Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Good morning. Quick one today for obvious reasons. Perhaps not so obvious, the AZL schedule is very staggered today giving me a chance to get to four games today. They start at 10am here, so let's boogie.
Tommy N.
12:13
How far away is Jacob Nix from your top 100?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
He's probably already there
Steven
12:14
Is Alex Speas expected to come up as a reliever for Texas?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:15
Worth trying to develop him as a starter and I think he has a shot, even if it's only 30 or 40%, to be one.
Also, even if you think the player ends up in the bullpen, starter development gives them more chances to work on the secondary pitches.
Marc
12:15
What are your thoughts on Kopech's chances to stick as a starter? BB rate still seems to indicate reliever.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Better than even odds he stays a starter. He's a remarkable physical specimen and athlete and I think he'll figure out a way to rein it in.
Scott
12:16
Forrest Whitley or Franklin Perez?  Both seem to be on the fast track...
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Whitley
G
12:17
What's a good ceiling comp for Luis Castillo?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:17
Tough one. Elite velo, plus change, fringey breaking ball and spotty command. Sure sounds an awful lot like a reliever to me.
Philip
12:17
Is Tatis Jr now a top 25 prospect or is that too aggressive?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:19
He was a 50 FV for me over the winter (a potential star with great risk/distance to the Majors) and probably bumps up to a 55 (scouting report is basically the same but he's a year closer and has proven he can hit in full season ball) putting him in the 25-70 range or so
Erix
12:20
Why are so few of the top J2 prospects pitchers?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
A significant number of them are just speculative body/delivery projection prospects right now, very little present stuff.
Philip
12:21
Where are you taking your nba talents too?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
Memphis
SouthSider
12:22
What Is Jordan Guerrero's ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:22
Realistically like a #4/5
John
12:22
Thoughts on Brandon Marsh?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Really like him. Power, chance to stay in CF.  I'm having a hard time slotting the top four guys in that org for updated team top 10s.
Sam
12:23
Why does a prospect like Josh Ockimey not have higher value? Very high walk rate, good raw power, has hit at all levels.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Below average defender and athlete means he has no margin for error whatsoever with that bat and he has swing and miss issues. 1B-only guys are very risky. I've been on Ockimey since high school, like him quite a bit, but the process isn't kind to first basemen.
Alan
12:25
How much stock do you put in a HS draft pick's GCL or AZL stats?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:25
Zero
SouthSider
12:25
If you're the Cubs is Eloy off limits for a Gray/Quintana trade?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:26
Nobody is off limits if you think you have a shot at a ring.
Marc
12:26
Can Jack Flaherty be more than mid rotation guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Perhaps, but I think he's a mid-rotation guy. Which is to say I think he has a shot to be a #3, a 60.
Buff
12:27
You wrote before the season that if Walker Buehler could sustain what he showed in limited looks last year that he would be one of baseball's best prospects by midseason. Job done?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
Yes
Carlo
12:28
Heard anything on Grant Holmes this year? Thanks!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:29
He was not good for me here in AZ before he was sent out to an affiliate. Velo down a tick, delivery a bit erratic. Hasn't thrown strikes for a while.
Green Chiles
12:29
What have you heard on Morejon's stuff so far?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:31
It's fine. 92-96 with command and he'll miss bats with both the slider and change
Rob
12:32
Does Nick Madrigal's size prevent him from going top 5 next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:33
He might not go in the top 5 just because their are five better prospects in the draft. It's something teams will talk about but I think he goes in the top 10-15 picks.
Servo
12:34
Is Tyler Stephenson officially back on track after a lost 2016?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Yup, and a great example of why you stick with toolsy prospects even after they've had a lost year
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