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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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stlscott
12:36
Your thoughts on Drew Ellis of the Diamondbacks? Enough of a hitter to be a regular?  Thanks as always.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
Has a chance, yes. But I don't think he's a fit at 3B, so really has to rake.
Oddball Herrera
12:37
What do you make of Acuna's highish SwStr and low SB success rate in the minors? Would you say this is just a matter of needing more experience or are these warning signs that the world should pump the brakes a bit on the hype?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
His approach needs polish and I don't think he's ever going to be a great basestealer. He'll slow down before he refines that skill. But the hype is founded in the power and bat control. Those are both amazing.
Mike
12:39
What point do you think age matters when it comes to the draft when comparing players? For example, Singer is almost a full year older than Mize and McClanahan. De Sedas is almost a full year older than Gorman. Seems like that stuff should matter, but I'm curious how much you think it does (or should)?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
Matter much more for hitters than pitchers
elfuego25
12:40
The A's have a pretty solid looking young infield. Barreto or Mateo will likely take over for Lowrie at some point. But their pitching doesn't look good enough to compete. Is their system strong enough to allow them to rebuild their pitching staff (or get close enough that they could afford enough in free agency to fill in the holes) without giving up young position players and undo the progress they've made there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:42
I think they have good pitching in the system. Puk and Luzardo are both very promising and are both probably ready in the next 2 years. If either of Kap or Jefferies can stay healthy, they could be, too.
12:43
I also think Montas, Holmes and Luis Miguel Romero all have potential bullpen impact
Mac
12:43
International free agents and the draft are no more, what kind of contracts would say the top of the class be signing if they were typical free agents in this scenario?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
Boston paid like $63 mil for Moncada, so that's as close to precedent as we have for that kind of hypothetical.
Alex
12:45
Hey Eric. Starling Heredia: why does he not seem to receive a lot of love? He's in as a 40 FV, but just annihilated the AZL, and will play 2018 as a 19 year old. What are your thoughts on his ceiling, and is he someone who could shoot up your midseason list?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
We had him on our upside 40s and 45s. He has huge power and runs well for his size (he's huge, definitely more than his listed 200lbs) but strikes out a ton and he was much more physically mature than his peers in rookie ball last year. He's a high variance prospect with big upside.
Guest
12:47
Is Palacios as light a return for Odorizzi as is commonly believed?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
If you think Odorizzi is a 2 WAR guy moving forward, it's a little light in a vacuum.
Palacios is a 40 FV guy, Odorizzi is a 45 or 50 if he bounces back, but I doubt TB had trade leverage in a market full of FA pitchers who haven't signed.
bgkc
12:50
Excellent prospect package two weeks ago!... With the news the Kyle Lewis had a surgery two weeks ago to clean up a bone spur/chip floating in his repaired knee and that it may have been the cause for his multiple shut-downs last year, can we hope for a return to elite prospect status (minus the speed)?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
He was already a 40 runner but let's see him play at least half of this season without issue before declaring him healthy.
Hannah Hochevar
12:51
With Hosmer officially gone, what of Hunter Dozier? is there any there left there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
Another guy who just hasn't been seen much lately because of injury. Caught him a little but last year while he was rehabbing and thought he looked okay. I'd like to see lots of him, Cuthbert, O'hearn, Bonifacio, maybe Duenez at the corner spots just to get a big league look this year.
Zach
12:54
Do you think the Pads would be making a mistake if Franchy Corderdo doesn't get a look?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:55
He should get a look, yeah. I'm skeptical of what he'll do with it, but he has monster tools and would be great if he became more selective.
Jeff
12:55
I read a comment yesterday from Jeff Luhnow about how the Astros briefly considered calling up Forrest Whitley last Sept. Sounds like he could be ready from a skills standpoint, but what are your thoughts on pushing a guy like him that hard vs letting him marinate in the minors for a few years to build up his innings count? I felt like the Dodgers did well in this regard with Julio Urias...and then they didn't. Seems risky
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
If you're trying to Win The Thing, you talk about every marginal roster improvement you can think of. I don't think LAD handled the Urias stuff well but I don't think they're responsible for injuring him.
He Hate Me
12:57
Everyone is so high on Ohtani that he should be a controlled substance (only legal to play in certain states?). That said, is it possible to scout how well he will do the third time through a big league lineup? I would think that's harder to know for a Japanese import compared to a guy who's been on display for several years in the minors.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:58
Well, consider the things that get you through the lineup a third time. Ability to throw a breaking ball for a strike (Ohtani checks that box), a deeper repertoire than the  guys who struggle with it (check), stuff so good it doesn't matter (check)...I like his chances
JP
12:59
I've had an idea of a fangraphs shirt that says "Fangraphs" with a little description on the front and on the back a big "70" with "FV" below it..thoughts?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:59
Sending one to Ohtani right now.
Walter
12:59
Do you have any thoughts on draft-eligible Vandy players (Patrick Raby, Alonzo Jones, Chandler Day, Julian Infante, etc.)?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:01
I really like Raby and think he'll have helium during the spring. Jones has big tool sbut hasn't really performed. Infante is a R/T college first baseman so those guys have to hit their way up the board and through the minors.
Van
1:01
Do you see Daz Cameron as someone who could leap (back) into the top 100 in the next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:01
Yeah, he could be a low or medium variance 50 next year.
Oscar
1:01
What do you think Jordan Sheffield’s chances of starting at this point are? How has your evaluation changed since he was drafted?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
Maybe a 25% chance he starts. Throws really hard, lots of violence. Stuff great, so probably an impact reliever if he can't start. The shift toward multi-inning relief roles for guys like this would continue to inform how we view prospect like Sheffield, yes.
Jeff
1:04
Do you see teams heavily favoring bats, especially college bats, early in the upcoming draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
If by 'favoring' you mean 'moving them up artificially because of perceived safety' then yes. But there isn't exactly a glut of big time college hitters in this year's draft/
Gustavo Chacin
1:07
Lots of AFL buzz around TJ Zeuch of the Ajax’s last year. Any chance he can come up mid-season and contribute? With 3/5 of the Jays starters unsigned after this year, they’ll need someone to step forward. Think he’s a better bet than Borucki, long-term?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:09
I like Zeuch as a potential #4 starter but Borucki's changeup probably keeps him ahead.
Jeff
1:09
Shane McClanahan has a crazy arm but does a smaller college pitcher with a surgery and a very light workload actually have a shot at 1:1or even the top 5?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:12
Probably not 1:1 but how far down do we get before his stuff is just far better than whoever you're considering as the alternative? I like Rolison and Gilbert but they were each 90-93 or so this weekend. McClanahan was up to 100 with a bunch of 55 and 60 secondaries.
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