Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Guys who had lost years due to injury. Tyler Stephenson, Lewis Thorpe....there are many
I'd say try to find guys who had bad years because of something other than a deficiency in skill
Dennis
12:28
How excited should Met fans be for Amed Rosario? Apparently he's the best Mets prospect in the last 10+ years.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Very excited, one of the top prospects in all of baseball.
Carlo
12:29
Thoughts on Brewers' SP Brandon Woodruff? Seems to check all the boxes but isn't getting a whole lot a love that I've seen.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
I like him. The velo, breaking ball, I think he throws strikes but doesn't have great command.
12:31
Scouts don't like the arm action and Woodruff has a history of health issues dating back to college, so there's that.
And not everyone thinks the control profile works in a rotation
Mid-rotation stuff, though.
Doug Otto
12:31
Which Reds prospect do you see having the biggest impact at the MLB level for 2017?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
Probably Winker, just because he's on the doorstep.
Jimmy
12:32
How do you grade Honeywell fairly when he has an offering that is so unique? Do you think he's a legit rotational candidate or more of a novelty due to his screwball?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
You more or less have to interpolate a grade based on how scouts deal with the pitch. They have a hard time with that screwball. I put a 6 on it this Fall and think he's a future #3 starter.
John S
12:33
your note on Phil Maton seemed to suggest that the Padres should stretch him out.... or did I read that incorrectly?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
You either read it wrong or I did a poor job of writing it. Pure relief, terrific sleeper prospect though.
Zonk
12:33
Low to Mid-90s fastball, developing secondaries, fringy command. Did I just describe 1/2 the pitchers in minor league baseball?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
You did, no sift through them all and tell me which ones are going to be better than that.
Sonny
12:34
What is a realistic timeline for Yadi Alvarez in LA? Is 2017 too early?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
2017 probably way too fast, more like 2019 or 2020.
Ed
12:34
As their careers are inextricably intertwined (in our imaginary narrative world) due to the 2013 draft - who ya got now? Frazier or Meadows? Has it played out about how you would have expected when they were drafted?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Meadows. I was more on Frazier at the time because I was less educated about the importance of physical projection. Liked them both, though.
Zonk
12:35
What is your take on Albert Almora; does he add enough power or patience to contribute as a regular CF, or is he more a 4th OF type to you? Is that the complete range of outcomes?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Don't think power is coming. If he's more than a 4th OF (I don't think he is) it's because the defense is so good that he's worth playing every day.
Generic Sports Man
12:36
I only know baseball, but I started learning about basketball since that's all my brother cares about. I'm now of the opinion that basketball fandom is culturally similar to baseball. Way more so than football, at least. In particular, there's an embrace of analytics and rational thinking. It feels like there's unclaimed territory out there for a Fangraphs of Basketball. Not exactly a question, but I wanted to share that.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
Zach Lowe is the NBA writer you're looking for. Henry Abbott, too. Basketball essentially had a Statcast before baseball did, it's just not data that's made available to the public with as much pomp as Statcast is. For football, go to Football Outsiders, that's as close to sabermetrics for football as I've found.
Frank
12:37
I know he is not on a minor league team but do you have any thoughts on Seth Beer?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
Great feel to hit, power plays naturally, chance for a middle of the order bat. He's very good.
Matt
12:37
So Eric...Does Patrick Weigel have #2 upside, if his 2016 command is real?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:38
That's probably too rich for me.
Joe
12:38
Getting ready for our rookie draft. What order do you like these guys? Trying to find guys to target in rounds 2-3. Jorge ona, daulton jefferies, Connor jones, Eric lauer, tj zeuch, Joe rizzo, Ronnie dawson, Jameson fisher and Lucas erceg. Sorry for the long list and thanks for answering our questions. Greatly appreciated. Feel free to toss any other sleepers in there that you might like. 16 team 20 man minors.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
Erceg head and shoulders above the rest of those guys.
Q-Ball
12:39
Charlie Tilson.....what do you project for him? CF is certainly wide-open now for the White Sox, so he has an opportunity
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
4th OF.
Matt
12:40
Hey Eric! Talk to me about Christian Pache...Is he the next Victor Robles? Who is a good comp for his skill set?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
I'm a fan. Great body, plus run, feel to hit is okay, probably plays CF long term.
CarrotJuice
12:41
To what extent does spin rate factor into your prospect analysis?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
Somewhat. If I have the data and it's notable for one reason or another I'll tell you, but I also acknowledge that we're trying to nail down how important spin rate is and I think context is essential.
Like, Jeff Hoffman. Good spin rate on the fastball (measured at the Futures Game) but it's very hittable in the zone, much tougher to square up above it.
Zonk
12:43
What organizations do feel are particularly good right now at getting the most out of their talent? Cards and Giants maybe, anyone else?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
I think you identified the most obvious ones. Yankees keep making pitching prospects out of fringe guys but they're all Rule 5'd or traded before they're big leaguers.
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