Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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El Duderino
12:11
Tu parles Francais?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
No I just like Sam Cooke.
37
12:12
Just saw your write-up on Ozzie Albies this morning. I'm excited to see him in the bigs. Some sites have him compared to Jose Altuve without double digit home runs. This seems a little optimistic, comparing a prospect to the best 2B in the game. How optimistic is it though?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Altuve is one of those guys you just don't comp to, ever. He's a wholly unique entity. You can't do it without qualifiers. If a prospect is "This Guy but with more power" or "That Guy but taller and with a curveball" then he isn't This Guy or That Guy.
The Decadent Moose
12:14
Jose Berrios wasn't on your Twins Prospect List evaluation. I'm not sure I've read your opinions on him and his somewhat disaster of a debut. I'd like to read what you have to offer.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
Yeah, he exceeded rookie eligibility last year so not eligible for the list. I'm concerned because he was so horrendously bad but I don't think you just close to book on a guy who was once flashing three plus pitches.
Matthew
12:15
Andrelton Simmons is my favorite player, but now that he's with the Angels I never see him play. Any players coming up who might be as exciting defensively who actually end up on TV?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
I'd just familiarize myself with Francisco Lindor if I were you.
Big Tuna
12:16
Some shine has worn off of Jose De Leon, Lucas Giolito, and Tyler Glasnow. Do you think any of that is warranted or are you still high on their MLB potential?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
I still like all of those guys but have always been lower on Glasnow because I think there's a more significant risk he ends up in the bullpen.
That's lower on Glasnow than others are, not lower on him than De Leon.
John
12:17
Thoughts on Tyler Wade? I've seen him listed up to almost a fringe top 100 prospect. Does he ever hit enough to be land a full time gig?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Probably a utility man or second division regular but yeah I like him. And I think Dustin Fowler is an everyday guy.
East Coaster
12:18
Are there any prospects you are surprised get so much attention or interest by non-industry folks? Or vice versa?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:20
There's usually a guy or two in an org with a loaded system that gets more attention than prospects in other systems. Braves and Yankee prospects are showered with online love. Travis Demeritte (who I think is a good prospect) gets talked about much more than someone like Bryan Reynolds (who I think is a better one) because the Giants fans aren't invested in the farm as much as Braves, Yankees, Padres fans are right now.
12:21
And I get it, people love baseball and if the big league club they root for is bad they want something positive to care about.
It will be this way forever.
Alex
12:21
I need you to talk me into Kyle Muller. I keep reading the fastball is low 90s and it seems like optimistic projections have him with an average curveball and average changeup. Why is that exciting? Why did that warrant the #44 pick and $2.5 million?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
I know, I feel the same way. But think about what sort of feel he must have for pitching to have thrown as well as he did in Texas with upper-80s stuff. He was TX player of the year. Also, he's huge but he does have some physical projection left so there might be more in the tank.
Philip
12:22
Is JB Bukuaskas a starter for you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Yes but not a total slam dunk. I'm less apt to write up someone as a pen arm because of height if the arm works well so it doesn't bother me that he's 6', but there is some effort there. He's filthy, though.
Larry
12:25
Braves' system seems to lack impact power outside of Maitan, right? Do they end up trading for it, or how do they get impact power for the lineup in their future?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Acuna, man. And Dustin Peterson is a big leaguer for me but not "impact".
Conrad
12:25
"(Nick) Allen began swinging lefthanded in the offseason, and his swing shows promise." Thoughts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
Thinking a SoCal trip is a must this spring.
Adam
12:26
Which playoff contender this year is destined to trade a top prospect for a reliever at the deadline?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Nationals come to mind right away but I think Koda Glover might fill that void. Miami too, maybe?
Harvey Birdman
12:28
Why don't we see as many college coaches jump to the pros as we do in other sports?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
That's a great question. It's certainly a different game with different social dynamics between players and coaches. That's the biggest difference but maybe not the most prominent reason. You might have given me next year's Hardball Times Annual essay. Thanks, Birdman.
Dan
12:29
When do you expect to finish the team-by-team top prospect posts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
I'm just going as fast as I can and they get done when they get done. McDaniel got his done on Opening Day, so I'm trying to do it a day before that. It'll be faster next year now that I have my own process and infrastructure (tables and tables of nonsense) built as opposed to building it simultaneously as I write, but I do look forward to being done.
Seiya
12:31
Could you see the Padres taking DL Hall at 3, and giving out higher bonuses to later picks?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
Not sure. Preller was at Vandy on Thursday to see Wright (so was Boras, btw) and they really only have one other pick to play with big money...there's less room for creativity this year.
12:33
But I like how much you like Hall because I think he's a top 10 guy, too.
The Tone
12:34
I know the Mets list is coming very soon, but if you wouldn't mind indulging me - are you confident that Justin Dunn's future is as a starter? Is it just a matter of getting stretched out for him, or does he have more development to do in terms of command and third pitch than most other draftees his age?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
I buy it. Arm is fresh, he's strong and athletic, it's going to be a viable three pitches.
Steve
12:34
Is the current Braves' system historically good? If not, does it have a chance to achieve that status within the next 2 years?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Not historically good yet and in two years you'll probably see some attrition on the pitching side as some guys graduate and some blow out. See: Royals, 2008
Orange President
12:35
Is Robles the top prospect next spring?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
He's on my short list of candidates but if you asked me to pick one right now it's Rosario.
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