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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:04
Hey everyone, welcome back to another Friday prospect-y chat. It's a perfect day here in Tempe. Let's roll through your questions as I prep for the Dodgers list.
ransofast
12:05
do you think chase burns will be pitching in cincinnati in august/september?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
I think there's a good chance, yes. I picked them to win the division in part because they've got such a great combination of pitching depth and impact waiting around in Louisville and Chattanooga, I think they'll have the incentive to promote him pretty aggressively and he has the innings foundation to work deep into the season.
Buff
12:06
You’ve generally been low man on Robby Snelling. Anything in his strong start, increased velo to bump him up a bit?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
He's sitting 93 now, so it's not like it's a huge bump in which he suddenly has plus velo or anything. Changeup looks okay. Still more 45 type for me rather than an impact guy. Big league rotation piece, though.
David
12:07
It's only been 4 innings across two outings, but Ryan Sloan's stuff is seems very real. Certainly three years away from the majors but where is his biggest area to improve? Control/Command?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
The command piece, yes. And yes, two innings per outing isn't gonna give us a great read on what his stuff is like for six innings at a time, 30 starts a year. He's good, but it'll take all year for him to check the "stamina" box.
MF Luder
12:10
Who comes up and has impact first, Brandon Sproat or Samuel Basallo?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Probably Sproat, right? Orioles have a pretty good catcher and DH, Basallo's elbow barking, no reason to rush him unless you have multiple injuries at 1B/DH and just need a bat up there. Sproat all it might take is the big leaguer who goes on the same day as him getting dinged up.
Refugee
12:11
Just wanted to say thank you for doing these chats, and that I appreciate recent reports have included a point of reference for international prospects (ex: this pitcher would be top 30-50 in the draft).
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
De nada, I think context is super useful anywhere you can put it.
Blerg
12:12
No longer a prospect but Ben Rice is raking. His bat speed is up it seems. Real improvement you think?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
I do, looks like I'll end up being low on him.
12:13
Who knows how long his window of productivity will be, he's older, etc etc...but he's built great, seems coachable, they've limited his role enough that he's thriving in it rather than overwhelmed by having to catch. Working out nice, they should roll with it even when Stanton is healthy.
Jason
12:14
Ivan Brethowr has entirely changed his swing this season. What do you make of these changes and do you think his improvement in K% is sustainable?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
Nice pull by you, like that they're tweaking things there because he's a big, physical guy with some upside. He's still pretty long in there, whiffing as much as he's making contact so far and lots of oppo contact.. I'd be in wait-and-see mode yet, but his start is definitely positive.
Maddoning
12:16
Should the Cubs be worried about Matt Shaw, or is this just a re-set?  What's your take?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
Don't sweat it yet, it's so tough to hit in the big leagues, plenty of guys get their ass handed to them at first.
Guest
12:17
Luke Keaschall gets the call today for the Twins. The Twins didnt seem to let him have a run in the OF because of his TJ surgery, yet. What does his defensive role look like right now?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Below avg 2B and DH at the moment. They need a spark, it's fine to roll the dice a little bit. It's not like Eddy Julien can pick it or anything.
Resolution
12:18
If you were Richard Lovelady, would you go by Dick?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
You know I would. My grandfather was Dick Longenhagen, dude.
Stick Figga
12:19
What’re your thoughts on Ramon Ramirez in KC?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
Super fun pull power catcher with hit tool risk, needs defensive polish. High risk high reward type.
Guest
12:20
Arjun Nimmala's cut his K rate down to 23%. Only 10 games so far but are you buying a step forward in that regard?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Too soon to put stock in rate stats like that, but it's good he's not K'ing a ton.
Nervous Flyball Pitcher
12:21
How do you and your team account for the fact that the ball used before AAA isn't the same as the MLB ball? Do you just have larger error bars? How does that work for teams that have AAA affiliates in the PCL where numbers are generally suspect anyway?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
I don't have, say, some kind of across-the-board adjustment I'm making to their xwOBA or anything like that, I just think a healthy dose of skepticism is always good and there are just sooo many variables that it's impossible to isolate any one thing.
Paulie_Eff
12:25
realistic projections for Andrew Painter for 2025?  I have him stashed in a Minor League slot, but there are plenty of other prospects I could switch hm out for.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
I don't think they'll promote him unless they know he's gonna be awesome. Keep him stashed, you wanna win the league and that's the high-ceiling play.
Guest
12:26
Jesus Made has struck out a lot more than he has in the past (DSL vs A ball, small sample I know). Do you think this year is more representative of his hit tool/approach or do you expect him to get better?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
He's a stud
Sam
12:27
What are you seeing out of Brandon Clarke
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Monster velo, needs polish, he was a good pick and they'll make him good.
MF Luder
12:29
Can you fill in the blank? "Braden Montgomery reminds me of..."
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
I don't think I have an obvious comp there, pretty singular type of guy both in terms of his career arc to this point and his toolset for a switch hitter.
Jay
12:30
Please give me hope that I might be able to watch either of my teams (Pirates fan living in Denver) ever develop an offense... Is it as simple as bad coaching for both of these org's inability to develop any impact bats in the last 5 years despite years of plus draft grades?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
The Pirates need an owner willing to spend more than Nutting has. I'm not saying you have to be the Dodgers, or even the Diamondbacks, but this is embarrassing. The Rockies idk what to tell you.
Blerg
12:33
Seen much of Kellon Lindsey? Stronger?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
Stronger yes. Defense no bueno.
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