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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Good morning from windy Tempe where I'm working on the Giants prospect list and doubling back on my international bonus info to have as accurate a picture as I can for next week's signing period kickoff...
ICYMI in the last week or so, I wrote about the Luzardo trade Jesús (Luzardo) Is a Phillie | FanGraphs Baseball
12:04
How the Giants list and the Int'l list sequence early next week might depend on whether we learn of Sasaki's destination over the weekend, and how much chaos that creates.
Okay, let's chat, friendos.
JC
12:04
Seems some in Astros are optimistic about Dezenzo in left field.  Is his bat enough to carry him at that position?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:05
I think he is, ideally, playing a multi-positional role on a good HOU team. Minute Maid's LF obviously allows for a lack of range, wouldn't surprise me if he's passable out there.
Sox fan
12:05
Hey Eric - when can we expect your J15 list and are there any prospects of note tied to the Red Sox?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Monday or Tuesday depending on the knock-on effects of a weekend Roki decision. Some teams might not even sign their guys on the 15th as we wait for Roki to decide. You'll probably be able to see what teams feel like they're in it based on who doesn't sign their big time players.
BoSox guys:
12:07
Dorian Soto is a well-rounded little Dominican infielder, more present skill than big time tools, not a ton of projection. About $1 mil
12:09
Harold Rivas, Venezuelan CF, more toolsy CF type, young for the class with mid-2008 birthday, can run and throw but hit tool is generating variable opinions, again about a mil
jj
12:10
How do Josuar De Jesus Gonzalez and Elian Pena compare in both a player sense and a top 100 sense? Are either of them going to make the backend? Which guy do you see being ranked higher a year from now.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
For those unfamiliar: Josuar is expected to sign with San Francisco for a little north of $2 mil, Pena is expected to be a Met for close to $5 mil...
12:12
I like both guys, quick reports on each:
Pena sounds more like 3B but big time hit and power combo, enough to carry the profile anyway. Got a Devers comp on the phone this morning...
12:14
Josuar is more defense and contact-oriented, a real shortstop with plus speed. So they're pretty different guys. Top 100? I've tended to only put fresh Int'l guys on there if they have everything SS/Contact/Body Proj, Josuar is closer to that template but Elian has the more obvious impact power...it's tough, could argue for either
AN1
12:14
Under the radar Orioles pitching prospects. Please rank: Nestor German, Michael Forret, Edgar Portes, Trey Gibson (similar GB% to Framber Valdez), Cameron Weston. Anyone jump out to you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
I want you to know that I appreciate the specificity of this question, but it's one that will best be answered on the Orioles list rather than make everyone wait a half hour while I sit and actually line those dudes up in a coherent, studied way.
You're not the first to ask me about Weston though, so here goes:
12:18
Low slot multi-pitch guy with huge lateral action on a 91 mph fastball. Heavy secondary pitch usage when ahead in the count, especially his curveball. Changeup and curveball both play, worry the lack of velo would make him vulnerable as an actual starter, swingman/long relief type for me.
Grant Taylor
12:18
has ceiling of a #2?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
That's a little too rich for me but I'm Scrooge when it comes to projecting pitcher roles. He's more a no. 3/4 ceiling to me.
Maddoning
12:18
Cubs seem to be counting on Matt Shaw being a Day-1 starter at 3B.  Is this risky, given he has limited AAA experience?  Or is he THAT good?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
I think his fit at 3B felt very sound by the end of the year, went from a guy without an obvious defensive home to a meaningfully good 3B defender in the span of a couple months. I'm in and think he's ready.
Jimmy
12:19
Thoughts on Mets RHP prospects Jonah Tong, Blade Tidwell, & Nolan McLean
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
Tong is a data darling because of his fastball movement. 20 inches of vert is a lot, guys have succeeded as starters with fastball-heavy attacks (Joe Ryan). I don't buy that Tong's 76 mph curveball will be a plus pitch against big leaguers the way it has so far, but his changeup has gotten good enough for that to be ok if true.
12:24
Tidwell is more typical backend guy with that inning-eater frame and stuff that plays down a little bit due to lack of explosive movement.
12:25
McLean, plausible there's a big pop as he focuses on pitching, mid-90s with dead movement, more relief look to me but is throwing hard as a starter
Lord Thunder
12:26
George Wolkow and Brandon Winokur. Lineup-anchoring behemoths or something more pedestrian?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
I like Winokur more because I think he has a shot to play an actual position but I'll take the latter on both guys.
Gram
12:26
Where would you like to see Luciano playing this year? LF, 2B?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
RF
12:27
Hopefully with more effort than we saw during instructs.
80-grade Commenter
12:27
Venezuela has experienced alot of social unrest lately....how has this impacted the talent pipeline from Venezuela?  I imagine it has to have impacted how teams scout players there
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Venezuelan players are often scouted in Colombia, and the last couple of weeks several teams got their upcoming signees out of there early just in case there was unrest around their inauguration etc.
PuzzlePiecePickers
12:28
Is Clayton Beeter's future strictly as a reliever? If so, could he be a high leverage type as early as this season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Yes to the first part, probably not to the second part.
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