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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Good morning from dangerously hot Tempe, where I am coffee'ing at the kitchen island getting ready to work on Red Sox and Twins lists while prepping for the Combine.
12:07
FOr those who missed it, please go read the Rangers list:
Ken
12:08
Has Jack Perkins' performance so far in Vegas moved the needle for you at all in terms of how you view his ability to remain a starting pitcher?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Yes. Ran into him last week as I was working on Mariners and he carved. Physicality looks like he'll be able to handle it even if he isn't the most efficient strike thrower. Let's keep in mind, though, that he's looked like this (sitting 95-96 t98, plus slider, strikes) for like five weeks, six weeks? It's not as strong a look as if he'd been doing it since April.
You'd think he doesn't really have the tools do deal with lefties but the slider is playing against them, too.
For The Birds
12:12
Has Dylan Beavers made any real changes at AAA this year? Does he have a chance to be any more than a role player?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
Just glancing at the Trackman stuff, his power is up. Hard hit rate is up from 33% last year to 43% this year.
Don't know if the changes are mechanical or physical without doing a video dive.
12:15
Oh btw, I put this together which has the rolling hit data for players captured at applicable affiliates here:
Feel free to bookmark that, I have.
Jeb
12:16
Are there any Pirate prospects who have arrows pointing up right now?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
Griffin and Sanford both had 50% hard hit rates thru the end of May. Pretty good, Griffin making 45-grade contact is a key variable, too.
Guest
12:17
Are you concerned about Trey Yesavage’s control, seemed to walk a lot of guys since moving to high A
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
Nah, not yet. He's striking out two guys an inning (though some of that is his initial assignment was very, very conservative)
Guest
12:18
Is Arjun Nimmala a top 40 prospect in the game?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
I don't think that's crazy.
Rube
12:19
Can you give a current comp for an org who a couple of years ago had a similar shallow system with 50s talent like the Ms?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
I can. Let's all quick use the Farm System Ranking dropdown to see what we can see: Farm System Rankings | FanGraphs Baseball
12:20
Washington just last year or two is in that area.
12:21
Mets from '23, although not all those guys are panning out
12:22
This is a good one, too The Board | FanGraphs Baseball
12 to 6
12:23
eric, muncy's spectacles-related revitalization is key to the dodger lineup, but it seems his days of battling third base to a standstill are nearing an end. given freeland's defensive skill set and the seemingly dynamite combo of kim and betts in the mi, is there any chance la starts cycling max into 1b (freeman off days), lf, and dh (ohtani off days) with more frequency and giving freeland a shot at the hot corner?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:24
IDK if there are enough "Shohei off days" for there to be frequent reps in the scenarios you're illustrating. Plus, Freeland isn't on the 40-man, you're sacrificing someone else to add him proactively. He'll come up when it's necessary due to injury dominoes and I think that's fine.
Guest
12:24
Any early DSL standouts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Did you see I wrote on their org list about the 26-year-old Rangers guy who signed a few days before the league started and has been touching 99?
Mariners had nobody who wasn't already on the radar.
12:26
My scope has been limited to those orgs and who they've played the first week and a half of games
David
12:26
Still getting through the Mariners write up; just wanted to pass along thanks for having an write up on how Ford's catching has progressed. I don't know what the team does with him but glad to hear he has made some significant progress behind the dish.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
You're welcome, thanks for noticing. He's one where whether or not he'd be able to stay back there was a key question for him when he was in HS, and so I have a pretty detailed year-to-year feel for how he's trended because we were all paying close attention to it from the jump.
Refugee
12:27
I've got a couple books by Kazushi Tezuka (The Truth About Pitching & The Truth About Batting) - what's the easiest (most feasible?) way to get them signed by you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
Depends where you're at but I'll definitely sign one of them and trade you a signed Future Value for the other because I'm trying to horde copies lol. Throw your email in a question (i wont post it) and we'll try to figure it out.
Guest
12:29
Obviously years since he was a prospect, but given today's trade, any hope that Andrew Vaughn figures it out away from the White Sox, or is he what he is at this point?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
I wanna say he is what he is at this point, but watch his bat speed on Savant and see if that leaps post-trade. That'd be the variable that, if MIL can improve it, then they've done something.
Nervous Flyball Pitcher
12:30
Samuel Basallo is crushing the ball, but every time I look, he's doing it off a 29 year old journeyman sitting 89-90. Is there a way to isolate data based on actual, quality competition? Or is this just what AAA data looks like nowadays?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
You might be able to use that Savant page I linked to earlier to alter the sliders for pitch velo on your own. I can do some amount of it with Synergy right now, you just want his splits against 94+ fastballs? Give me like 30 seconds
12:32
Versus all pitches 94 mph or more he's slashing .125/.300.188
12:33
It's a 145 pitch sample
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