Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
This chat is available to members only. Please log in to participate.
lmb2020
1:59
If Drew Burress was left-handed, would he get Corbin Carroll comps? (I know you are anti-comp, but they seem similar dimensionally)
Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
Not necessarily anti comp, just not tryna comp late first rounders to Joe Morgan or anything. Burress' style is more like...hmmm Eddie Rosario?
Like if he were lefty
Corbin is just more under control than Burress, trying to think of a smaller lefty stick with huge effort. Corey Dickerson?
oaktownblues
2:02
Asterisk after a player on your draft board means they are a sophomore? Do I have that right?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
Yep, lemme know if I missed anyone
Norm Chouinard
2:02
You mention the Showcase Circuit in your draft preview. Curious about the level of prospect there, the sample size, and anything else you can add to provide context.  Thanks,
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
Depends on the guy and how much he participated in. Here's an example of a guy with a lot of data:
2:04
Jacob Lombard combined 2024 and 2025 wood bat summer ball with team usa and big PG events etc...
2:05
Faced 824 pitches, average opponent fastball was 88 mph, opponents threw strikes 57% of the time, he took 321 swings in games.
2:06
It's mostly ids who have a shot to go to college and play rather than guys who are likely to go pro. You can narrow your sample to the big national events to see how he does against guys throwing 93+ but you're then limiting your overall sample
nancy rules
2:06
Would you be open to doing a draft review after the signing deadline? It is interesting hearing your take on a team's draft approach and how success they were in executing that strategy after we know which players teams drafted round 10+ are actually signed into the minors.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
I shall. If you click on any of the pieces you can see the navigation widget lists what pieces we'll be working on.
Shirtless George Brett
2:07
Im equal parts fascinated by Brody Bumila's potential and terrified by his injury history. You think someone convinces him to skip college? Should they?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
Man, idk. I can say that when Brody was in our little FanGraphs suite at the Combine that Michael, Meg, and I came away impressed with the kid and we hope he ends up thriving in whatever he does. Texas wouldn't be the worst place for him to end up because their pitching coach (Max Weiner, another friend of the 'Graph) is an exceptional guy and educator who is definitely into the "breathing through your eyelids" stuff that I love, he lets people thrive as individuals rather than force them into a cookie cutter style and I think Bumila would crush it there.
Eddy
2:09
Which org is best equipped to handle the "freaky tools, may not have a hit tool" type of player?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
Seems to be the Dodgers
Charles Bengal Tiger
2:10
How are Dylan Seward and Brendan Lawson projected to stack up against the top names in the '26 draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:10
They're way up there, I think Lawson might go first in this draft were he in it. The way he looked on the Cape as a 19-year-old last year was kinda nuts.
rossredcay
2:10
Brady Smith was a pick to click for you in the past I believe.  Seems to be finding himself this year.  The stuff is obviously very good.  What would he have to do to get into the T100 conversation?  Do we need to see him get A+ hitters out?  Or is this a guy that we simply need to see him stay healthy for an extended period of time?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:12
The latter, and I think that applies to basically every pitcher who is crushing it this time of year. I'm more inclined to juice the young upside hitters right now and let the pitchers prove they have the stamina for another few months. He's definitely of that ilk; a medium-framed guy who has had trouble staying healthy and throwing strikes. Monster fastball vert and changeup, he's a great prospect regardless of the specifics of his value.
Beer:30
2:12
Will Josh Knoth have a shot at the T100 or is he still in the wait-and-see stage coming off TJ? Besides Henderson, any other Brewers' arms going to make it on the list?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:12
Same with this guy. Huge velo, 3,000 rpm breaking ball, let's see how many innings he can throw and look that way.
Tommycraparo
2:13
Is there anyway to see who’s not on a teams 40 man but at risk for Rule 5? Articles have been pointing to the Rays being even more active this deadline due to having so many Rule 5 eligible players this offseason but I haven’t been able to find anything I can look through.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:14
I agree the Rays have a crunch. I'm going to introduce you to a portion of the website that is about to take up a lot of your time:
2:15
You can Cntrl+F for "Dec'26" and see look at how I ranked those prospects all in one page there.
2:16
It's like 15 guys they could conceivably add.
rossredcay
2:16
How are you feeling about the Yolfran Castillo rank / report from pre-season at this point?  Seems like a quietly good year so far for him?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:16
We love that guy. Real feel for contact and exciting strength projection.
wenz
2:17
What do you think about Rafe Perich's season? Does it merit an FV upgrade?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:17
I'm in on Rafe, I know he's older but I like him. Is there a chance he's Kerry Carpenter. I'm biased, he's a Lehigh Valley kid like me.
nuxie
2:17
What do you make of Alexander frias?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:18
I'm crazy go nuts for his upside. Ridiculous bat speed and physical projection. Some scary underyling stuff: fringe contact, negative launch.
David Wiers
2:18
Speaking of Philly area, are you a pop-punk guy? The Wonder Years and Modern Baseball are from that neck of the woods and are/were pretty well revered in the scene. Or going back even more, Valencia.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:19
My ex brother in law is John Galm.
sliderinthedirt
2:19
Is it just me or do all the top college hitters just kind of look the same? .350/.450/.650, 20 HR, 12%ish strikeout rate, walk rate slightly higher
Eric A Longenhagen
2:22
The bats, man. They cloud the whole thing up. If MLB gets its way and everyone has to go to college, I'll be begging, browbeating them to supply schools with wood bats, and if they don't, they're negligent and liable for when a Bryce Eldridge-type goes to school and kills a pitcher with a comebacker. It's gonna happen and more likely to when you've forced the most talented guys to use these bats.
Anonymous Member #46
2:22
What pick are you most looking forward to tomorrow, and why?
Connecting…