Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:04
Good morning from Tempe. We'll likely hold firm the an hour today as I've got to get to the west valley for a Fall League game (Stephen Gonsalves throwing again for Surprise).
A few things before I dive in, first...
Rockies list went live today, it's here: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-24-prospects-colorado-rockies
12:05
Second, there are A LOT of hypothetical trade proposals in the queue. Sorry, but I'm not one for that kind of speculation so I'll be avoiding those. Let's begin.
Max
12:06
If you had to pick one Arizona Fall League player to take No. 1 overall in a draft, who would it be?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
If Moncada still counts even though he left with another injury of his, then him. If not I'm picking between Bellinger, Eloy Jimenez and Gleyber Torres.
John
12:07
Will Alfaro make the Phillies starting roster? Possible for a Sanchez-like rookie season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Sanchez's rookie year was historic, so even if Alfaro does make the opening day roster (which I think is unlikely) I wouldn't expect that kind of year.
Ryan
12:07
How optimistic should the Reds be about their future? Do they have prospects worth being excited about or should fans not hold out much hope? Seems as if compared to other rebuilds, theirs isn't going particularly well
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
I've disagreed with the type of pitcher CIN has targeted in recent year. Lots of guys I considered relievers. But they had a great draft and made some splashes in Latin America this year so it's not all gloom and doom.
Nick
12:09
Read your Rockies prospect rankings - what do you think of Willie Abreu? Looks like power but maybe no contact.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
Yup, you're on it. Love the power but none of the scouts I talked to thought he'd hit enough to profile and I thought the same when I saw him during instructs.
John
12:09
Alex Jackson or Ryan McMahon... any value left in either or are they both in the "bust" category
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
I'm off of McMahon entirely but other scouts still like the power and the beauty in the swing. Jackson is a wait and see for me.
John
12:11
Berrios... ugh... say it ain't so. Odds of making some solid progress in year 2?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Just looked like a different pitcher last year than he did as a prospect. I have very little idea what to expect.
Twins Fan
12:11
Regarding Fernando Romero, Do you think he is a starter? What would you put his potential at?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
I'm knee deep in the Twins list right now and he's probably not a starter based on my current notes.
Eminor3rd
12:12
Can Carson Fulmer be a starter?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
Yes, but I think it's more likely he ends up in relief.
Jack
12:12
What position does Franklin Barreto end up playing?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
CF for me
Jack
12:13
Can Frankie Montas stick in the rotation or is Oakland better off turning him into a power bullpen arm?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
I assume they'll try him in the rotation because it makes sense to try to extract as much value as possible from that stuff but given the injuries and control issues he's probably a reliever.
Nick
12:14
How come we don't see more prospect for prospect trades when new GMs take over? Let's say Klentak came in a didn't like Crawford as much as, say, Brendan Rodgers, I made an offer to the Rockies.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
You alienate your scouts and front office members who acquired those players?
Nietsniew
12:15
I still love Garrett Whitley. I love his swing and bat speed. Is there hope?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Did not look good during instructional league. Tools are still good and we're talking about a raw bat from the northeast in his first full pro season, though.
Michael
12:16
After Billy McKinney dropped off this year, can he bounce back and be a top 100 prospect again?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
I don't think so I put a 40 on him at the deadline.
Big Joe Mufferaw
12:16
Brine your Greg Bird? I know you're not the biggest Bird fan, but isn't his power and walks enough to make him a pretty safe prospect? (Plus the fact that he has hit MLB pitching very well).
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
I think he's an average regular.
Hans
12:17
The Padres are reportedly going to give Urias some time at short next season. Do you think he has a shot at sticking?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Nope.
JH
12:18
As a passive consumer of prospect news, instructional leagues seem like a total black box, but a potential font of information. Do you see any effort to open up instructs more broadly in the coming years? For instance, I know teams keep numbers on how their guys perform but don't make them public (similar to how the Arizona League was circa 2002). Do you see any value in making that information more widely available?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
If anything I think orgs will start guarding their prospects more during the fall.
MeDeKe
12:18
Good morning, Eric. I'll wait to see your full report when you get to the NL East division, but is Victor Robles the next end-all be-all prospect, or simply a projectable above-average player? Much thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
He's a potential start, one of the top 15 prospects in baseball I'd say.
Natsurally
12:19
When teams are looking at prospects, how much more or less is a high floor worth than a high ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
Depends on the team's situation and the scout/executive in question. Some would argue high-ceiling players are of more significant importance for low-budget teams because they can't buy that kind of player on the open market. Others would say that team needs a more certain ROI and a high floor player is more valuable.
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