Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Hi everyone. There's actual baseball being played here in AZ this week, rejoice rejoice.
Oh, the Pirates list is done and being edited, I'd expect that tomorrow.
Let's begin
Owen
12:02
Dylan Cease: SP or RP?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
SP until he proves he can't do it. I like the progression he's shown since returning from TJ, less violent delivery, better fastball and curveball control.
Zonk
12:03
Is there something Mark Zagunis can do to get more interesting for you as a prospect guru?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
Hit left-handed
John Coppy
12:03
If you were me, the GM of the Braves, would you rather bet on Ozzie Albies or Travis Demeritte being the long term answer for 2nd base?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:05
Can someone explain to me where all this Demeritte hype is coming from? He's a solid prospect but nowhere near the talent Albies is. Consider the package that brought Demeritte to Atlanta. Who's driving this bandwagon?
Erik
12:05
What are some of the most common mistakes people make when scouting the stat line?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
They don't marry it with in-person looks.
Alex
12:06
I have the 2nd pick in my prospect draft so I've been debating this for a couple weeks now. Do I go Zack Collins or Jason Groome? OR do I pull a fast one and pick Gsellman? I am certainly competing this season.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Groome
Dan
12:06
Hoping you can clear something up for me. I read a lot of reports about the concern for a guy like Chance Adams (6ft, 215) to stay in the rotation because of his frame. Yet, I don't hear much of the same concern for a guy like Justus Sheffield (5'10, 195). What accounts for this difference? Is it just a lefty/righty thing? What are the indicators that lead to this concern? Thanks for the great work!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
I think generally we care a little too much about on-paper height/weight. The general thought is that smaller pitchers require more effort to get to their velocity and that more stress is put on the arm, making it less likely that they can pitch 200+ innings free of injury.
I don't agree with that.
12:11
If you want to measure stress on the elbow with torque, well....part of the equation for torque is distance from the fulcrum and TALLER pitchers with longer arms/forearms have more of that and arguably just as much if not more stress
If the delivery looks sustainable, regardless of the pitcher's size, I'm open minded about it.
Wes
12:12
Your former colleague was not a supporter of high school arms attending college and turning down signing bonuses. What is your opinion with the train of thought that high school pitchers should choose the pros over college?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
I think every kid/family situation is different and that some have different priorities and needs than others. In general it makes sense to take the money because of all the reasons Keith and several others (including me) have talked about for a while. But I'm not some hardline absolutist on this and, because I know he's a reasonable dude, I doubt Keith is.
Dan
12:15
Miguel Andujar: Average 3B? Less? More?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Just the glove or overall? Glove could be better than that. Overall profile probably right there at average with a chance for more if everything clicks.
Zonk
12:16
What do you think Albert Almora will hit in the majors? Is he an everyday CF in your book?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
40 bat speed, don't see him being an offensive weapon. Could play everyday because the glove is so good but I don't see him hitting very much.
Dave
12:17
With the recent discussions about the Brewers' excess positional depth, albeit with the lack of top level talent, how do you see the Brewers OF playing time situation playing out? Would "riding the hot hand" be detrimental to the development of their young OFs, who may benefit from assured playing time at the big league level?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Yeah, it's a tough situation and a good question. Here's how I think the young Brewers outfielders on the 40 man line up talent-wise: Brinson, Broxton, Santana, Phillips, Reed. I'd do whatever it takes to get those top three guys at-bats.
Erik
12:19
What is it about athleticism that links it to changeup projection? I get that athleticism should help every thing always, but I don't see why a changeup should require any more athleticism than any other pitch.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Refinement/mechanical consistency are big parts of it and athletes develop that.
Ted
12:20
Does their prospect pile make the Yankees a legit threat to become a dynasty in the next 4-5 years?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Maybe, but as we've seen in the recent past a loaded farm system doesn't guarantee you multiple rings. Kansas City looks like they're gonna get one out of it.
Conrad
12:21
Having seen Adrian Morejon during instructs, does it appear that he’s ready to start next season at a full season affiliate?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
He only threw two innings and then was shut down with some arm soreness as a precaution so I can't say for sure. But if reports are true (and in my brief look at him, it appears as though they are) then that would be aggressive but not nutty. The tricky part is budgeting his workload.
joe
12:22
where do you expect the Reds system to rank overall?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
Probably in the top third of clubs
John
12:22
Jose Altuve: BABIP AVG OBP
.347 .338 .396
Luis Urias (A+): BABIP AVG OBP
.348 .330 .397
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Cal League tho
Bork
12:23
Are you surprised that Jose Fernendez signed for so little?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Kind of but not because of talent, he was pretty overhyped. 28y/o 2B only without the power to play there everyday, he hasn't gotten game reps in a few years so he'd need to get up to speed quickly, scouts didn't love the shape he was in at some of his workouts. He's been on the market cleared to sign for a whiel and when it takes this long it's because teams don't like something.
I was surprised by the number because we've seen lesser prospects go for more. Teams like CIN, SD, OAK are all pot committed to this year's J2 class and it makes sense for them to scoop up as many lottery tickets as possible, even if they're overpaying for them.
12:26
The Dodgers did this last year. $200K for Fernandez, they probably found that under the clubhouse couch.
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