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Eric Longenhagen Prospect Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
For fantasy? Probably Robert. Speed/power
Bryan
1:06
Can you give your opinion on the Reds fleet of young pitchers. It seems like all of them are either getting hurt (Desclafani, Finnegan, Reed) or ending up in the bullpen (Stephenson, Iglesies, Lorenzen). Which pitchers do you see establishing themselves as at least average starters? Thanks.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
I think Greene and Mahle are starters. Gutierrez has a chance to be. Jacob Heatherly is an interesting, long term project.
1:10
Tony Santillan is likely a reliever, but his stuff is too good to give up on him as a starter. Luis Castillo is a very interesting case. Sustains that velo as a starter and has a plus changeup (which I misevaluated over the winter), breaking ball and command are not great
Billy Beane
1:10
How mucheck should I care about a prospect having relatives who were major leaguers? Like if Vlad Guerrero Jr had a different name would he be an elite prospect or just a very good one? Or for a lower profile example, would anyone care about Chase Pinder if his brother wasn't Chad?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:12
I know studies have been conducted that show the relatives of former pro players are magnitudes more likely to end up in pro baseball than the average person but that's probably about financial advantages as well as genetic ones. Every prospect is evaluated without family in mind, ideally, but talking about bloodlines adds color to the player's narrative.
Jon
1:13
DJ Wilson has been on a tear since returning from the DL, and has at least looked solid since a horrible April. Small-ish sample still, but is he putting the baseball skills together to get the most out of the athleticism? Possible top 5 org guy by season's end, if he remains in the system?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
Possible top 5, yes. Top 4 for me are fairly stable (Candy, De la Cruz, ALbertos, Alzolay) and then there's a mix of Aramis Ademan, Paredes, the arms they just drafted, Wilson, Hatch.
Bryce
1:14
How Chris Shaw improved his stock? If he can play competently in LF, is he a top 100 prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
He has raised it, top 100 maybe a bit much for me. Not a good athlete, power is very easy though.
RotoLando
1:16
You are always at the mercy of the question queue for subjects.  What would you like to talk about, Eric?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
Sharks, David Lynch, how cool my wife is....
but the list isn't long before we start getting to baseball things again.
So this is fine
Danny
1:18
Dude where the hell where you? This whole place is mayhem. The servers went down, there were a couple trade, and Cistulli overthrew Appleman and is now running the asylum and bringing back Notgraphs
Eric A Longenhagen
1:20
I was in Seattle for a bit and then in Olympic National Park. Cistulli sent me the video of Appelman tied to a chair, being forced to listen to poetry about mediocrity until NotGraphs became a thing again.
Mounds
1:20
How many dongs will Devers hit ROS?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:21
I'll guess 10, 6 of them very quickly and then pitchers make an adjustment.
CB
1:22
Every week I ask about Luke Voit, who you didn't even give an HM on your prospects list. Then he gets called up and steals playing time at 1B, and you mysteriously stop chatting for two weeks.  Can we talk about him now?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:25
He's very entertaining. Plus raw power, pull-heavy approach. I think he has good hitter's timing and that he'll get to some of the power, the question is, at first base only, if it's enough. He was certainly hitting like it at Memphis but let's keep in mind that he's 26 and is unlikely to keep up a .360-something BABIP when confronted with big league shifts.
Alec Asher Wojciechowski
1:26
Are you going to do a midseason update on the top 100 and/or team prospect lists?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:26
Yes. I'm just about done with updated org top 10s. Tell teams to stop distracting me with trades.
Alec Asher Wojciechowski
1:27
Any thoughts on Patrick Sandoval or Abraham Toro-Hernandez?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:31
Sandoval was a nice overslot flier in the 11th round of the 2015 draft. Solid athlete with curveball feel. That's typically enough at lower levels. Toro-Hernandez I've seen at 3B, not catching, but he has the arm for it and a chance to hit for some power.
Billy Beane
1:31
Seen any of Jesus Luzardo? Seems like an exciting prospect
Eric A Longenhagen
1:31
Tonight, I think?
Braník Best
1:32
You put a 55 FV on Devers before the season. Would you still expect him to be 55 or has he crossed the 60 threshold?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:33
He's crossed it
El Fuego
1:33
What can you tell us about the prospects the A's (the ones not named Treinen) got from the Nats in the great reliever purge?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:35
Luzardo was a polished Florida lefty with changeup and breaking ball feel but a mature body and low-90s velo as a rising HS senior. As a senior he started throwing a lot harder, then blew out. As he rehabbed he got in better shape, came back throwing as hard as he did pre-injury. Hoping to see him tonight in Mesa but have to double-check if he goes tonight.
1:36
Neuse is a power over hit 3B prospect with a plus arm. 40 run, 55 raw power, fringe bat but fairly patient.
Greg
1:36
Did you catch Banda's MLB debut? To my untrained eye he looked excellent. 96 with three pitches. Pitching in Reno is hard - is he better than his number indicate?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:37
I did, actually. I think the changeup will end up being his best pitch, still have an overall 50 on him.
Bob
1:37
Do you see Verlander to the Cubs as a realistic possibility?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:37
After they made a deal with the White Sox, I'll believe anything is possible now. Not sure they have the horses for Verlander, though. Unless they're willing to part with pieces on the big club.
Chris
1:37
Do you see the Rockies sticking McMahon at 1B? Does his bat play well enough to stick there? I have seen that they are also trying him at 2B and rumors have been that they like what they see there defensively.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:38
Scouts outside the org say 1B-only.
Julio Pepper
1:39
My good friend Maxamuz and I were discussing Khris Davis's atrocious arm yesterday. He's obviously a strong person, but this doesn't translate into arm strength. I know it doesn't work like that, but from a biomechanical point of view, what *is* the major determinant of how hard/fast a person can throw? Is it mostly how fast you can rotate your arm about the shoulder? What do scouts look for?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:41
I don't know if there are specific coefficients for each of the variables but, mostly, it's internal rotational velocity of the shoulder and elbow. How you produce it depends on several other physical factors.
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