Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:03
Good morning, everyone. Let me tweet a link to this thing and we'll get started.
12:05
Okay, just a heads up that my Diamond Mind draft is currently going on. If I step away for a minute it's because I'm aggressively trying to move up.
Also, Cubs prospect list is done and being edited so expect that in a day or so. Brewers are next. That system is fun.
JimLindeman15
12:05
Have you scouted Jordan Hicks, RHP in the Cardinal organization? If so, thoughts? Made two League Top 10 lists, but doesn't crack anyone's Cardinal Top 10-20 lists.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
I haven't seen him but it's 90-93, will show you 95 and it comes in at kind of a funky angle. Flashes above average slider. Good body, delivery is okay. He's a solid prospect, 45 FV type of arm.
DR
12:06
How much does age of a player factor into your draft ranking? Looks like more and more HS players are 19+ at the draft. Do teams discount for age?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
It's certainly a factor and always worth noting if a prospect is especially young or old for his class but it isn't a huge factor.
John
12:07
Who do you feel are the Indians top 5 prospects (in order if you can)? Thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
Mike
12:08
Who do you think has the most upside in a dynasty league: Jose Albertos, Ariel Jurado, German Marquez or Trevor Clifton?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
Albertos has the most upside but Marquez is really good, ceiling maybe a half grade below Albertos, and is a much safer bet.
Joey
12:09
Does Julio Urias have much more projection or is his stuff his stuff at this point given mature body? When he settles in is he closer to a super Ricky Romero or a David Price type stats wise?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
I think you're right, not much projection on the stuff because the body has nothing left to give. I think the command will come, though.
AlphaCino
12:10
Who has the highest power on your top 100 prospects?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
Eloy Jimenez has 80 future raw.
Joey
12:10
Is Kevin Maitan extremely risky? Given accolades and early comps has there ever been an international player flip completely with this level of hype?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
He's pretty risky because he's 17 but so elite among his peers that he's likely to produce some sort of big league value. Miguel Sano was just as hyped, if not more.
Zonk
12:11
Opinion seems divided on Eddy Julio Martinez. What is your take on EJM?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
Not in love with him. Big league regular tools (6 arm, 55 run, 6 raw power) but a lot of swing and miss in the zone and the quality of contact is bad. I think his swing is grooved.
Erik
12:13
Arquimedes Gambia seems to be considered a real prospect in Phillies circles, despite posting a wonderful .200/.250/.292 slash line at Williamsport this year. I get that he's young and plays good defense, but is there anything there to project enough offensive growth to get him up to an average regular eventually? He seems to be starting from such a low level that he can't be anything but a non-prospect.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
It's a projectable body with a swing that looks amazing at 5 o'clock. If you think his in-game issues are strength driven and that his body will naturally solve that problem as it fills out, then yes you project heavily on that guy.
12:15
And I'm not trying to be pedantic, but it's Arquimedez, not Arquimedes. No rap name will ever be better than Arquimedez Gamboa.
Or worse than Meek Mill
Phil Maton
12:15
When do I become a starter?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
Never, I'm cashing in my chips there.
Daniel
12:16
Thoughts on the Seattle/Atlanta/Tampa Mallex Smith trade? It sounds like Atlanta "won", Tampa "lost" and Seattle made a decent deal.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
I guess that depends on what you think of Drew Smyly. I wrote up the rest of the deal here: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-the-braves-and-rays-new-prospects/
I thought Tampa did okay. Don't sleep on Vargas.
Steve
12:17
Will Tyler O'Neil hit enough to be a real force, or do you see more of a .230 hitter w/ K problems?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
I think your concern for the latter is legitimate but still enough power/speed/defensive value that he's a regular for me even if he does K somewhat excessively.
Andy
12:18
If Eloy Jimenez were drafted in 2016, where would he rank among the first year players?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Probably #1? I have a 60 FV on Eloy right now and think every other J2 and draft pick from 2016 maxes out at 55.
Jimmy
12:19
When does a player's arm strength fully develop? Do AAA outfielders, for example, see their arms get better as they progress into their mid 20's?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Depends on the player's developmental background and body.
Gest
12:19
Can you explain prospect writers' belief in Aquino? I'm worried by seeing his slow progression through the low minors. But has something clicked recently that bodes well?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
If you're talking about Aristides then it's because he's been really good when he's been healthy and his injuries have been of the freak variety, not really something that I think will be chronic.
Conrad
12:20
Did you see Hunter Greene at the dream series? Anything new to report? Thanks.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
He just threw a bullpen and looked fine. I left before he threw.
Erik
12:22
Where do you stand on Scott Kingery? Some Phillies fans/writers seem to like him more than Cesar Hernandez as the second baseman of the future, but 2080 Baseball has him as a future 40 (utility man).
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
He belongs in that huge bucket of 2B-only prospects who have very little game power and either need to hit a ton or play amazing defense to profile everyday. I think Kingery can do both.
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