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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
Howdy from Tempe. I've got a busy day today so I'm gonna keep this to the 45-60min territory. Hope you're all hanging in there, executing your scientific, humanitarian and patriotic duty of social distancing relatively free of mental imbalance.
Noah
1:19
Do you have an I-Love-You-Even-Though-You-Always-Hurt-Me prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
I assume it'll be Monte Harrison when all is said and done
Andrew
1:19
If there is a minor league "season", would it be played at spring training sites?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:20
I have no idea. If I did I'd report it in a way that fed my ego and sense of self importance and you'd already have heard about it.
Old guy
1:20
A few weeks ago you mentioned wishing you could have seen Barry Bonds at ASU. I got that chance during a college visit. Incredible physically. Obviously stood out even on a quality college team. 80 grade arrogance. Warmed up apart from the rest of the team. Legendary coach Brock called everyone in, and everyone but Bonds hustled over. Bonds kept playing catch with a ball boy and later sauntered in when he felt like it.
John
1:20
Do you think Justus Sheffield might unlock something with switching from a 4 to a 2-seam fastball to play off his good slider better? Or is he destined for the bullpen anyway?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:22
I think the two-seam adds length to the fastball but doesn't change its movement shape, but that length dovetails (very literally) nicely against the shape of the slider, especially that bastard slider he located down and out of the zone this spring. The control is still the variable dictating the role, though.
Vander
1:22
Considering that sports leagues partially use expansion as a tool to provide an influx of cash (expansion fees), and that MLB has already been considering expansion, do you think this pandemic could accelerate their plans to expand to 32 teams, and maybe even beyond?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:23
Sure, assuming that's true and keeping in mind that owners' desire is to make more money. In my opinion the global talent baseline has come up, so to speak, and expansion is viable for other, more basebally reasons, too. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/more-data-more-prospects/
Bored Lawyer
1:23
Is the delay of the J2 just a naked liquidity move by teams?  They all know who they’re signing. Only other rationale (besides normalizing an international draft timeline) is to save some money short term.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:23
yes
PatEdMartin
1:23
I'm about 220 pages into the book.  I can tell that it's not going to be a one-and-done read for me, but more of a reference book going forward.  I don't have a chat question, just wanted to send kind words about the book.  Thank you for making this weird time a little easier to deal with.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:24
Gracias. People who pre-ordered the book from the publisher seemed to have gotten it early, which means Kiley and I haven't totally completed the visual index for those people yet, but we're working on that now and it will be done by the release date.
Jacob
1:25
Highest upside bat and arm in the draft?  Veen and Lacy?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:25
Won't argue with those, I think Bitsko, Abel, Crews have arguments, too.
Matt
1:26
You had Zac Gallen at 40+FV last year; fantasy analysts were higher on him as a performance prospect.  Given his stint in the majors, how are you projecting him moving forward?  Better than the 40FV?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:26
Yeah, he's a 50
Chris
1:27
Can you expand on why Sam carelson is a 35+? He's 20 years old and was a first round talent prior to tommy john. Is it all injury concern? Or do you/industry folks think that he won't return to the talent level he displayed out of high school?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:30
One of the questions I ask myself as I'm FV'ing is "would I trade for this guy? or, Would I trade X for Y?" and in Carlson's when you ask that question you have no choice but to move him down because unless you saw a spring bullpen from him (I did) or his live BP two days later (I did not) your org hasn't had eyes on him for a couple years now. He also didn't look great in the bullpen, in my opinion. I kept him on the list at all because of the reasons you described. I'd rather have a near-ready reliever at this point, though.
Chris
1:30
Will the red Sox losing picks be pushed to next year because of the round limitations of this year or do you think they will lose picks immediately?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:30
Great questions. I don't know. I'd expect the Sox would rather be docked the picks immediately because everyone seems intent on limiting spending
Brendan
1:31
Do you think that MiLB/amateurs/scouts/other baseball employees should organize in some fashion so their interests aren't just determine by owners and the MLBPA?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:33
That'd be great. Actions to prevent that from happening are as old as our economic system, the Northwestern football team being the most prominent recent example.
Chris
1:34
When will top college players like tork start signing or at least be advised by a specific agent? Also when can teams start negotiating with those agents?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:36
Not sure I exactly get the first question. Tork has been advised by Boras since at least his freshman year. Negotiations at this point are typically not occurring but that's partially because there's still so much baseball happening, I'm not sure if prelim talks with DET and A Player have begun, I bet not because of how the world has been on fire and stuff.
Jabroni
1:36
Did the future of baseball fundamentally change for the worse with last night's agreement?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:38
If this is used as a cudgel to make permanent changes to amateur talent acquisition, changes that limit spending (hard slotted bonuses, an Int'l draft) then yes, at the very least you're removing incentive for players like Kyler Murray to choose your sport any time during their career when they're weighing their choices and desires and one of them is money.
Dominik
1:38
Could mlb use this shortened draft to establish a shortened draft to stay? Teams want to streamline player dev anyway and replace quantity with quality including a MILB contraction so wouldn't they use this chance to establish that?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:39
........yes!
Dominik
1:39
A year after a 5 round draft a 20 round draft doesn't feel that bad, doesn't it?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:39
Eat 1/4 of your dinner tonight, then tomorrow only eat half and tell me if you're full
kiley
1:39
whats the difference between jesus and yourself
Eric A Longenhagen
1:40
There are more than twelve people in this chat
Random JUCO player
1:40
In your opinion, how do I get my name out there to colleges when no scout is on the road scouting?-i’m a transfer from Indiana
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
The Flatground account on twitter? Something with video of yourself online to pass around? Having velo readings (if you pitch) would be helpful.
Dilly Dilly
1:42
If Kikuchi's FB averages 94-96 (spring training #'s) instead of 91-93 (last year's #'s) - does he take a big leap forward? Or are the secondaries and control just meh?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:42
Brian
1:43
How does the agreement on service time impact your thoughts on Nate Pearson, Spencer Howard, and Dylan Carlson starting in the MLB?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
I think a shorter season means more variance and I'd take advantage of that by having my best 26 players up immediately.
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