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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Bearry
2:47
Are Joe McCarthy and Zac Lowther cut from the same cloth? Feels like they're the exact guys on either side of the ball that outperform expectations.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:47
Yup, they're the pitching/hitting versions o f the same thing.
Tampa Bay Craze
2:48
What's your outlook on Alex Reyes this year? Do you think he contends for ROY?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:48
I'm not sure how they manicure his innings. Others could beat him just by virtue of playing time.
Dalinar
2:48
What are you gonna do during the strike?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:49
Watch a ton of amateur baseball.
Adam
2:49
It seems liI’d the Padres have “pop up” prospects who shoot up rankings one year then slowly fall back to Earth; guys like Cal Quantrill and Michel Baez come to mind. This is in contrast to Braves and the Rays who have a more systematic pipeline of risers constantly breaking into the prospect lists and holding their positions. Would you say that this is the more the result of a scouting issue or development?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:50
I think it's scouting related by not necessarily an issue. Do you assume Josh James' uptick in stuff will regress the way Quantrill's did? I think it's just snapshots of where guys are at, it's subject to random variation.
Jack
2:51
I'm a Dodger fan and my brain has been melted by the last two World Series losses, pessimism is all I know. Can you convince me that Keibert Ruiz isn't Dioner Navarro?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:52
I have a 7 on his bat and he has the most accurate arm I've ever seen.
Smith > Vogelbach?
2:52
Do you guys think Yordan Alvarez moves to 1B/DH?  The Astros had him play almost all of his games in the OF last year even though consensus seems to be he'll need to move sooner rather than later
Eric A Longenhagen
2:52
Yes, his body was very concerning at the Futures Game
Jenni
2:53
Yanks list today?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:53
manana, though it is done
Bobby Bradley's 40-time
2:53
how worrying are shoulder injuries for you when ranking guys like Soroka and Loaisiga, who already don't have ideal arm actions?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:55
frequency of injury matters. Soroka risk does not equal Loaisiga risk because one does not equal three or four. We try to adhere to mapping FV to the first sixyears of WAR production and if we think, like with Loaisiga, there will be some years where he does nothing at all, he gets moved down. But that's why we try to have the 45+ and 40+ guys to indicate there's peak/ceiling
The Masked Brady Singer
2:55
What team do you get asked the fewest questions about?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:55
COlorado
My Mama Says
2:55
Can baseball season please start?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:56
We had a juco arm touching 99 last weekend and the Caribbean Series starts soon, it's here folks
BlueJayMatt
2:56
Jays farm system looks great right now but how far will it fall when they graduate Vlad, Bo & Jansen? Is it still top 10? More middle of the pack? Lower?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:56
Way down unless Groshans and a few others really break out
Eric
2:58
What division is coming next after the AL East done?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:58
AL West
Bryan
2:58
Who would you prefer to draft Marco Luciano or Adley Rutschman?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:58
Rutchsman but Luciano looks incredible here in Scottsdale
Jackson
2:58
What are your thoughts on the Rangers farm system. They don’t seem to be getting a lot of love from media outlets but they have quite a bit of depth... any idea why there’s no love?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:59
I like the depth a lot and thought Owen White looked awesome in the fall, so did Sherten Apostel. They acquire big framed athletes, I tend to like their guys.
Pablo Olivares
2:59
Am I a legit prospect? Haven't heard much about me in a loaded Yankees system
Eric A Longenhagen
3:00
You are, instincts in CF are great, feel for contact is, too. Last year's swing tweak moved the needle on the power a tiny bit.
Evan
3:00
You seemed pretty complimentary of Carlos Vargas of the Padres when you saw him in June. Has your opinion changed much from June, and where do you expect him to land on the Padres list? Is he still a 45FV?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:01
You mean Cleveland. Yeah, he has incredible stuff. He'll likely be in that 45 FV tier behind Torres but ahead of Hankins.
Michael
3:01
How much money value-wise do you think a competive balance round a pick is worth?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:05
Craig is working on draft pick valuation that places the comp round in the $7mil range I think?
Frank German
3:05
4th round picks Aaron Shortridge, Michael Plassmeyer, Aaron Ashby, and I have all outperformed the college pitchers taken in rounds 2 and 3 so far. Why did teams sleep on us?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:08
First, I'd caution using a post-draft sample size to do any kind of eval at all, especially stat-based. Those guys outperformed Brady Singer, who didn't pitch at all, you're not moving them ahead of him on your pref list are you? Ashby was a midwest JUCO arm, Plassmyer is a command artist built to carve lower levels, etc. Too early for this kind of thought.
Evan
3:08
One thing I would love to see on the board, or even in writeups independent of the board, is a database of bonuses that prospects sign for. Is that in the plans at all?
Eric A Longenhagen
3:08
Yes and we've gradually been inputting them, it just takes forever to start from scratch and catch up to the point where we can do it as guys sign.
Braník Best
3:09
Kiley and you have discussed putting up scouting grades for MLBers; is that coming during/after prospect week?  I'm most interested in graduated prospects, like Willie Calhoun and Frenchie Cordero.
Eric A Longenhagen
3:10
That's probably a while off and I wish Kiley wouldn't tease you all
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