Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
I like both but they each have their warts. Holmes is at least a really good reliever though, Puk's back issues more serious than Holmes' issues with command in my opinion.
Holmes doesn't have Puk's slider, though...
Curtis
12:16
if a starter has only one 70 pitch, is it best if it's a fastball?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Changeup
Beth
12:16
Does Albert Abreu have the potential to be a number 1? 2?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Probably not that high, but I really like him and think he could be a #3.
Don
12:17
Better chance to hit long term, Blake Rutherford or Clint Frazier?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
Rutherford
Rutherford has done nothing but hit everywhere, at every event, since he was a soph in high school.
12:18
And I saw him take Hunter Greene deep in person last year after he clearly wasn't prepared for the first AB where Greene took his lunch money on three straight pitches. He got pissed, adjusted, went deep. I like Rutherford.
Curtis
12:18
With the HR surge last year, are there any modifications as to power grades for players? or are there just more 50s-70s?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Just as it is with the scale for running speed, the scale has more communicative value than it does actual analytical value and I think that's okay.
12:19
If the power spike holds it might adjust the way I put FV on guys but the tool grades won't really change.
Dr. Frank Jobe
12:19
Have you seen Amed Rosario play in person? If so, does he seem as good as everyone says he is?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
I have, he is.
Nick
12:19
Is there any MLB player with 80 game power? Stanton? Chris Davis? Chris Carter? Trumbo?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
80 is 40+ home runs and I'd like to see it for several years in a row . Nobody's has done that unless I'm mistaken. I'm fine with 80 on Stanton's raw because he hasn't gotten there just due to injury and some of those have been totally random.
Our Time is Now
12:21
Which pitcher selected in this past years draft do you think will have the best career when its all said and done?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Pint
Bryan
12:21
Regarding the Cardinals hacking punishment, the general consensus is that they got off light. What would have been an appropriate punishment? There is no precedent that I can think of for something like this.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
It feels light because what went on was so repulsive but you're right, there's no precedent so it's hard to have context for evaluating. If anything, the punishment at least benefits the Astros in a real way, especially given how creative they've been with their draft pool in the past. They get to have some fun in June again.
Nick
12:22
With a top 100 prospects list, can we assume every member is projected to be at least an average regular? If so, how far past the 100 cut off do we expect average regulars?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
For me, the top 100 is going to be all 50 FV and up with probably 40 or 50 of them falling in the 100-150 range or so.
Joe in NC
12:23
Sleeper prospects for the Cubs from last summer's draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Mekkes I guess
12:24
Heard Clark has made some changes that might allow him to keep starting
weber
12:24
Do you believe the recent penalties that were handed down to the Cardinals make them more likely to spend what is necessary for an international player such as Luis Robert from Cuba? Especially seeing as the "premier" talent from the international market has most likely already signed.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
Ah ha, this is a good question and I do think you're on to something.
mcf1417
12:25
Maitan seems to be much higher on national lists than I would have expected. Any reports from Instructs (regarding his defense, perhaps?) that might have led to this?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
Nothing beyond what I was already hearing before he signed. He's a really good prospect.
Jonathan
12:26
What kind of pitching prospect is more valuable - a #4/5 SP kind of guy, or a flame throwing RP?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
A #4/5 is worth around 1.5 WAR, annually. Only 22 relievers were worth 1.5 or more WAR in 2016.
Of course, having a dominant closer means more to a 92 win team than a 82 win one.
But in general, the starter is more valuable.
Mark
12:27
Hey Eric, how would you rank this year's J2 class compared to last year's and 2015's?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Beneath the other two.
gaedel
12:27
Hey Eric, I really enjoy your prospect work - is there an easy, central place to find all your team lists? Thanks.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Just go to one list and there are links at the top to the others. I'll go back and update the first 15 lists with the Cards link today.
Hank
12:28
Who is the top prospect in 2018? 2019? 2020?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Rosario, Rodgers, Longenhagen
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