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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
I think the draft often just falls the way it falls and I'd rather take an arm i felt good about than a hitter I felt like i had to take. I think you're right that they need a strategic shift to help create hitter depth in the system, though, I just think that needs to come in the Latin American market, spread their bonus pool out to more than just one or two big guys
Thomas
12:39
how often do you see, say, a teenager hit well vs A+ or AA pitching and think "my eyes tell me they arent good and aren't going to be good, but they are performing well"?  Does that player usually end up being good or bad?  I just ask because to me, "teenager hitting well in A+/AA" is a *really* quick heuristic I have used.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
It'll depend some on the hitting environment but I tend to trust my eyes. This year's prominent examples are Michael Arroyo and Sal Stewart. Neither is for me despite the way they look on a spreadsheet
Oaktown Blues
12:40
Gunnar Hoglund was sitting 95-97 in his ST outing the other day. How much would a return to his pre-TJ velo affect his outlook?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
That's *more* than his pre-TJ velo and I wanna see it over more innings, please. But that's exciting af.
Chris
12:40
This goes a few chats back...you have KG>Dirk? What!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
I do! No disrespect to Dirk, whose jersey (the green one that Puff designed) sits in a big rubber maid bin in my dad's basement.
Dodgers Blue
12:42
On the flip side - any prospects you were super excited to see but left you with concerns after watching live?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
oh so many. I saw Caden Dana this spring and was sweating over his lack of FB command and lack of slider usage. I was ready to yell at the catcher.
12:44
who else...???
I remeber when Mac Gore couldnt throw strikes, that was terrifying
12:45
I've seen Rocker get shelled
I watch Jasson DOminguez play defense and worry
so many, there's only one Trout
John
12:45
Do you think Franklin Arias or Brailer Guerrero could be big risers by next year? What do you think of them generally?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
Like both those guys. Brailer I wrote up on the Rays list, which published last week. Swing is a little long into the zone but idk if that was because his shoulder was bothering him
Arias I love the glove, thought he was just okay as a hitter
looks good on the spreadsheet, though
John
12:46
Also you seem to be by far the high man on Yoniel Curet. What do you see from him that others are missing?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
I can't speak to what others aren't seeing
12:47
held mid-to-upper-90s across 100+ innings each of the last few years, breaking ball has been plus at times and not at others, leads the minors in K's the last two years, seemed to find a changeup late last year, is on the 40-man and on the cusp of the big leagues
12:48
seems good to me idk, wish his feel for location was better
Oaktown Blues
12:48
Do you have any intel on Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang? His results were great last year, but do you think his stuff plays in the majors?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
He's okay, thought he pitched well in the WBC qualifier, t96, sits 93, plays down a bit due to angle, miss and chase rates on all his secondaries were a little below average last year, throws strikes tho
could be a 40 if you like him
he's not Jo-Hsi Hsu or anything like that
Next CBA
12:51
Thoughts on how to make low spending teams competitive via next CBA?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
Damn good question.
lemme think on that for a sec
Here's a crazy one:
12:53
What if the league dictated that the owner would only get a % of the franchise's sale if they "underspent", like the salary floor is X, and you can have a payroll lower than X but then you get docked $ upon sale in proportion with the % that you're below the floor?
like rolling average over a period of time % type thing
let's try to concoct another one...
12:54
let's try to create a positive incentive this time rather than a punishment....
What about creating a payroll expectation metric based on market size (and maybe other factors) and rewarding teams with picks and such when they exceed it?
12:55
Picks and hosting the ASG and hosting neutral site tournaments and such like that?
these are totally sober thoughts btw
Silverback
12:55
Should I continue to hold Marco Luciano in my dynasty league?  Does he ever become a solid pro?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
If anyone in your league still likes him, trade him
Guest
12:56
I've been reading various pieces about how a kick change can help fastball slider pitchers with more side arm slots find a 3rd pitch. Are there any prospects you can think of that may benefit from incorporating a kick change?
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