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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
I like ceiling.
(Cameron cringes)
Dave
12:21
How much of Francisco Mejia's outlook is influenced by his hit streak? If he had one hit-less game in that time, would he still be considered as high of a prospect as he is?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Maybe a little bit, but we're still talking about a twitchy catcher with plus bat speed and a 7 arm regardless of the streak.
Bob
12:22
What do you think Matt Strahm's full potential is?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
#3/4 type of arm if everything comes together. Quite good.
John
12:22
What do you think Ryan O'Hearn could become?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
Average everyday first baseman.
Dumpster Fiers
12:22
Will Alex Meyer live up to his once top prospect ranking in LAA?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
I do not. Could do well in relief, though.
Erik
12:23
One thing I've learned from reading your reports is that a player with an initially unimpressive-looking report of a bunch of 50s and 55s is actually an excellent prospect, especially if one of those 55s is game power and the player plays an up-the-middle defensive position (like Brendan Rogers). Can you give some examples of proven major leaguers who are 50-55 across the board to have in mind when thinking about that sort of prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
Maybe Brandon Belt, Logan Forsythe, Nick Gordon is that kind of prospect but with less power than Rodgers. Denard Span.
Erik
12:25
Roughly how many 80-grade tools should we expect to see across all your prospect write-ups? Something like max one or two per tool? Are there some tools where we should definitely expect no 80s? I'm thinking that projecting 80 command in particular would be extremely unlikely.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Probably a dozen or so when all is said and done, especially for power, arm and speed from hitters and fastballs from the arms.
Toki
12:26
What's Cody Bellinger looking like? He going to be a solid replacement for Gonzo in the future? What type of typical production do you envision for him?
Eric A Longenhagen
Lame puns about Prices and Sales
12:26
What does the development track look like for a 16 year old international signing like Kevin Maitan? What type of leagues are they playing in? When can they expect to progress to MiLB in the US?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
They're not doing anything other than working out in Latin America when they sign. Many of them come to the states from Fall Instructional League and then go back for the winter. The next spring they're here and are usually assigned to a rookie-level affiliate, usually at the team's spring training complex where they can be kept close to team facilities while they assimilate to an entirely new culture and work on baseball. This is where you start to see more variation in development. Some kids instill confidence in the org that they're ready to be playing in a tougher league and be on their own out in the world a little more. Those guys get promoted to the APPY or NW Leagues mid to late summer. Others never leave the complex.
Bob
12:29
Harrison Bader is playing really well in the AFL. Can we expect him to crack the top 50, or even top 20 rankings this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Far too rich for me, sorry.
Nick
12:29
Which Pirates infielder do you prefer, Hayes or Newman?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Actually, based on early reports it might be Cole tucker.
greg
12:29
Do you feel like Aristides Aquino will start showing up on some top 100 lists this winter?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Yes, monster raw power and raked all year.
Bork
12:29
Any idea why Gurriel Jr signed for so cheap?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
He's not that good.
Halos
12:30
What's your take on the last 2 Angels first rounders, Taylor Ward and Matt Thaiss.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
Both are interesting prospects but I considered both to be overdrafts. I've had multiple scouts put org grades on Ward here in Fall League.
Big Joe Mufferaw
12:30
Do you see Clint Frazier's upside as more 280-20 HR or 260-30HR?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
Probably smack in the middle of those.
Dock Ellis
12:30
Having a disagreement with a fellow Phillies fan. He argued that the Phillies system is "stacked" with pitching prospects. I argued that only Sixto and Kilome have decent ceilings and they're not even near AA. Can you settle this for me?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
I wouldn't say "stacked" but rather "intriguing".
Matt
12:31
Who would you rather have long term, Ozzy Albies or Travis Demeritte?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
Albies, not close.
Philip
12:31
Any guys on back fields standout for Padres that are bit off radar?
Eric A Longenhagen
YOAT
12:32
Not sure if this is easy to respond to in a chat but might be an interesting post actually. How do you keep all your scouting info organized?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
I have some on-paper notes, some things I keep in spreadsheets and, honestly, when I tweet about pitcher velos that's more for me to access at any given time than it is for readers. I can search "longenhagen brusdar graterol" from wherever I am and know how hard a guy threw on a given date.
Michael
12:33
Liked your piece on the Rockies farm. Clearly, they have quite a few hard throwing arms. Is this a result of aggressive drafting of guys who might profile best in Coors? Will it continue with future drafts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
I think it's less an org philosophy and more a product of the increased velo we're seeing across world baseball.
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