Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:02
Mornin'. Shorter chat today since I was on for three hours last night during our opening day chat marathon.
12:04
One last thing before I start, there A LOT of questions in the chat asking when Prospect X is going to be in the big leagues. Blanket answer: I don't know. Too many variables impact that sort of thing that have zero to do with the player's performance.
Let's all remember Mike Trout didn't get a call because of his performance, but because Vernon Wells was hurt.
Larry
12:05
I know you said moving Soroka/Allard to Double A shows how the Braves view them, but isn't it kind of an unnecessary risk? They're 19, and Allard only has 60 innings of full season ball. What's the point of this for a rebuilding team?
John S
12:05
Now that prospect assignments are leaking in, can you point out a few that you're surprised about (too aggressive or too low)?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Teams know more about their own guys and what they can handle than I do, so it's not reasonable for me to be critical of things like this. I can say, in regard to the Braves, that if you asked me to pick the two guys who could handle aggressive assignments among those arms, it'd be Allard and Soroka.
12:07
Onil Cruz is the one whose midwest league assignment surprised me most, but I don't know that it's a bad idea.
Trixie
12:07
Which of the three Padres Rule 5 prospects has the highest upside?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
Diaz. 94-97, chance for plus breaking ball and above average changeup. If he throws strikes and stays healthy he's a mid-rotation arm. But he hasn't been able to do either throughout his career.
Alan
12:08
Where would Otani rank in the current Top 100?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
#1, as I said in the piece
Astros Fan
12:09
Is Jon Singleton still a prospect? Can we still expect any future value from him?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
He is not technically a prospect any more and I just don't know at this point. He's had non-baseball issues that have been quite public. I thought he was very talented when he was a prospect and that he'd be very good.
Trixie
12:11
Is there any hope for JJ Schwartz to get taken in the first two rounds? How did his stock plummet so quickly?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Probably not. Can't catch, grooved swing.
Wendell
12:11
Does Amed Rosario have one of those 80-grade baseball bodies? Looks like a shortstop version of Heyward kinda.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
It's a great frame, I think there's more power coming.
Odor's Horses
12:13
With all the talent the Rangers have traded away from the farm in the past few years, is it impressive that they are still middle of the pack in the rankings?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Yes, they have a great program. Dev and scouts.
Pops
12:13
Do you see Scott Kingery as part of the rebuild in Philadelphia?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
I do
Drew
12:13
Does approach/batting eye factor into the hit tool? I know some organizations/scouts make it their own standalone tool. Do you feel like it only needs to be mentioned if its out of the ordinary?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
It is separate, but is almost certainly mentioned in every report. Of course, the merits of limited in-person looks vs. long term data collection, in that specific area, is up for debate.
Clock
12:15
How is the type of advanced data we collect at the MLB data collected, or not collected, at the MILB level?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
It is but almost always proprietary. Teams have trackman and statcast type stuff going on at all of their affiliates and, in many cases, at their spring complexes and minor league backfields. They largely keep the data to themselves but some clubs share with one another.
Drew
12:16
Are there really only 3-5 starting caliber catchers in the minors at this point?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
No, probably a couple more than that.
Dr Morris
12:17
Who are a couple of your draft favorites from the second tier of college SP? Canning/Crowe/Schmidt et al?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
I've been impressed by Heimlich and Canning
Mark
12:17
Hey Eric, could you briefly comment on your 50 FV on Alford and the, basically, 80% bust rate by KATOH? Is it mostly playing time?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
KATOH and I are independent entities. I don't think KATOH realizes Alford's background or that he was hurt much of last year.
Travis
12:19
Do you think the hype on Luis Robert is warranted?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Not sure what kind of crazy hype he's getting elsewhere but here I consider him a top 100 type of prospect, power/speed/approach are all good, body looks great.
John
12:21
if you had to take one which farm system would you take between Detroit, Miami, and Los Angeles Angels
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Either Anaheim or Detroit.
TooDamnTall
12:21
How much hope do you have for any given pitching prospect to develop command? Or put another way, what percentage of pitching prospects who need to develop better command, actual achieve it?
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