Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
Hi everyone, we've got some great questions in the queue so I wanna hop into things quickly, but just a heads up on what I'm up to today:
1:04
I'm hitting instructs after the chat. Oak, AZ, SF and a KBO team. Looks like I'll be doing the AL Wild Card live chat tonight with Sullivan, too. So come enjoy a more scout-y flavored chat if you're so inclined.
Ok, let's do it.
Billy
1:04
Have you gotten a chance to see Corey Ray yet this fall? What are your opinions on him?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
I assume you mean the Brewers Corey Ray and not the Royals (who I saw throw a bullpen yesterday, he looked good). Haven't seen CF Ray but heard he was on crutches this week so I'm looking into that.
Dan
1:05
Is Aristides Aquino a potential top 100 prospect heading into next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:06
Probably somewhere on there or at least very much in the discussion. There's some swing and miss and stiffness there but potential plus-plus raw power too.
Arthur
1:06
Is Aledmys Diaz legitimate? Or is he due to regress?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:07
So, when I saw Diaz in Fall League I did not love it. Thought he'd be a plus hitter but not a SS and the swing was so geared for contact that I didn't think he'd hit for enough power to profile anywhere else as more than a 45 type of player.
I don't know if he made a change or if I was just wrong, but I know I wasn't the only one the think those things last Fall.
1:08
I'm skeptical of his ability to repeat this, but the Cardinals churn out guys who have exceeded my expectations pretty frequently so I'm not going to admonish anyone for being optimistic. It's justifiable.
S/O Lester Holt for bring back "admonish"
Greg
1:08
Do you think Zack Collins will have trouble making contact as he moves up the ladder or do you see his current strikeout rates being a result more of consistently running deep counts?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:10
I do think there's swing in miss caused by the swing itself and not just the approach but I think you're right to consider the approach when looking at the contact rate. The power/OBP combo absolutely plays everyday if he can catch, even with the strikeouts. But not everyone is sold on him back there. There are those that think the bat profiles at 1B too, if it needs to.
BK
1:10
Did Rowdy Tellez's big 2016 season show enough strides to consider him an impact bat in the majors within a couple years?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:10
If he keeps hitting like this then yeah, but I remain skeptical. Really think he's going to get exposed in the Majors.
William
1:10
Does Dustin Peterson have enough power to hold down a corner outfield slot ?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:11
Yes but probably only as a platoon/low-end regular. Still a nice piece.
David L.
1:11
Rosell Herrera had a pretty strong year in Double-A but without the power he once flashed. What do you make of him?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:12
Don't know if he ever really recovered from that hand/wrist injury. Looks like it might be one of those that wrecks a career.
Greg
1:12
I have read about Dillon Tate exhibiting a pretty severe loss of velocity after being drafted. Have you heard anything in the way of explanation whether it might be injury related or mechanical or otherwise?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
He looked great during Spring Training, I think I had him up to 96 or 97, so I don't think I'd say it was down "after the draft" but yeah his stuff went away this year. Tate has a pretty unique developmental history (remember, this guy was a reliever at UCSB until his junior year and was expected to be one that year too) so it could just be fatigue from suddenly throwing more than ever before. We'll see where things are at in Fall League.
Chopper
1:14
Is Chih-Wei Hu a potential #3? Or too optimistic?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
That might be a little aggressive but how many 70-grade splitters have you seen? That pitch is insane.
CarrotJuice
1:15
Which infraction do scouts think was worse: the Preller/Padres medical files or the Cardinals hacking the Astros?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
StL
CarrotJuice
1:15
Do you think Moncada would be able to produce *right now* for the Red Sox?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:16
I thought he was talented enough to do SOMETHING of use upon call-up but it's Fall League for him and I don't see Boston adding him to the postseason mix unless something catastrophic happens. Let him develop into a superstar, he's got the ability.
Undecided
1:16
"The Tim Tebow Experience" has got me thinking again of another ex college & NFL QB: Washington Husky & Tennessee Titan Jake Locker. He was drafted by the Angels and I always wonder "what if" he chose baseball over football. Do you have any grades on him?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
Never saw Locker. I love two-sport guys, though. So do scouts.
Gary
1:17
Jesse Winker, any thoughts on a possible rebound?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
I've always loved the bat but he just can't stay healthy.
Bosa
1:17
Jurickson Profar's future has to be somewhere else right? Banister refuses to play him full time.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
I think there's a good chance he gets traded this winter, yes. It's just about finding the right fit and some of that is going to depend on where Profar is comfortable playing, defensively, going forward. If he's willing to play anywhere then look at clubs that seem to value versatility and those are the most likely suitors.
Looking at you, Tampa.
Louis
1:19
How do you see Dustin Fowler most likely ending up in the long run? What is his possible ceiling if everything clicks?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
Average everyday player.
Daito
1:19
have your thoughts changed at all on what tier of pitching prospect Yadier Alvarez sits in?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
Nope. Dude is a stud.
Jon Targaryen
1:20
I know hes not a prospect anymore, but are you in the Luis Severino won't be a starter long-term camp? Or do you think it's reasonable to expect him to develop a third offering?
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