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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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TooDamnTall
12:22
I just wanted to say a big thanks for all your work.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
My pleasure, thank you
SteveS
12:22
Eric: Love your work. If you had to invest in 3 prospects (not including Roki) that are likely to contribute this year, who would they be?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Matt Shaw, Jacob Melton, AJ Smith-Shawver
Bob
12:24
Given the volatility with teenage prospects, international signings seem to be a a real crapshoot. Do you know if there has study correlating signing bonuses and career WAR?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Bonus amount was the most influential and telling variable last study I became awareof, but keep in mind the variables we have for that market are limited. Teams are tracking contact rates, hell even growth plates and stuff like that. I don't have anything like that. Height, weight, DOB, what academy they train at, bonus amount...pretty limited
Bork
12:25
FYI Davidi just reported Guardians sent the Jays $3.75m
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Yowser
12:26
I'd guess that's happening, I don't think they'd be trading for space unless they knew they had him, wouldn't be doing it on spec in a race with the Dodgers.
Bork
12:26
Oh cancel the $3.75m, it's just cash. I'm smart.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Ah, see, I can get got in these chats
Adam
12:27
Paul Gervase really looks interesting to me. Does he get a shot at the Majors this season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Yeah, he's behind he guys already on the 40-man, but conceivable he gets his first taste in '25, think he's a really good bet for '26
Kate
12:28
What's your read on JR Ritchie after his return from TJ?  Velo didn't seem all the way back.  Is this the new normal and we need to knock him down an FV tier?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
I'll probably hold it where it is and knock him down if it isn't better during the spring.
TooDamnTall
12:28
Is projecting a pitcher to increase velo less likely now that most/all of been through a pitching lab?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
It depends on the individual, even the ones who have been in a lab aren't necessarily done growing as people, physically or personally.
Pinstripe Perry
12:30
Is there anything specific you've noticed with how NYY is developing catchers defensively? Seems they've been able to repeatedly help both MiLB and MLB guys improve (Wells, Trevino, etc.). Is that an org skill or happenstance?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
I think Tanner Swanson is good.
Kate
12:30
Is Drake Baldwin a Murphy injury away from being the everyday starting catcher in Atlanta?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
I think so, yes.
Bet he'd split time with Chadwick initially, though.
12:32
Ok, someone just texted me that the 2 mil Cleveland sent to Toronto was all of their remaining pool
Jays Fan
12:32
If the bluejays sign Sasaki would we kiss our entire class for the upcoming period goodbye or do we keep some
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
This is becoming the question, right? How much money is it gonna take to sign him, and how much can you acquire to try to keep Polanco. If you can't keep him, who has the money to go get him? Cleveland would have been my answer but now they're out of money.
Dan the Man
12:34
Jac Caglianone or Nick Kurtz in a FYPD draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
Kurtz
Betcha Kurtz is the first bat from 24 to get there
Alex
12:34
Should we be scared of Ethan Salas' production last year? Or should it be explained away as him being a teenager in A+ ball?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Little of both, if you're wondering for the purposes of fantasy baseball then you should move on from him, it's a defense-driven profile.
Alf
12:35
I assumed that Toronto (or LA) would be giving Sasaki all of its international bonus pool money ("committed" or not). Are you saying that's not the case?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
We just don't know yet. If the guy didn't care to make $200 million two years from now, what's the difference between 3 mil and 7 mil to him?
&Bullwinkle
12:36
Robert Calaz is a guy who has shown up on several of Top 100 lists this offseason -- He's #10 on your 2025 COL list after being a way-too-early pick-to-click last offseason. What is keeping you more reserved in on him after his 2024?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
The K's, he has so much swing and miss. The exit velos are huge but so were Maikel Escotto's.  Plus I was told by a scout not with COL that Calaz had shoulder surgery after the season. My Rockies source won't confirm it to me (either way) and I don't understand why.
Gram
12:38
Any path to the majors for former Baller Elijah Pleasants?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
Yeah, he's okay, has the body to add velo if he keeps at it, hasn't been in pro ball on a strength program all that long. Been on my radar since his Dream Series bullpen, hope it works out for him.
Matt
12:39
Any updates on the lawsuit against the Angels for reneging on agreements with DR players from a couple years ago?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
No, I bugged Passan about it this week and he had no updates on it, either.
sliptoad
12:40
It seems like you've been the high man on Melton for a while, the consensus on the Tucker trade was that Smith easily slotted in at the top of the farm, compared to other writers are you higher on Melton or just lower on Smith?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
Higher on Melton
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