Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
powered byJotCast
Y. Mon
1:43
What more do I have to do to get called up?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
I want to see Triple-A pitching adjust to you and force you to do the same, sorry. Charlotte is beautiful, you'll live.
Sam
1:43
Who do you pick first? Austin Beck or MacKenzie Gore?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:43
Gore
Westernal
1:43
What are the separating factors between Tyler Stephenson and Chris Okey?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:44
Stephenson has superior physical tools, Okay is one of the more decorated college catching prospects of the decade.
Paul
1:45
It seems like there's a consensus top four right now in the draft of McKay, Greene, Wright, Lewis in some order. Agree or disagree? And who would be fifth for you?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:45
I'm in on those four up top right now, would have Gore 5th.
Nathan
1:46
Thanks for the chat Eric. I look forward to it every week! Quick question on Amed Rosario. Obviously he can hit and run but in your opinion what is his power potential AND what might be the timeline for him to reach that? I keep hearing about the raw power he can get to when he fills out and I know he's only 21. But realistically is he years away from the upside? Can he get to even 10 HRs in the meantime?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:47
I expect the power to come a little later, like age 24+. I know it's Vegas but he's hitting at Triple-A, right? He's impressive.
Ben
1:48
On paper, doesn't Adam Haseley seem like the A's kind of player/draft pick? Do you see that happening?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:49
Not sure I agree with you. Oakland drafts haven't been numbers-driven for a while now and they haven't had much success with college bats lately. Bukauskas seems more their type as they haven't been scared to draft shorter arms recently. Jefferies and Shore are both a little undersized, Gray is 6', etc.
...
1:50
how many of the best 1B start out as 1B prospects and how many move there from another position?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:52
Most end up trickling down from a better spot on the defensive spectrum as they age. I don't know the exact ratio but it's pretty large. And it's why I treated 1B-only prospects so harshly on the lists. They have to out-hit guys like Miguel Cabrera and Edwin Encarnacion who hit really well and play 12+ years.
Horace
1:53
Have you been following any of the Red Sox minor league relievers? Cosart, Nogosek, Jamie Callahan, Ysla, Pimentel, now Buttrey, Ben Taylor already up and down to the bigs, Kyle Martin--are they the above-average group they seem to me, or just about par with most farm systems?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:53
Most of the guys you're describing are relievers and it's nice Boston is getting them to the bigs but those guys are ubiquitous throughout baseball. It's a below average system for me.
Erik
1:54
Does Scott Kingery have the bat and fielding ability to start anywhere other than 2B? Cesar Hernandez is looking increasingly like a long-term solution at the position.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:55
Yeah if you would have asked me three months ago which one I thought the club would go with long term I would have said Kingery but Hernandez is really playing well. It's an intersting chance to maybe sell high on a guy with mediocre baseball instincts, but Hernandez has been hitting for long enough that this might be who he is.
Dudley
1:55
Clint Frazier's K, BBs and ISO are at MiL career best-levels but his BAPIP is way down due to elevated GB rate and low FB rate.

SSS noise that should correct itself?

Should I be more encouraged about the former than discouraged about the latter?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:56
Probably worth checking to see if a mechanical change is causing the batted ball shift but if there hasn't been one it's probably either SSS or a change in the way Triple-A pitchers are attacking him.
Hans
1:57
has your view of Ian Happ changed at all? His average is down and power is up. I'm having a hard time making sense of him and what we mighpext. Any insight would helpme greatly! Thank you
Eric A Longenhagen
1:57
There's some swing and miss in there, he can be late at times. But the power on contact is excellent and I think the hit/power combo plays anywhere on the diamond.
Mick
1:58
What do you make of Thomas Pannone?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:58
Check the link at the top of the post, I wrote about him today.
D MONEYYY
1:59
At what point along a prospect's career, if he puts up wRC+ of 180 at each level, is it fair to say that there's a future star in the making as opposed to a REALLY GOOD minor leaguer? let's run this exercise for both a player WITH and WITHOUT pedigree
Eric A Longenhagen
1:59
In general I think on-paper performance really starts to be relevant at Double-A.
Wishing for tailwind
1:59
The Mariners need rotation help. Are either Moore or Povse likely to jump from AA - and be successful?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:00
I bet Moore could come up and be competent but it's worth asking if asking him to be hampers his development in any way.
Zach
2:01
Why isn't Alex Verdugo taken more seriously as a top prospect? He's hit at every level and is doing well as a 20 year old in AAA.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:01
? He's 42 on my top 100.
2:02
It's RF-only, the body has gone backwards since he signed and he's very aggressive at the plate. I really like the bat but it's not as if this is a perfect, elite-level prospect.
F U Jobu
2:02
I have Kyle Lewis on my prospects list. What do you see as his ETA and potential role? Are expectations still high?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
No idea when the ETA is because he's still rehabbing the ACL. He's a potential 25+ homer guy and priority #1 for me during Extended.
NYTT
2:05
Acuña playing as well as you expect at high A?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
Started slow, has been white-hot lately. Still too much noise in the data but from a scouting perspective all the tools are still there so, yes?
JimLindeman15
2:06
Paul DeJong...your thoughts/
Eric A Longenhagen
2:07
I like him. Graded him more aggressively than I typically do bat-first utility types that can't play SS because I really think he's going to hit. Here's the Cardinals list: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-24-prospects-st-louis-cardinals/
Colin
2:07
Are you still as bullish as you were for Julio Urias?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:07
Yerp.
He's 20.
Connecting...