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Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
Good morning from lovely Tempe, chat. Hope you've had a good week, let's talk baseball.
Wander Franco
12:03
Is it reasonable to give me an 80-grade hit tool when I haven't seen Double-A pitching yet?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:04
Yeah, in addition to the visual evaluation, there's data to support it. Franco has one of the lowest swinging strike rates in the minors, the best quality of contact among those with the lowest swinging strike rates. Totally reasonable. And that's coming from the guy who wouldn't 80 Vlad's raw power, I'm pretty miserly.
Flappy Bois
12:05
Can we reasonably expect Xavier Edwards to add strength?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:05
I think you can hope for it but shouldn't expect it.
He's pretty maxed out.
Optimistic Reds Fan
12:05
Am I being overly confident, or has the Reds farm system outperformed expectation?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
No, I think it's fair to say that. India has held serve, but a lot of other higher profile guys have improved. I'm way in on Jose Garcia, we've been in on Stephenson for a while. Aquino's leap was real, I think.
Vegan Man!
12:08
You guys were pretty high on Aramis Ademan last year. Still a 50FV/top 100 guy for you? Thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
highly unlikely. Cubs are gonna be toward the end but I seriously doubt it.
Vegan Man!
12:08
Jose Suarez had a ... brutal... year last year. Still see a #4 ceiling there? Thank you!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
yeah, not ready to move off a guy that young. Has to stay healthy, though.
Tim
12:09
Who are some Pirates prospects that could breakout and move up the rankings this coming year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
Some of the recent Int'l guys (gonna make you wait for their list, sorry)
Matt
12:09
Hi Eric, last year we saw guys like Mitch Keller and Corbin Burnes get their fastballs knocked around, which led to some brutal ERAs despite them both missing lots of bats. Do you see either pitcher improving their fastballs to the point where they could be useful SP?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
Yeah, I'd be trying to buy low on those two in fantasy leagues right now. Especially Burnes.
ETA
12:10
Detroit list ETA?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
Monday
12:11
Then we're doing the Tampa cluster, so TB, NYY, PHI, TOR, PIT, BAL (this cluster moved ahead of the Northwest Phoenix cluster for reasons you'll understand a week from today)
Jabroni
12:13
Who is currently the most devisive minor league player?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
some of it depends on the dynamic you're trying to highlight. Like analysts vs scouts or among scouts.
12:16
lots of Houston's pitching is divisive due to strike throwing, some stat-friendly, unathletic types like Ramon Urias have proponents in the analytical community but scout no like.
CautiouslyOptomistic
12:16
What is Dylan Carlson's ceiling in your opinion?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
the 55 we dropped on him on the STL list is what I think he is. He's close enough to the bigs that there's not time value discount to the FV
David
12:18
Fraley and Lewis are looking like the starting corner outfielders for the Mariners, think either of them going to stick?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Once Lewis started looking healthy and more able to put stress on that knee, I was all in. Fraley I still wonder how much in-game power there will be, have him in the 45 FV tier as the bulk of Mariners thought is still only on the horizon.
beck
12:19
Is IFA pitching significantly less predictable than HS pitchers in the draft? Seems like it is cheaper to acquire pitching in IFA than it is to acquire HS arms via the draft. Just seems like a market inefficiency given that pitching in IFA is generally considerably cheaper than hitting.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
IFA pitching's opportunity cost is pool space while HS pitching's opportunity cost is pool space plus the players you could have picked instead. A high-volume approach internationally (a bunch of lanky pitchers who you hope grow is more possible) is more feasible
Devin Sweet
12:21
Am I someone to keep an eye on? Really good numbers for the past two years but no fanfare. What's holding me back? Will I be ranked on the Mariners' list?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
you'll be on there. Plus changeup, velo spiked.
Cito's Mustache
12:22
What % relief risk would you put on Nate Pearson now?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
very little, now that question is "how many innings as a starter?"
Jeff
12:22
Yesterday Kiley was very vague about what a "hook" is. I've seen the term pop up a ton from scouts lately and it seems to be some universal word for any breaking ball. Can you explain further?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Yep, it's just another term for a curveball.
DJ Tanner
12:23
Of the strong rookie relievers (Clase, Karinchak, Ginkel), who do you think has the best chance to become an elite closer for a long time?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
Karinchak and Clase. I have more confidence in Karinchak's fastball playing at an elite level than I do Clase's, but feel better about Clase's track record of health.
Garth
12:25
Where would Emerson Hancock rank on the Board were he eligible?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
that's why FV is useful, you can compare across markets. He'd be around where Lodolo is on the overall list.
Doug
12:26
Is Adam Haseley actually going to be a decent mlb CF in 2020?
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