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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Probably caused by the farm's depth. If you have an arbitrary number of prospect you're covering, deep systems get punished in the work. I like Ona fine, his SLG was way over what's realistic given the lack of present launch, but he does hit the ball hard and might be an adjustment away from hitting for real power. As a corner OF, that tweak's gotta be made.
Brad
12:25
Who has more star potential Maximo Acosta or Luis Matos
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Matos, I'm lukewarm on Acosta
TomBruno23
12:26
Justin Williams...sleeper to get some playing time in the Cardinals OF this season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
Gonna refer you to his player page with links to the past few prospect lists he's been on. I've written a lot about his issues/potential over the last several years.
Steve O
12:27
Any Brandon Lockridge or Tanner Myatt thoughts for NYY? Thought they would be on others of note list.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
Lockridge is a bench OF ceiling for me. Lots of 50s on the card, corner guy. Myatt throws really hard -- 91-96, t98, 2400rpm, has a relatively vert-friendly axis -- but obvs the control is an issue and he's not throwing so hard that I felt like including him anyway
Brad
12:30
Could Kevin Alcantara take a similar step forward this year that Kristian Robinson took last year?  Their tool grades at the time seem pretty similar and both seem to have big frames to grow into.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
Yep, that's what I think the path is
Devo
12:32
Does Peter Lambert still have the same future as a #4 starter, or are you concerned by last year's stat line?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
Spoke with a scout who saw him this spring who thinks he ends up in the bullpen
Matt
12:33
I was curious about rankings of pop-up guys who seem to come out of nowhere like Jose Urquidy or Tarik Skubal. Does the shorter track record of pitching at a high level factor into their evaluation/rankings at all? Is there less certainty about their ability to keep it up?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Any pitchers with new stuff or command, skills way above what they had done to that point, deserve a lower degree of confidence than someone exactly the same with a longer track record. There are teams who look at upticks in velo as the start of a trend and some who caution against recency bias. In those two cases, Urquidy added velo and a second breaking ball. Skubal took forever to right the ship after TJ and was the guy he was in college at his best.
A cat
12:35
With this season circling the drain does BOS push Mata to the parent club as a bulk reliever to prepare him for a rotation spot in ‘21? There is only Groome behind him for the next two years.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
I think that's a good idea
Walter Sobchak
12:37
Your top 100 mentioned that you were as confident in Heriberto’s hit/power projection as almost anyone you’d seen in the AZL. What separated him from any number of other guys who rake there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:38
Some of it is circumstantial (the amount I saw him, who I saw him touch up {especially in the fall}) and some of it is data (go look at the hitters' TM data on The Board)
That's a 20 y/o doing that
Brutus
12:39
I'm friendly with a draft prospect on THE BOARD who is openly anti analytics. In discussions with him he has stated numerous times how he thinks things like launch angle, exit velocity and optimizing swing plane are BS. Would an organization make adjustments to how they grade a potential draftee based on how open/averse he is to making new-school changes? Could it be used as a tie breaker is two players are close?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
Whether a team views buy-in as important or not varies, club to club. There are area scouts who have derisive views on that stuff, too, so they might *love* that the prospect does, too. It might be viewed as a positive for some scouts and not for others. I don't think cookie-cutter, uniform application of swing principles is smart, but I do think some hitters need help and can get it from buying in to modern methodology.
Guest
12:41
For leisure, do you prefer watching an amateur and/or MiLB game to watching an MLB one?  Why?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
Big league talent still transports me on occasion
Logan
12:42
If you were watching a baseball game in which there were no names on the jerseys, no team names, and no other way to identify the players involved, could you tell what level of competition you were watching (e.g., MLB, AA, college, etc.) simply by the quality of play?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
I'd like to think so
27th man
12:42
Concerned with Emerson Hancock's start to the season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
Not really. Stuff is fine
Brandon J
12:42
After the announcement that Ginn had surgery, what percentage chance do you see that he does not sign if drafted this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
(shrug)
12:43
(Boras-related shrug)
Steve O
12:44
If Estevan ends up being a 35 hitter in the bigs is there a path to him being a 2 WAR CF?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
Yeah, Drew STubbs in the template for that
Marc
12:44
I like the new player page update, but I've had just one problem when it comes to this site and prospects. Maybe I'm missing something, but could you guys make it so that you can access a prospect's latest scouting report directly from their player page? It gets a little annoying to have to open successive tabs and have to find prospects on the BOARD in each tab when I'm comparing more than one. Maybe right next to their scouting grades?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
It removes incentive for people to go to The Board at all
or the lists
John
12:46
Weird question - When you put together a prospect list (whether a top 100 or a specific teams top 20 or so) - are you ordering how you believe each player will actually end up compared to each other or more what their trade value is at that particular point in time?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
Sometimes the "would Team A trade Player A for Player B?" question is instructive as to how to rank players but it's not the overarching theme. I'm trying to FV guys based on anticipated WAR production with risk-related dilution baked in.
We really peel back the curtain in the book
It's probably stupid, everyone else might just start doing it.
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