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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
Utility type based on reports I've gotten from international sources and based on the deal he got I'd say it's most of the industry's opinion as well.
Hopeful Future GM
1:16
How do you distinguish different grade pitches? Such as, how do you tell the difference between a 50 and a 60 curveball?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
You just go to games and then some more and then a bunch more and get a feel for it. One big aspect of my schedule is getting to big league games semi regularly throughout the year to see what the finished product is supposed to look like and maintain that baseline. Working for a Triple-A team for four years in college was a pretty lucky bounce for me as I got daily closeups of that level of talent.
John
1:18
You're about halfway through the prospect review. How hard is it to stay consistent with your rankings over the course of months? It would be extremely hard for me to say that my 55 FV in December is the same as it is in February after seeing 1000 new prospects.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
So, once you have a prospect's tools projected out you can kind of look and see what type of value that player would theoretically have in the big leagues. That gives you a number to start at. So...
1:20
Okay let's take a Shortstop prospect
and say the tools project to 60 hit, 55 game power, but he's barely passing defensively at short, might be a 45 there.
1:21
You can look at current/former big leaguers who fit that profile and get a feel for what kind of value your prospect is projected to provide.
So Asdrubal Cabreara was a player much like the one I described.
1:22
He was worht 3 WAR last year. That's a 60. As long as you're checking to make sure there isn't a huge difference in K/BB rates and other peripherals, you slap a 60 on the prospect and than dial it back down based on risk. Injury, proximity, makeup, etc. That's where more subjectivity comes into play.
1:23
That's a rudimentary way of describing the process and is probably overly simple but there's a glimpse of how the FV grade gets thrown together. Don't steal it.
Sam
1:24
What ever happened to Rookie Davis? Did he even make any of the Reds top prospects lists?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:24
He's on there, likely backend guy.
Scott
1:24
What's the best comp for Albies? Is he like Jose Reyes with less pop? Jimmy Rollins?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:24
He's just Ozzie Albies.
Anon
1:25
What are realistic expectations for Kyle Higashioka?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:25
Ryan Lavarnway.
Fred
1:25
In Randy Ventura's run grade, you forget the "1" in front of the "55".
Eric A Longenhagen
1:25
Body has really filled out since he left the Dominican.
Fred
1:26
Your characterization of Lucas Sims' fastball as "flat, lifeless" doesn't gel with the Pitch FX data from his time in the AFL, which indicates he had some of the best vertical spin deflection (ie. rising action) of any pitcher in the AFL that year.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:26
Spin ≠ Useful Spin
Steve
1:26
Has Orlando Arcia overrated a year ago by sports writers?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:27
I don't think so, think he might be underrated now by impatient fans and fantasy owners.
Michael
1:27
Have you gotten the chance to see Hans Crouse? What do you think of him?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:27
Yes, several times. Was encouraging his stuff ticked up late last summer, the delivery is unique and tough to confidently say he's a starter.
Big Joe Mufferaw
1:28
Nolan Martinez had amazing spin rate on his FB and Curveball. Could he be a darkhorse to jump way up (if he improves his command even just a bit)?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:29
No idea what his rates are but I agree it's a good fastball/curveball combo and he's a good athlete, stuff just wasn't as explosive from a velo perspective as others in his class. He's a good prospect and it's going to be fun to watch Yankees PD get a hold of him and do what they've done with Chance Adams, Jordan Montgomery and a laundry list of others.
1:30
Okay all I need to get to ASU. Thanks for stopping in this week and everyone be well. Go support a local college team if you can.
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