Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:06
Yes
Hunky Dory
1:07
Will Adell's walk-up music in 5 years be Set Fire to the Rain?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:07
Cursory google tells me that is an Adele song.
CJL
1:08
Unsure how long this data has been tracked for amateur arms, but how does Baz's spin rate compare to other recent pitchers drafted in the 1st round?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
Great question. Let me take a peek at some numbers very quickly.
1:09
better than Ian Anderson and Jason Groome
better than Pint
1:10
Braxton Garrett's are close
1:11
That's what I've got on hand.
Is Me?
1:11
Best name in the draft? (Jake Burger current #1?)
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
My faves: Jeter Downs, Calvin Mitchell (just a bad ass baseball name), Tommy Mace, D'mond Lafond, Tarik Skubal, Nick Egnatuk
AyyMD
1:14
I feel like the that Brent Rookervis 1 year older than the typical college junior is being made to large a deal. He made adjustments and has absolutely raked unlike anyone else. The dude can flat out hit. His makeup is off the charts, the dude goes out of his way to improve himself. I get he is most likely a 1B only guy, but why such a disparity between him and say Pavin Smith? Thanks Eric!
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
Smith > Rooker for me, just a better feel to hit and R/R college first baseman almost never work out (Goldschmidt and Eric Karros, end of list). But I agree with you that he has made adjustments that can't just be ignored and the age thing is a little bit overblown.
TKDC
1:16
Do you think there is an argument to be made that projected first round pitchers should leave their teams early to avoid the possibility of injury, like Fornette and McCaffrey did with the NFL draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:16
Yes
Wambo
1:16
Where can I find the spin rate numbers for Shane Baz? I heard they are insane, but I don't see them on Perfect Game mobile.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
His max spin rates are on my sortable board (fastballrpm/breaking ballrpm)
Babe Lincoln
1:17
How do signability concerns materialize? And why would they exist in the first place?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
A prospect's advisor floats a bonus amount that isn't easy to meet based on where the prospect is likely to be drafted on talent.
Squirrel
1:18
Love the chat E-Long (slap me for sayin that). Do you think Chance Adams has a.... wait for it.... CHANCE to be a 3 or better in his future? He's been mighty impressive in AAA as a 5th round pick. I read that you pegged him as a 4 in your preseason prospect rankings. Anything change your mind so far this season, or are you sticking with the initial assessment?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:20
Still on him as a #4, chance he can be better than that but needs to find another sequence with which to attack hitters. Saw him last week and wrote him up on the 6/1 daily prospect notes.
Here's video from the look:
He was 93-96 the whole start.
Hunky Dory
1:20
Hey Eric, thanks for the chat. How does Griffin Canning compare to James Kaprelian as a draft prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:21
A little less physicality, similarly uses the changeup less than scouts would like to see. Similar deliveries and ability to throw strikes with the breaking balls. Kaprielian was maybe a half grade better for me on draft day. Of course he suddenly had way more fastball in pro ball than he did at UCLA, so it's important to keep that in mind.
Jacko
1:22
Micker Adolfo looks good this year. IYO, what's his ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:23
Pretty traditional right field profile with chance for 20+ homers, lots of strike outs, some speed and arm strength. Glad he's finally hitting, but not sure if it's going to stick.
Joey
1:23
Your note on Kingery last week suggested you saw an uptick in his power projection. At this point do you see it as a 50? 55? Also, what grade do you give his hitting? Thx.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:23
Future plus hitter, 45 game power.
banksy_
1:23
And yeah, nomenclature got a bit messed up in the mock but honestly, not a big deal, just had to razz you bit over it. :) I still understood who you talking about and I would assume those who have followed the draft class did as well. Have a good one EL!
Eric A Longenhagen
1:24
Totally understand and am glad you asked, it should have been mentioned in the mock itself.
Hunky Dory
1:24
How confident are you in the Trevor Rogers pick by NYY? Think they're more likely to go for an arm given their position player-heavy farm?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:25
Not confident, mocks are a house of cards and it just takes one team doing something you didn't expect for the whole thing to tumble down. I just know important people from their org have made the trip to see him, and it takes a hell of a lot to get to Carlsbad (fly to El Paso, drive to Carlsbad)
Cubs Fan Will
1:25
Hey Eric! You mocked MJ Melendez to the Cubbies and mentioned they may be interested in HS P Michael Mercado. Mercado is a new name to me, what is he like?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:27
An extremely skinny 6-foot-4 but has broad shoulders and should add a lot of weight as he matures. So now you're projecting heavily on a fringey fastball, which feels good, he's loose and fluid for a kid his size, has some curveball feel. Stanford commit, so might be a tough sign.
Zonk
1:27
Really astute post on Michael Recker a couple days ago. He threw 5 shutout innings last night in his first ever start, 6Ks, 1 hit. Is he a breakout candidate?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:27
Somewhat, but more of a backend guy than someone who will rank up near the top of their org list or anything like that.
Andrew
1:27
How optimistic are you on the hit tools of Mason House, Connor Uselton and Heliot Ramos?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:28
Cautiously. Care less about Ramos' because of the defensive profile, think House has the most workable actions.
Gypsy Father
1:28
So, Luis Urias - HOF or merely multiple MVP's?
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