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Albert Belle
12:55
What are your thoughts on the White Sox rebuild? should hahn and company be given the opportunity to continue or is it time for a change in regime
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
i think there's value in continuity and recent development made by Giolito, Stiever, Moncada, etc. is a sign that this group is getting footing in dev they didn't have before now. I give it a bit yet.
Tacos
12:56
Kristian Cordozo was reported as signed by the Dodgers. It was even shown on the team's transaction page. Now he has signed with the Mariners. What happened there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
no idea
Chuck
12:56
Are you impressed by Jeremiah Jackson's power output in Orem (14hr in 143AB)? Is he someone we should be keeping an eye to move up in FV?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
I like him but advise you not to trust PIO power
Bubba
12:57
How often is The Board updated?  Any chance you guys can put a little indicator that shows when?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
peep the FG_Prospects twitter. One of us tweets out all the updates from there
Connor Joe Buck
12:57
Do you know why Kyren Paris hasn't played at all?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
minor injury but I forget what
Matt
12:58
What's the current "on time" age for a catching prospect to reach the majors?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:58
the buster poseys of the world are exceptions, not the rule. 24-26 is typical for catchers.
Takao
12:58
How much does Hunter Greene's tommy john surgery affect his prospect stock? He's down pretty much everywhere.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:59
For us, we move him based on time. So when you have TJ and you're at Double-A, we move you back on the list to where someone with comparable stuff is in Low-A. Then we monitor stuff when the player comes back to see if there needs to be another move.
Robert
12:59
Can you sum up how you feel about Forrest Whitley at the moment?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:59
I'm a patient mf'er
Connor Joe Buck
1:00
A few A's teenagers seem to be doing pretty well in the AZL. Have any info on Marcus Smith, Givaine Basilia, or Brayan Buelvas?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:00
I dig Smith a bit. Speed, slasher type in my looks. Need to see the other two guys, though.
Yorman
1:00
What do you think of the long-term health of Washington's farm?  They're 29th in the rankings right now, and even that ranking is supported largely by Carter Kieboom, who is basically a prospect in name only at this point.  Do you think Washington might be inclined to trade, say, Trea Turner this offseason as a means of bolstering their farm, with the idea that Kiemboom could slot in as SS of the future?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:01
I think when they knock it down it'll be the whole thing
Kyle
1:01
Any change in the FV of Trent Grisham? Seems like he's made some real improvements this year.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:01
yeah, we moved him up a few weeks ago
Steve O
1:01
I see you made some updates to the Yankees board.. but still no Canaan Smith when he's been one of the best hitters in the SAL and just turned 20. Are yall not high on him?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:02
he may be a 35+ or 40 FV but it's a corner OF profile so has to mash. We need more on him but understand we have reasons for being skeptical right now
Shameless Cardinals Homer
1:02
Any info on these three Cards prospects who aren't on any of Fangraphs list - Justin Toerner, Tommy Parsons, and Perry Dellavalle?  They're all 22.9-23.9 and at AA or A+ (so not spring chickens), but they all have really good peripherals and are 2nd-year pros moving really quickly.  Two were 27th/28th rounders and Parsons looks like he was undrafted.  More #CardinalsDevilMagic?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
St Louis pushes colleges guys fast and it often creates artificial value/unreliable signal. And I believe that Lunhow took it to Houston with him which is why we get Josh Rojas and...oh who's the guy they traded to Minnesota....shit, I forget his name. Anyway, that guy.
Connor Joe Buck
1:03
Is 'Prospects who Moved' replacing the DPN?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:04
yeah, I wanna write other stuff (including a book)
Steve O
1:04
How much trade value does Michael Chavis have? Enough to headline a package for a very good reliever?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:04
I stand by the 45 FV we had on him, so yeah that'd fetch a great reliever.
1:05
other than the top handful of guys, most great relievers are 45 FV types (though I acknowledge that ignores leverage entirely)
Nick
1:05
I'm sure this has been talked about at some point, but will there ever be a plate discipline tool rating for readers to get a better reading on prospects? I'm thinking about someone like Mountcastle and whether his low walk rate is a function of poor discipline/recognition or just being aggressive at a level he knows he can hit.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
I hope to eventually just have it on the board somehow, but just looking at their walk rates is a suitable thing to do for now
1:06
it's an important aspect of hitting and it'd be easier for us to have a way of indicating that it is. It might make it easier for White Sox fans to know why we have LouBob where we do instead of in the top 10 or something
prospect hound
1:06
Chase Chaney, William English (Holmes now?), Connor van Scoyoc, and Dan Nunan are some interesting HS arms angels got late last year in draft. Have you seen them and are any of them worth monitoring?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:07
Saw Chaney last night and wasn't on it. Yup, WIlliam English changed his last name and added like 40 pounds of muscle. I've only seen him hit, though.
Hank Scorpio
1:07
Do you think the current prospect value models overly inflate the value of some prospects compared to established players, when considering the risk that they might not ever produce any future value at all? Like if you have a 3WAR starter with 2 years of control worth, lets say 20M in surplus value, and a 50FV pitcher in A-ball supposedly worth 31M in surplus value, there has to be some added inherent value to the certainty of the established player doesn't there? I see comments like "I wouldnt trade prospect X for Thor because there's a 40% chance he could be as good and under control for 6 years instead of 3." It seems so counterintuitive.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
I agree with you but you also have to account for the 50 FV prospect ending up better than a 50.
Angels
1:08
Jose Suarez had an average curve (imo) for the first time since he was initially called up last night. Is that something you had seem him flash consistently previously? FB/CH are good but definitely needs that third option
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
it's not a swing and miss hook for me, but he can throw it for strikes in most counts and that's how most curveballs function these days
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