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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:31
Full disclosure, got crushed by my intermittent insomnia last night and this chat is going to be terse and  full of typos
Tim
2:31
So.... Nick Schnell is apparently a possibility at #4. Is that a crazy reach or a super crazy reach?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:33
Not that it isn't true, but we haven't heard that. That wouldn't be my pick at 4.
2:34
In fact, we've heard the opposite, that Schnell is falling down other boards due to perceived risk
2:35
As far as Schnell is concerned from a talent perspective, there are lots of traits similar to Taylor Trammell a few drafts ago. Has that Trammell/Austin Meadows look at the plate, pull power, runs well, mostly gap-oriented swing. Like the player, just not at 4 given all the risk
The Candy Man
2:35
What type of AZL/short season performance does Alexander Canario need to have to be a Top 100 type of guy? Does the performance even matter?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:37
It's the first strong indicator of what the prospect's plat discipline is like so it matters a little. It helped Jesus Sanchez, Juan Soto, etc hit 50 FV status when the reports were great AND they performed. But I don't have an arbitrary statline for Canario to tick up from a 45 to a 50
Benjamin
2:37
What grades would you give clayton kershaws pitches?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:37
I'd have to see him and, while I've tried, I've been rebuffed. So I really don't know.
Josh
2:37
Any names you’re hearing for the Brewers pick at 21?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:38
The teams in the 17-25 range are just kind of hanging out, seeing who falls. Tough to strongly attach names and MIL, specifically, has been tough to gauge this spring.
Harold
2:38
Would Brady Singer be a brutal pick for the White Sox? Reminds me of the Carson Fulmer pick.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:39
To me, the Fulmer pick was much different.
Fulmer was weird, teams thought he was a reliever. Nobody thinks Singer's a reliever they just aren't super excited by him.
Matty
2:40
What are we to make of a guy like Jose Suarez? a short and stocky pitcher with average stuff, but tearing through the minors with high K numbers.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:41
Velo and breaking ball quality are way up. He's legit. UP to 95 now.
Max Y
2:41
Are Kevin Matian, Livan Soto, etc. Rule 5 eligible at the end of this year? Also, where does Drew Rasmussen get drafted (Had TJ in September) or do you see him returning to Oregon State for his 5th year?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:42
No on the July 2 kids, it's five years from 18 and under and nobody would take either of them anyway because Soto is built like a child and Maitan is still a mess.
2:43
On Rasmussen, no idea. He hasn't thrown in a meaningful way, he'd be someones pick purely on spec sometime late in the draft.
2:44
Like, who would you take:
Any relief-only college arm with a 55 fb and 55 secondary
Drew Rasmussen
Gonna be a while before we run out of the former and lots of teams thought Rasmussen was basically Pitcher A last year
Benjamin
2:45
Would you rather have a pitcher with 70 FB, 70 CB, 60 SL, 60 Ch, 30 cmd and 40 ctrl or 60 fb 55 cb 50 Ch 45 SL, 50 cmd 60 ctrl
Eric A Longenhagen
2:45
2
Tommy N.
2:45
How far away is Weathers and Libby in terms of upside and floor
Eric A Longenhagen
2:45
Floors are similar, Libby toasts Weathers on 'upside' because of the physical projection. Libby might add 15 pounds and throw three ticks harder, Weathers is maxed out
GERB
2:45
What are your expectaions for Shane Bieber? Think he's good enough to stick in that 5th spot at some point this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:46
Expect him to have remarkable slider command and yes, he can pitch in the bigs all year
Tom
2:46
Is BYRON BUXTON a bust?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:46
No, you're impatient
Braves
2:46
Any chance Bohm slides to 8 for the Braves? And if not have you heard any rumblings of Atlanta considering Swaggerty?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:46
No, yes. Swag work(s)ed out for them today.
But still think it's Gorman
Mark
2:47
Has Dennis Santana moved into the 50 FV tire at this point?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:47
Yes
Anthony
2:47
KLaw and Kiley have talked about UVA's struggles with developing pitchers. You concerned about Vasil?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:47
Yes
2:48
Sorry. I know it's unfair to the other UVA kids, but the list of names who haven't gotten better there is pretty long now.
Part of the reason everyone thinks Lynch took off is because he put his foot down and did his own thing.
Benjamin
2:48
How can you not be romantic about baseball
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