Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
I know Mariners fans won't feel this way because the bullpen has done things to their cortisol levels this year, but you've gotta be psyched that even though last year's best player has been bad or hurt, that your'e in first
JoshCleveland
2:04
Guardians FO seems to be more aggressive than normal this year with big-league promotions. What's your take? True Contention Window opening?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
I think, until the promotions you're talking about are proactive in service of the big league club, that I'll assume what's being doneto serve a value proposition, rather than a dynamic approach that sometimes says "fugg it, let's go for it"
Fangraphs Man
2:06
What’s happened to Christian Oppor? Is there any precedent to a guy who loses his command finding it again or is this more likely an Alex Hansen scenario
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
What would FanGraphsman's power be?
2:07
Just perfectly regressing things to the mean?
2:08
Is he some christlike martyr who makes bros realize they shouldn't be on draftkings?
Matzek is the precedent
RVA_Empire
2:08
Hi Eric - with you being based where you are; how do you fight against the any bias when you compare prospects you see in-person vs. prospects you normally don't get to lay eyes on?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
Spend a month in Florida and try to see the other guys too
Daron
2:09
As far as you know are the Rangers still planning to develop Seong-Jun Kim as a two way player? So far he's only appeared as a position player in complex games.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
Most teams developing two ways guy have them pitch during Extended or instructs at the start. It's lower stakes, you can control pitch counts better.
metsox1
2:10
Sadbiel.  Sadbiel.  Sadbiel.  Make this a thing!
Eric A Longenhagen
2:10
We're in Tiktok brain portion of chat.
canderson20
2:10
Saw some video of Xavier Isaac recently and noticed he's basically completely gotten rid of any pre pitch movement and stride. Think there's a chance he ends up with enough contact to still be a good big leaguer with this new set up? Might be jumping the gun a bit with them next in the cycle.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
"I think the fact that he's able to make changes and adjustments at all is a positive sign. Good job by you, observant citizen!" -FanGraphsman
Phillip Denny
2:11
Keith Law sure is planting his flag on "Roch doesn't go 1.1" He originally had Emerson there, now he has Lackey there. If you had to estimate, what's the probability of Roch actually going first pick? 50/50 or something else?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
last time Keith did this it was with Henry Davis
2:12
I think it's a useful exercise, even if he doesn't get the player exactly right, just to say "hey this isn't a lock"
jgawel
2:12
Kaleb Wing actually capable of giving the Cubs a second viable impact starting prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
Yeah. That's maybe a 7 splitter. Those 40+ prospects and above are the ones we think are quite good Chicago Cubs Top 34 Prospects | FanGraphs Baseball
Phillip Denny
2:13
On Endy Rodriguez - he burned both challenges in low leverage situations in the 4th inning on Wednesday. When/how will challenge effectiveness start getting worked into catcher evaluations and projections?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
lol yeah he did. I think teams are still getting a feel for how to value it, I think a lot of them are over indexing for situation now because we're getting a sense of who is good at it, and whether they can get better at it if they're not.
drewsylvania
2:16
Roden is no longer a prospect, but I'm curious how he looked before he got hurt.  Thanks Eric!
Eric A Longenhagen
2:17
He's rehabbing in Fort Myers, watched him this week. He's moving the barrel around well, body has backed up. He looks like a 45 to me.
Phillip Denny
2:17
Who are some honest to god 65+ PV hitters currently in MLB who we might not yet think of as such? Relatedly, how many legit 65+ PV hitters exist in the league at any given time?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:20
*Hitters?* It's the guys who are doing 120 wRC+ across several seasons. Major League Leaderboards - 2021 to 2026 - Batting | FanGraphs Baseball
Anyone straddling the line between the first and second standard deviation is what i'd call a 65, their defense often just tips them into one bucket or another
2:22
Okay, we're creeping up on two hours so i'm gonna call it and go listen to my guy Roxy call this West Virginia game.
Great chat this week, guys. Talk soon.
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