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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Anaheim gives you Wings
12:32
Are there any benefits to the Angels’ “promote as quickly as possible” program?  Seems like the development is lagging, the players make it to FA sooner, and the minors are left with few pieces.  So what are the pluses?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
There are definitely people in baseball who think the players who are actually good will just perform all the time without any prolonged speed bumps. If that's true then their approach makes sense.
12:35
It made some situational sense given the Ohtani/Trout window, but now it feels kind of rushed as if there need to be results from the pipeline in order for people to keep their jobs
Philip
12:36
By any chance do you have Salas EV data for AFL (all games not just the ones statcast showing)? thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
I do not, some ballparks are using Trackman and others Hawkeye so it might be split up all over the place no matter who you are
Stromile Swift
12:37
Moinelo’s conversion to starting makes him a really interesting FA possibility with his fallback as a potentially elite reliever. Have you heard anything in regards to the potential of him actually coming over? I realize this is a lot more complicated since he has to defect as well
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
I have not. This question and and username are the most Eric bait ever, btw.
12:38
I guess I really have divulged a lot about myself across 8 years of being here
E
12:38
Thoughts on Ballesteros likelihood to stick at catcher to some degree? How much does he move up on the board if he's a catcher? The bat seems impressive for a young guy in AAA.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
He can throw well enough to do it and I think that's key. He definitely lacks the frame/size I want (he's a husky 5-foot-8) and he's been running to the backstop a ton here in AFL. It's more dicey than Liranzo and Agustin Ramirez but I'm still cautiously optimistic
Stromile Swift
12:40
And as a follow up to my previous question, how does it work for an NPB prospect that needs to defect with the posting system? Does he defect then gets “posted”? Seems very messy (and maybe they only end up coming over when they reach FA status)
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
In Moinelo's case he signed a four-year deal in March so it'd be a gigantic mess, and I can't imagine him actually bailing on it. I think the Robert Suarez's of the world wait until their NPB deal is up and they're true FA
Jay
12:42
After reading the LAA report, what is the 'surface' (90th %tile?) for Natera if he's able to hone his command?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
JA Happ?
12:43
Like super well-built lefty without monster secondaries type guy, just hucking strikes with sink/cut, super durable above avg arm strength type guy
Nervous Flyball Pitcher
12:44
Do you believe in Austin Overn making adjustments Cape Cod and forward?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
He's just so narrowly built, the PAC12 tourney look was just okay, more 5th OF look for me than anything else unless he gets stronger. Love football players, of course, but he's gotta add mass
Buf
12:45
How many years would Schanuel have to put up .258/.355/.402 (current projection, 118 wRC+, 2 WAR) before you considered him a 50? I'm guessing it would take over a full season lol. And I think I'd agree!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
Gotta do it multiple years, like avg 2 WAR for 5 yrs
Nervous Flyball Pitcher
12:46
Is there any public-facing data that you use to evaluate players at the CPX/DSL level, or is it all visual scouting and non-public strike zone/plate discipline stuff?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
The latter, if there's a public-facing thing that folks don't know about it's that there are tons of CMPLX/DSL streams on YouTube that you could be watching, and those often have live TrackMan on the stream
That's happening right now. It's awesome. This is how I spend my mornings.
Jason
12:47
Which 2024 draft guys do you like most for dynasty leagues?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:48
For reference: The Board | FanGraphs Baseball
12:50
I'd be targeting the power/speed combo guys like anyone else. I'd be more likely to take a PJ Morlando than a Wyatt Sanford because so much of Sanford's real world ability comes from defense. So Caldwell, Morlando, Lindsey. Pitchers I'd just care about proximity.
Tony Plush
12:50
Any thoughts on Cags in the AFL beyond “tired”?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
Yoked
Truly incredible watching him and Peyton Williams stand next to one another with compression shirts on
James
12:51
Emmanuel Rodriguez had another injury-plagued year. Did he show you anything this year that moves him in a different way on the boom/bust continuum?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
The defense gives him a floor, don't think that guy busts in a true baseball sense
Bort
12:51
Does Logan Evans look like a viable big league starter next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
I have a MIRP grade on him at the moment and I think that SEA/SD/TEX/KC group will be at the end of the list cycle
Refugee
12:52
No question, just happy these are back up and running - are you finding you have more time to do these, or did the crowds of Longenheads outside your house convince you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
Someone I trust and love told me I was too "walled off" now
12:53
And the site deserves the traffic these provide
Plus my coworkers do them and I felt like a chump for forgetting to chat so often that they just evaporated
Kevin
12:53
You mentioned Braden Nett on Effectively Wild as an example of a prospect you would ask for if the Padres wanted extra international pool money to sign Sasaki. Is he a 45/45+ guy now or is that bonus money worth a 35+ guy in your estimation?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
I just pulled a name from the aether
Ski
12:54
In your opinion, are there any tools or skills that are a bit of a blind spot for the scouting industry as a whole? Either because they’re not emphasized appropriately in evaluations or just difficult to evaluate in general.
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