JotCast | Eric Longenhagen Chat

Eric Longenhagen Chat

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Eric A Longenhagen

1:14

after

Sammy Sooser

1:15

Michael Busch drew walks at a ridiculous rate, did you get to see him in the AFL? Any impressions, if so?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:15

i did, but i still have not seen him play 2B, which is what I'm most interested in seeing. We like him regardless.

Timofey

1:15

I was just looking at some exit velo data, and surprised that Eduardo Escobar showed up at the 29th percentile this year, 17th percentile for Hard Hit %. Any concerns there about sustaining his performance?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:16

Nah, he's great

Greg

1:16

He's no longer a prospect, but what grade would you give Tyler Mahle now?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:16

Still think he's in that 45/50 area, I'm kinda surprised the Reds have seemingly moved on. That ballpark is maybe not a great fit for him, though.

Matt

1:17

How do trades like the Luis Urias trade affect public prospect valuations, such as the one you help produce? When a player that was a consensus top-10ish prospect gets traded for a prospect that wasn’t even in the top-10 in the team system, it surely makes you think. It seems like either : the public(not remotely just Fangraphs) was way off, player values swung drastically in a short period, or 28 teams are just being irrational.

Eric A Longenhagen

1:17

Eh, I kinda reject the premise. We 55'd Urias and 50'd Grisham, so they're not all that far apart...

Guest

1:18

what would a regrade of Vlad Jr be after his first year?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:19

I don't think we would, 7 years is a long time and that's the window we care about

Mister Baseball Man

1:19

Tigers fans are encouraged by Adinso Reyes and Jose de la Cruz's start to pro ball. How much do DSL stats matter?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:19

they don't

Justin

1:19

Hi. Nationals fan here. How annoyed should I be about Sterling Sharp? With the 40 man nowhere near full, losing him seems like an unforced error.

Eric A Longenhagen

1:20

Not terribly annoyed. He's more of a speculative "this might work" sort of player and the Nats have a title to defend, it's not like they can mess around with a sinker/changeup/funky delivery guy in that division.

TomBruno23

1:20

I'm biased but given the track record it's hard to exclude Mozeliak from a top 5 (even though he's technically not GM anymore as far as his title)

Eric A Longenhagen

1:21

Oh yeah, he should probably be in there

Billy Beane

1:21

Hey Eric, I got a job with a pro team for next season, and answers you and Kiley gave to chat answers actually helped me. So thank you, I appreciate you guys.

Eric A Longenhagen

1:21

Good, we also have an entire job seekers chapter in the book, so hopefully we end up helping a lot of people (even if that help is making them realize they do not want to work in baseball)

Dusty

1:22

It's the most wonderful time of the year! With the holidays finally here, I was wondering what your thoughts are on Wander Javier. What's his upside?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:22

Dusitn, we did just write him up on the Twins list, that hasn't satiated you?

RAndoM

1:22

Which lower ranked guys are you most bullish on possibly rocketing up the list?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:22

I really like the Red Sox group of 35+ types, like Belen

Guest

1:22

Thoughts on F Whitley? Bounce back?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:23

Yes, but he definitely wasn't as nasty this fall as he was last fall

Ceilings

1:23

Hi Eric - Did Biggio and/or Arraez show enough at MLB level last year to jump their ceilings at all?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:23

Yes, I was light on Cavan. His approach is incredible. He has 80 ball/strike recog and Arraez has 80 bat control. They should both have been top 100 guys.

Weenie

1:24

What do you think of pushing the start of a young starting pitching prospect’s season back to avoid needing to shut them down late in the season before the playoffs due to an innings limit? Like Minnesota/Graterol, etc. why don’t teams ever use this strategy?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:24

I like that strategy, especially if the guy might factor into a big league postseason push

Colby

1:24

Will Riley Greene move fast and stick in cf? Bellinger comp fair?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:24

No, that's not fair to Greene

Jake

1:24

Thanks for the Nats list. Was pleased to see Eddy Yean included, but surprised that Karlo Seijas didn't make the cut. Anything hurting his future upside?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:25

let me dig up our notes. we talked about him...

1:26

85-89, relatively unprojectable frame, longer arm action but it's deceptive, over-the-top arm slot, fastball has carry at the top of the zone

1:27

the current velo and lack of projection combined to table him for now

Just a Guy

1:27

Did you see Cole Uvila throw in the AFL? Legit?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:27