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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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sodo mojo
12:31
Have you been able to see Farmelo in the AFL?  Obviously a huge talent but he has been derailed by injuries so far.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
Yep. Physically as impressive as any guy out here, let's see how the swing plays pretty decent pitching (for Fall League) and how he looks on defense. He's gonna K a bunch but if he's getting to huge power and playing CF, that's okay.
Alex B
12:32
Who is the higher ranked prospect this time next year: Kash Mayfield or Kruz Schoolcraft?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
Schoolcraft, just physically overwhelming.
Guest
12:32
Who do you think competes for ROYs next year? guys who may debut/be good but not enough games?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
I hesitate to answer considering no person on the planet, not Chad Patrick's parents nor Isaac Collins' lover(s), nobody, would have put that group at the top of their list. I might end up getting my preseason Drake Baldwin pick right, though.
Tom C
12:34
Any thoughts on River Ryan going into ‘26? Feels like its a make or break season for him in a crowded rotation (albeit one that WILL offer him opportunities)
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
Saw him throwing a bullpen at Camelback a few weeks ago and he looked kinda heavy, honestly.
David
12:34
Good Morning, no questions today just hope you're doing well.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
Thanks, you too. Mostly I am.
Cam shafts
12:34
should I look at Danny Espino as all or nothing in 2026. Gotta take the training wheels off now. Reminds me of Danny Salazar in talent and storyline. Also, is my bro love for cam collier and cam camitti justified? Thank you
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
I bet Espino breaks camp in Cleveland's bullpen. Looks pretty good, shot to be a set-up guy.
12:36
The Cams: Collier is maybe the most interesting and important eval in the entire AFL. I'll save my thoughts for when they're more complete. His swing is weird but he hits, he looks good playing D at first base. Need to see more power production from him in real life if he's going to be a good big leaguer, though.
Cam Cam looks good, think they mighta tweaked his delivery already, lemme check my notes because I took a little pass at him when I did the end of year 100 update...
12:37
12:38
You can see the arm angle is lower now than in HS and (it's tougher to see the change) but he looks more cross bodied now, too.
I'm still digesting these changes, he's a good prospect of course.
Colton
12:39
Is there a correct way to assess prospects trade values? I have a bet with a friend that thinks Brendan Donovan is going to fetch a team's top 5 prospect in a trade over the offseason. I am on the side that he will not and he thinks it'd be a settle if they move him for only that
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
There is always stuff happening in the background that impacts prospect return. Often that involves older, higher-paid players and teams paying down their salary to get a better prospect return (or not). In Donovan's case the quick and dirty calc would be: He's been a 3 WAR player pretty regularly for multiple year. That's something like $36 million in value before you adjust for his salary, which has been minimal during that span. Now he's entering arb, so his salary will be higher and there's a little less "surplus value" there, but he's still really good for whatever price, I think you're looking at $20+ million in surplus value for the next couple of years, that's like a Top 100 prospect and another good piece or two for three years of that guy?
If we're assuming the top 100 guy is a 2-ish WAR producer annually
Erik Bedard
12:43
Hi Eric, would you ever consider doing prospects defense videos for other positions that aren't shortstop (outfield, second, third, first, catcher)? Those shortstop vids were so interesting and am curious for more as someone who didn't grow up playing baseball and don't know what I'm looking for
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
I will, probably CF and C
Jonathan
12:43
If Cam Schlittler were still prospect-eligible would you still slap a 50 on him or would it be higher after seeing him succeed against MLB hitters?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
Nah, he'd be a 55 or 60
Dan'l
12:43
Mr. Goold reported the Cards have heard calls about catcher. What would you do if you're them?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
Move Herrera
Oaktown Blues
12:43
Is it normal for a guy like Max Muncy with some big league experience to go to the AFL? Does this indicate the FO's confidence in him, a lack of confidence in him, or neither?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
Neutral. Every year there are a couple guys in his situation who come here just to get reps. He looks comfortable so far, he should dominate this league.
J
12:44
Where are you in your evaluation of Chase Burns after first full pro season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
He's awesome
Dusty
12:44
Thoughts on Wander Javier, and what's his upside?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
A classic, like hearing an old top 40 song on the radio for the first time in forever
Guest
12:45
Are there fatigue issues for players participating in the AFL after a whole season?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
Most of the guys sent here were hurt during the year and picking up innings, so for now I'd say, "no". Ask me in November, though.
Guest
12:46
the philly folk seem to be really bringing the hate right now for rob thomson. what do you think of how the series was managed? obviously has a great record, tons of experience even in player dev
Eric A Longenhagen
12:48
They're pissy because last night sucked, they'll forget about it shortly. The guys on the team seem to really care about Topper and vice versa, they lost the series because guys didn't much perform in key moments.
12:49
I cooked for Mega and Emma Baccellieri and they got to watch me gnaw my fingernails down to the cuticles and then feel terrible for Kerkering, followed by more warmth than is healthy for a man to feel about someone he doesn't know when Realmuto immediately consoled him.
War2D2
12:50
Kevin Alcantara had a tiny cup of coffee at the end of the year, but looked like he wasn’t necessarily overmatched (4/11, 4K). Barring a pillow deal situation, it seems like a foregone conclusion the Cubs will cut bait on Tucker and RF will be Alcantara’s to lose next spring. What’s your forecast for him? An uneven but “fine” Shaw-esque rookie campaign, or more rough waters? His strike zone is so big, and his swing is so long, it seems like he’s going to need a lot of runway to make it work.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
I think your'e right and it makes more sense for a team in the earlier stages of their building phase to give him that runway
Jim
12:50
Do you think Jack Perkins can hold up as a starting pitcher, or is he better suited for the bullpen?
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