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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Good morning, everyone. Your boy woke up with a fever so there's a chance I cut things short depending on how I trend over the next hour.
12:08
Quickly, some links:
White Sox list is next! Very exciting.
Billy
12:09
Is Christian Oppor a dude? Looks like Hjerpe with more velo to my eye
Eric A Longenhagen
12:10
That's isn't quite the comp I'd make but his fastball is *really* sneaky
Got a ton of whiffs on it this week from the Guardians kids.
Definitely a prospect
Billy
12:10
Anything on Dylan Questad?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Was like 90-94 the other night, threw more sliders than heaters, got 11 whiffs. He's okay, more depth starter look for me at first blush.
soko
12:11
at some point you compiled a video of nick swisher (?) saying "josh breaux" a bunch of times. is this important document still online anywhere?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
Man, I did. I don't know if I have that laying around anywhere anymore. I promise to go looking for it and republish it somewhere if I can find it.
Baby Cubs
12:13
How much can we take from Cade Horton’s fb velo/shape improvement through 2 starts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
It looks great, he's up to ticks and movement wise isn't pronating as much as May '24. Delivery looks a little less violent, too. Very positive.
Brandon Hyde
12:14
Super interesting Orioles list, lots to look forward to. What did you mean exactly when you said the O's don't have the kind of "high-end impact" that helps in October -- young flame throwing bullpen pieces? Who would be your pick for a guy or 2 to be a part of a successful October O's pen -- maybe McDermott or De Leon?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Yeah you're right, I meant "starters", but it's totally feasible for either of those two guys or Fruit and Wells to be bullpen weapons by the end of the year.
12:17
I've been yelling "Are you rrreeeadddy to smaaash some Fruit?!" all week
qane
12:18
On the edge of my seat awaiting the Red Sox prospect list. Two questions on the topic. (1) There are those who seem to think Franklin Arias is a year or two from being one of the best prospects in baseball. Him not making your top 100 would suggest you think otherwise. Love to know more. And (2) your inclusion of Jedixson Paez on your top 100 when few others have him even in the Sox top 15 was surprising. Do you have thoughts on this different perspective? Thanks.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
I mean, I *like* Arias a good bit, he's a real SS with a real arm. I am a bit more reserved about how much offense to project. He's a smaller-framed guy with a mostly oppo-geared swing. I don't see him as an Elly De La Cruz type of talent or anything like that, or a Willy Adames type where I'm ready to project big future power based on his build even though he's young. There are more than 100 good prospects in baseball, right?
12:23
Would it surprise me if Arias is on the 100 eventually? No. If he proves the offense part is real against better pitching, I'd be foolish not to adjust where I value him. But  at this stage he's more in that 45 or 45+ area for me.
Paez idk why others aren't as on him, I can't speak to that. It's a good question for them.
Keith P.
12:25
Thanks Eric! Any chance George Lombard Jr. develops even an average hit tool? It seems like everything else is Grade 50 or better
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
If you're hitting it hard enough you can make a below average rate of contact and still have a good batting average
MiLB
12:26
Who are some backfield guys that really impressed you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
I'm gonna send you to Chris Blessing's podcast episode from April 2 where I go into detail on my spring looks. The Eyes Have It - A BaseballHQ Prospect Podcast - Podcast - Apple Podcasts
20longyears
12:27
Temarr Johnson has a ___% chance of developing into an above-average MLB second baseman.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
Like 10%? Has to get to the power, I'm not sure he'll be able to sustain a 15% walk rate in the bigs.
Brandon Lowe is the positive comp to make at this point
Johnny5Alive
12:29
You had really moved Alex Freeman up your list prior to the season and suggested a possibility he even breaks camp. He obviously didn't, but given the dodgers IF, chances he gets the call sooner rather than later?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
I thought so for the reason you mention, but he was clearly pressing and striking out a ton all spring
Guest
12:30
Khal Stephen has looked super good through 2 starts. What have you been seeing?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
An SEC guy getting a Low A assignment should generate a big eye roll from everyone, but he looks pretty good. Sat 93-94 in his first start then 92-93 in his most recent one. Got a ton of whiffs on his changeup even though many of them finished in an odd location.
12:33
Looks fine, he's a good prospect, not different enough to move him unless the cambio keeps doing this for a longer period of time
Lord Thunder
12:33
Does Seattle prospect Ryan Sloan have a shot at reaching Jobe, Dollander, Painter territory?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
He's definitely nasty. Painter is tough because Sloan doesn't quite have that size, but yeah he has star-level talent.
Han Tyumi
12:34
Who are the next couple SP prospects you see getting the call that you would roster in a 12 team roto league with QS? Excluding bubba chandler.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
Logan Henderson, Brandon Young, Cade Horton
Scotty
12:36
Eric! Luis Pena is lighting up A ball but hasn't been hitting for much power at all. Thoughts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
Eh, it's only a week, let it air out a bit.
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