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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:28
It's a good question. I think you can approach it a couple different ways at the same time. You can se the bar as "average mlb velo" and you can set the bar higher than that to perhaps get a better understanding of how the hitter would look at this time of year against better, rested pitching staffs. Your splits could also be "vertical fastballs" versus "lateral" ones....
12:30
Okamoto has done well the last two years combined versus 94+ mph velo: 475 pitches 93+ mph in that sample, he hit .294 with an OPS just shy of .900, 13% miss rate
tbone26
12:30
any updates to atsuki taniechi’s report? thoughts on his secondaries and how they’d play against mlb competition?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:30
Working on him today, actually, have nothing fresh on him as I sit here right now, will have updated info on the site next week.
Bencle Mens
12:30
What's your coffee setup?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
Just a drip machine, nbd
WWeis
12:31
Comp for Kayson Cunningham?  Ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
The "Boy, this worked out exactly as well as it possibly could have" comp is lefty-hitting Placido Polanco
Jace, The Mind Sculptor
12:31
You mentioned Dax Kilby maybe being an offseason 45+... are you now ranking the HS draft day SSs  Holliday, Willits... Kilby?... Carlson, JoJo Parker?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
I don't think Dax is a SS but I do think his hit tool is more stable than Carlson's (who is a 70 SS defender, tho)
Syndergaardengnomes
12:32
You never hear anyone talk about Nick Morabito (not even a 35+ grade), but he held his own in AA this year, and looks like he could at least be a 5th OF due to defense and speed.  Any thoughts on him?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
Nate George copy and paste
flightsongs
12:32
Lots of ink spilled on Roki, but do you have any opinions on how the other rookies and recent grads in that Dodgers pen (Sheehan/Dreyer/Wrobleski/Henriquez/Klein) have progressed since you last published an eval of them?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
Sheehan looks like a real impact mid rotation guy, Dreyer should get some down ballot RoY votes, Wrobo was worse than I hoped this year, Henriquez I think will eventually be an 8th or 9th inning guy, Klein (at least what I saw) was pretty wild
Mike
12:34
Mendez not playing first in the AFL is a disappointment. He's behind like six guys for an OF job.... Could be still transition?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:34
Think he left due to reasons of bereavement. Looked good before that.
I think learning 1B from scratch in this league would be a big ask.
Tom, D
12:35
Juneiker Caceres backed 24 DSL and 25 Complex stats reasonably in low-A (SSS, of course) wondering what a realistic projection is for him? Table setting CF?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
More like contact-driven corner guy for me.
12:36
Like a Nootbaar type?
Kate
12:36
Zach Cole got some heat at the end of the year.  Can he keep enough of the AAA contact gains to let the loud tools play at the MLB level?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
It's possible, he's yoked and quite athletic, guys with overt big league physicality are sometimes the ones who keep improving
Kate
12:37
Sounds like Morlando and Brailer have looked pretty awful in AFL.  How far down are you moving these guys after this kind of showing?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
Yeah both those guys are really going through it out here. Brailer was clearly just no ready for this level of play. He's made procedural mistakes on defense, the pitches he decides to challenge have been pretty bad. But he's also a physical freak (like edge rusher build) with plus-plus bat speed, he's barely played, he's really young. Morlando looks like he was in the weight room too much and he's bulked up and lost twitch and flexibility.
I don't know how much both those guys will dip for me this offseason, but they will.
Damien
12:39
All the reports on George Lombard Jr are still glowing, but I'm getting nervous about his ability to put up numbers so far (outside of his 25' A+ stretch). Should I be??
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
Gonna K a bunch, but plus shortstop D and power will play.
AstrosAllDayEveryDay
12:39
Do you think Walker Janek is coming up next year on opening day?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
That's too early, he couldn't catch a big league staff right now.
Insert Witty Name Here
12:40
If you could scout any pitcher or hitter in history when they started in A ball, who would you like to see?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
I don't think Roberto Clemente even played A ball so he might be a fraudulent answer.
John Olerud
12:41
Realistically, in your estimation which and how many of their MLB-ready or near-ready prospects (including guys who have already had a cup of coffee) can the Mariners rely on to provide ample production for them to rely on as roster stalwarts on a competitive team in 2026?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
I think they have enough MIF candidates to throw at the wall that two will emerge from the Young/Emerson/Arroyo cluster and help out somehow. I'd be surprised if Montes/Farmelo raced there fast enough to help out in '26.
Farmelo has serious juice btw
nb
12:44
Hey Eric - Last year around this time, I asked you about Justin Crawford and you were concerned about his GB rate.  Looks like the rate is still high, but he has pop.  All indications are that the Phillies want him to be their leftfielder at some point next year (maybe Opening Day).  My question is "should he be?".  Thx!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
I'm still worried he's Zac Veen
The underlying metrics are great, but I worry he's gonna get absolutely worked by big league velo.
Mike
12:45
Do you know why Josue de Paula was removed from the AFL roster?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
Hammy
Trey
12:45
Who of the ERC, Lagrange, Hess and Cunningham group will be starting for the Yankees in 27'?
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