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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:01
Hello from Tempe. Just got back from seeing amateur ball in Southern California. Quick link drop before we start:
12:02
In which I attempt to approximate Matthew Liberatore's likely draft range by comparing him to other recent prep lefties: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/a-glance-at-matthew-liberatores-draft-...
12:03
In which I dump some relevant big league scouting notes on Corey Kluber and others: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-corey-kluber-as-an-exercise/
Okay, let's begin...
Bernie
12:03
I'm intrigued by three Cardinals prospects who seem to get little publicity: Andrew Knizer, Adolis Garcia and to a lesser extent Harrison Bader. What are your thoughts on them?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:04
I think they all have a chance to be everyday players. Knizner as a bat-first catcher, Garcia needs to be more patient to get there, Bader is sneaky fast and viable in CF.
Josh
12:04
Does Carter Kieboom stick at SS?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:05
It's 50/50 for most of the scouts I've talked to which probably means some clubs would play him there and others would not
Cole
12:06
Former top prospects... Is there any chance Tyler Glasnow and Dansby Swanson can fulfill their elite prospect pedigree this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:06
Sure, Swanson has a better chance than Glasnow whose command issues look more permanent every year
mikecws91
12:06
What are the odds of Dylan Cease sticking as a starter? What's the single biggest hurdle he's got to jump to get there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
Think he does enough to start from a repertoire and strike-throwing perspective, just needs to stay healthy. We're pretty far removed from it at this point but remember he was a high school TJ guy with a terrible head whack.
Andy
12:07
Do you think a guy like Jose Siri is being overlooked? High average, tons of sbs, and hits for solid power... but crowded outfield and lots of ks/no walks.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:07
He was on our overall 100 so, no
Joe
12:07
Is David Paulino a good prospect at this point?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
Not technically a prospect due to big league roster time but yeah, he's pretty good. The stuff is there. Velocity, comes at you from a weird angle, curveball and changeup are both good. Command and pitchability are both below average, not the sharpest on-mound presence.
Willy
12:08
Jeff Sullivan likes Wilmer Font. Do you?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:08
As a reliever, yeah.
Josh
12:09
Chances Jeisson Rosario is a sure top 100 prospect by midseason?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:09
10%
Shane
12:09
Guys like Michael Chavis, Jake Bauers, Austin Riley, Chris Shaw, and DJ peters are ranked so differently, yet I see a similar skillset (offensively). Why is Bauers ranked the so much higher?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:11
Disagree that their skillsets are similar. Bauers has the best contact skills among them by far and the reasons the rest of the guys swing and miss (Chavis: swing violence; Riley: load depth; Shaw: scouts aren't sold on the bat speed; Peters: lever length) are different. And then we could get into their respective defensive profiles which are also all different...
Jordan
12:11
Is the MiLB community sleeping on Taylor Trammel ? This guy looks like the real deal . Have heard next Acuna .. might be a bit of a stretch .
Eric A Longenhagen
12:12
I like Trammell a lot but he might be LF only and he's a polished hitter with a conservative approach to contact, not the explosive, unkempt athlete typical of high-profile two-sport guys. I think he's a 50 or 55 at maturity.
Commish
12:13
Roberts, Jo Adell, Kingery, Lewis and Julio Pablo Martinez.  Please rank from a purely upside point of view..Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
12:13
Flip Kingery and Lewis and you've got it
RonJon
12:13
Hi Eric! Thoughts on Chris Paddack upside? His #s before TJ were staggering.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
He was supposed to throw live BP on Sunday but I was in LA. I think Keith saw him but I as either in a car or at a game virtually all weekend and haven't doubled back on that stuff yet. He looked great in the uniform when I saw him walking around the backfields during Gore's start early Saturday, though.
Rox Fan
12:14
Do you like Colton Welker as a potential replacement for Arenado if he leaves in FA after '19?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:14
If he can stay at third, yes.
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:15
I loved the piece on scouting Kluber and would enjoy reading more like that. Really helps put tools in perspective, especially because most number 3 types with upside look like they have ace potential if you squint.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:16
Thanks, the response to that piece has been good and I'll do a few more during ST.
Rockie Dangerfield
12:16
Have any of the Rockies' starter prospects looked particularly good this spring?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:18
(grabbing notes)
12:20
Castellani I've got up to 95 flashing an above-average change, Sam Howard did some nice things in a game I saw vs SEA. 90-92 from a funky slot, 50 change, 45 cutter, located
Yency Almonte has been throwing really hard all spring, too.
12:21
Jairo Diaz (not a starter and not technically a prospect) 98-99 with a plus slider out of the bullpen
Actually from ATL
12:21
Do you have any strong feelings about Raimel Tapia? I'm disappointed the Rox brought back Cargo and pushed his timeline back.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:21
Same. Has looked more comfortable in CF this spring than when I've seen him in the past, looks like he's in great shape, the bat is there.
Blue Jay Matt
12:22
Where does Lourdes Gurriel profile best defensively? Is he best deployed as a super utility/Ben Zobrist type player?
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