a good sign if it were a thing that happened frequently
GW
2:08
NL only 5x5 2-C with OBP, I have pick #3. Looking at Gorman, Bart, Gimenez as my top 3, not sure of order. Outside looking in are Mejia, Chisholm, India, Kristian Robinson. As of now, think I'd go Gimenez, Bart, Gorman. Favoring proximity + C scarcity. Thoughts?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
I'd take Jazz
WASBAPPIN
2:08
What’s abt the minimum height/velo for a high school RHP to be a ‘prospect’ or even just ‘a guy’?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
Height I really don't care about. The low-end guys we write up are typically 87-90 and either give us reason to believe they'll eventually throw harder or do something else really well. I think Josh Tols is the slowest-throwing pitcher we've written up this year.
Mark Shapiro
2:09
What do you think Chavez Young's upside is?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
everyday CF
Justin
2:10
It is looking more like Erik Gonzalez will get first crack at Pirate SS.  Back on the Gonzalez/Luplow trade writeup, you mentioned Gonzalez's raw thump, inability to lift the ball, and breakout potential with a swing change.  What does a Gonzalez breakout look like?  .250/.300/.460 with good D? 3ish WAR?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
I don't think the power manifests like that if he's impatient as your suggested OBP implies. Good Egon is probably a 2-2.5 war guy. I guess the change of scenery might be good but I'd imagine CLE tried to get he and Yandy Diaz to lift the ball, ya know?
Sir Nerdlington
2:12
Do you believe in the changes Gavin Lux made?  He's not on the 40-man but is there a chance he plays in Chavez Ravine this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:12
Buy that he's made offensive progress, don't think he's a SS anymore tho
Richie Poor
2:12
What did you think of the Giants instructionals overall? Were they doing anything interesting? Any rumblings about player development? I'm guessing the pitchers weren't doing anything notable.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:12
Nothing super interesting that I saw, just a lot of BP and infield drills, which of course I love and will watch all day.
Titus
2:12
Btw Deivi Garcia and Luis Oveido, who do you think has a better chance at becoming a successful STARTING pitcher?  What realistic ceiling does each have?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
Garcia is the better athlete, Oviedo has the prototypical frame. Give me the athlete.
Lilith
2:13
What kind of value would India gain if he showed that he could realistically stick at SS? Conversely, how much would his value drop if he couldn't and was thus forced to a corner outfield spot by Cincinnati's depth and 3B and 2B? Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
That's a good question. I don't think he can play SS, but if he could we'd probably bump him up to a 55 FV. He has simialr offensive tools to KeBryan Hayes and we have Hayes up there basically providing defensive value akin to a SS because he's so good at 3B. That's a quick and dirty way of gauging where he'd be but I think it's pretty close.
2:16
In the OF, he may still be a 50 FV, just lower in that tier
Ben
2:16
From a scouts perspective, can you tell when a young prospect such as Wander Franco has peaked early or has a super high ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:17
Yeah you just have to be able to decipher what success is a result of maturity and what is real talent that plays in the big leagues. Like if I have a 50 curveball and can throw it wherever I want, I'm going to crush rookie ball. But in the big leagues it's still just a 5 curve. Nothing about Franco suggests this is a mirage, he's a generational talent.
3 Lindors Down
2:18
You get three prospects to build your team around, who would you pick?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:18
Maybe this spoils a small bit of the 100, but Franco, Vlad, Tatis.
Marc
2:19
Hey Eric, do the prospects in the Padres' system have enough star power to beat a team like the Royals or the Orioles without any help from the major league roster? What chance do you give them of taking a best of five series?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:19
The big leaguers would lay waste to the prospects.
MrMet
2:20
Brayan Rocchio: I fell in love with your write-up. Is he really someone I can dream bigly on?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:22
I'd be surprised if he grew into huge power, he doesn't have Ronny Mauricio's frame or anything like that. Rocchio's is a profile that used to sneak up on everyone and we're trying to change that. Same reason we were smitten with Brujan immediately.
Walugi Time
2:23
Do you think there's a value in getting a "clubhouse guy" maybe more than ever based on the current climate of player/management relations?
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