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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:35
it's a Conan bit
Int'l Scouts r not just trucks
1:35
If MLB does eliminate the minor league teams, how do you think that alters scouting as we know it today?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:36
bad for pro scouting because there are less players to scout, places more importance on getting draft picks right. there will be several unintended consequences that I've not considered, surely
Guest
1:37
Anyone on NYM list over which you and Kiley diverged?  Who was the high/low guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:38
Nope, part of the reason this one came together faster than St Louis (which we began before we started Mets) was because we lined this group up pretty much the same as one another
Tormund
1:38
Do you prefer a farm system that is heavy at the top level in MLB talent, albeit low ceiling players (45, 45+), or a system that is heavy in the lower levels (RK, Short Season, A), but the prospects have higher ceilings along with the larger variances that come with it.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:38
I gut-prefer the latter system but Craig's research says the top-heavy system is more valuable
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
1:38
You were probably consulted for the Rays piece that just went up, but any quick hits on Arozarena?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:39
Yup, we were. 6 glove in LF, 6 run, exit velos are stronger than you'd guess, plays his ass off, makes a lot of had contact. Arguably a 50 FV
David
1:39
Any notable takeaways from the Caribbean winter leagues? In general do the winter leagues have much influence as they relate to player evaluations?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
Generally these venues are useful for seeing players, either minor league free agents or the progress of actual prospect. Not as much big info from LIDOM this year but Luis Urias and Isaac Paredes are on the same Mexican team this winter so I've got some dope on them (mostly IP) and that's how we learned of some of Houston's interesting arms down there.
Bob we had ababyitsaboy
1:41
Hey if you can remember, what is the oldest age you have seen a body naturally transform?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:42
Dodgers prospect Brandon Lewis? that was the first that came to mind. He did it later in college. I'm sure I'm missing someone
Curtis
1:42
What's the lowest individual tool grade you've ever given a 60+ Prospect?  Who was it and what was the grade?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
I'm sure we've 30'd someone's speed or arm.
Sammy Sooser
1:43
The Rays traded Liberatore. All of us internet skeptics want to know what's wrong with him. Got anything?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:44
Fastball spin rate and axis means it's a sinker, and the Rays just aren't about that. Nothing wrong with him, still think he's a top 100 arm, but that's a thing we know now that we didn't before he was in pro ball, and all else being equal, give me the guy whose heater has carry.
GSon
1:44
Joel Kuhnel.. sleeper/Aaron Civale type or a future pen guy with hope for spot starting in the show?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:45
we have him 'penned
David
1:45
How do you project a player like Sam Carlson, or in 2021 Michael Limoncelli. Very good high school pitchers coming off TJS, with no (or very minimal) pro experience.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:47
we basically handle TJs by thinking about it as an issue of time. The rate of recovery is high, it's not perfect, but the real problem is losing a year and a half of progress up the ladder. So when a guy like that goes down with TJ, we instantly value him like a pitcher with the exact same stuff who is a year and a half behind, developmentally. So, in Carlson's case, that was like high school underclassman. Now we just wait and see what the stuff looks like when he finally comes back.
Sonic the Hedgehog
1:47
Have you ever talked to a team about their prospects and found they are significantly lower on them? If so, do you adjust your own ratings/thoughts on those prospects?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:48
Nope, teams are invariably *higher* on their own guys. We do adjust to the baseline of the person we're speaking with, but that's a thing that takes time to learn how to do and is imperfect, impacted by our own biases and my horrible trust issues.
1:49
couple more
Dan
1:49
How would you rate the Cards' efforts in unloading their OF surplus? (Pham, Mercado, Garcia, Arozarena)?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:50
I'm going to try to remember to write about that at some length in the Cardinals system overview
Fred
1:51
Is Luis Guillorme no longer prospect eligible due to days in MLB, or did he fail to qualify for the Mets' list on merit?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:51
He graduated due to roster days
Rich
1:51
Does the magnitude of signing bonus influence the degree of coverage on an IFA?  The big dollar guys get all the press but teams also sign tons of others...
Eric A Longenhagen
1:52
it does. If you tell me a guy is getting 2mil, I'm gonna watch him more closely than the guy getting 100k
Tormund
1:52
Mookie Betts- 27M in Arb, a record, Kris Bryant settles with 18.6M
Data from the Goonies
1:52
Does the seemingly eminent addition of electronic ball/strike calling mean you will change your valuation of catching prospects, specifically with regards to pitch framing?  Any guys in particular get a boost by this?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:54
yes and we're already taking an anticipatory approach on this stuff. Alejandro Kirk, Andrew Knizner, Daulton Varsho, Cal Raleigh. Hell, poor Jake Rogers may not be a big leaguer once it happens. I
Jason
1:55
Other than going to THE BOARD and sorting by team, is there a way to see what org lists have been released?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:55
yeah you can go to the homepage and scroll a little bit. The grid is there.
Joe
1:56
How many innings will you watch, at any level of play, in-person in 2020?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:56
oh gosh, i have no idea. should i track it this year?
1:57
okay, you guys submitted terrific questions this week but i've gotta go.
1:58
thanks for hanging out, enjoy what's left of your friday and this weekend's playoff games. I've got Driveline Pro Day on Sunday and then baseball gets going in AZ next weekend, which may impact my chat schedule. I'll keep you posted on Twitter even though it's horrible for all of us.
see you next week.
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