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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
Yes, but another guy whose fastball plays down due to its lack of movement.
Guest
12:41
Eric - how confident are you that Kevin Mcgonigle truly hit a ball 118mph in the AFL?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
It was a foul ball, so I kinda don't think we should care either way, but if you wanna see it and judge for yourself, it occurs at the 3:22 mark of this video: Kevin McGonigle, INF, Detroit Tigers
12:44
Power metrics that more accurately illustrate Kevin McGonigle's power: 105 EV90 (above avg), 113 max (above avg), 47% hard hit rate (plus)
12:45
This is not a guy with 70 raw power.
Oaktown Blues
12:45
I'm curious your thoughts on a couple post-prospect guys on the A's, JT Ginn and Jack Perkins. Do you think they should still get run as starters, or time to bullpen them?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
The A's should keep deploying them as starters until they're practically out of options. I've had a relief grade on Perkins for a while but they should keep trying to start him. They need arms, they all have options.
WagnerCrystal
12:46
Roch Cholowsky seems bit underwhelming from a tools perspective for dude who I've heard is the favorite to go 1-1 overall. Am miscalibrating my expectations? I've heard him compared to a similar caliber of prospect as Adley Rutschman.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
Underwhelming if you're expecting A-Rod or Corey Seager, but I think his tools and prospect DNA are similar to Dansby Swanson: strikeouts, but gets to power and plays incredible defense. I'm cool taking that guy first if there isn't a Gerrit Cole (or someone like that) to take.
DJ
12:48
I really enjoy the retrospective "how's my driving" pieces on past prospect evaluation hits and misses. Are there any specific "misses" that you still think about or that have an influence on your present day evaluations?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:48
Matt Olson: If there's enough power, be cool with the 70ish% contact rate.
Colton
12:49
Dynasty fantasy related question; Sebastian Walcott or Payton Tolle for my next pick? Already set up to compete this year, can keep these guys as long as I want. Leaning Walcott but would like some input if possible.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
If you feel like your SS/3B situation is set for the next few years, take Tolle. I love Walcott but Tolle is every bit as freaky and is gonna be doing stuff in the bigs right away.
If you're old at SS, then roll the dice
Lunch Angle
12:51
Who is the next Ben Rice--someone crushing the minors but is overlooked for being old for a prospect. Parks Harber?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
A million dollar question. Harber isn't a bad answer. Ryan Ward?
DJ
12:52
At what point do you begin evaluating draft eligible amateur players? I assume that's a difficult balance when you're also focusing on well over a thousand professional players.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
I just tuck college and high school stuff into the schedule like usual. Plenty to do here in Phoenix, trip home to Philly and then to Florida on the docket for April. Draft list is here: The Board | FanGraphs Baseball
Chris
12:54
With the potential of a salary floor going into place, maybe it makes the Griffin extension more palatable for the Pirates. Since they will be forced to spend anyways.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
I agree, but it might mean they want to know what the floor is before they do a deal.
rob
12:54
In the Tigers list, I didn't see any comments about Bryce Rainer's fielding (40/55).  Do you expect him to stick at SS or could the arm move him to the OF?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
Stays at SS
Adam
12:55
Which minor league ballpark presents the best viewing experience for the average fan in terms of talent on the field and quality of stradium?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
There are so many cool minor league parks. Charleston, Lehigh Valley, Charlotte...
David
12:58
Odds Aron Estrada (BAL) is the real deal?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:00
I guess it depends on your expectations. I felt comfortable moving on from him pretty quickly during work on the top 100. That doesn't mean he's bad, I just think he looks like a 45.
Really small player.
Jim
1:01
You gonna try to catch Jamie Arnold's debut today?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
I might break plans to do a little west valley double up, yeah.
Desert Blossom
1:03
Have you had any recent looks at SS Jose Fernandez in the DBacks system? I know not to take ST stats too seriously, but a 22 yo with 2 HRs (and 2 more XBHs) already and the potential to stick at SS is intriguing at the very least
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
Great defender, built like a superhero, swing still looks weird but the contact piece of his game was closer to average last year. Good prospect.
Okay everyone, that's my time. Thanks for stopping by, looking forward to chatting again next week!
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