Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat - NCAA Regional Edition
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
He has a 61% contact rate, which is simply too low to be a big leaguer unless you have Joey Gallo or Jose Siri's physical tools.
Daniel Bergman
12:47
How has your opinion changed on Murakami relative to before the season? Still a lot of whiff. How long can he keep this up?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:48
Last year he had zero chance against well-executed locations. This year he's dangerous all over. hat homer off of Soriano from earlier this year? He wasn't doing anything like that the last two seasons, the part of the zone was just a hole for him. Body looks leaner, he's getting to the power. Obviously let's see how this plays ou over a long period of time, but I've seen enough to say this is a different/better player than the guy I put a 50 on during the offseason.
casey j
12:48
Squeeze Play, the early 80's movie that was the early days of Cinemax or Showtime, watched for the possibility of seeing a female boob?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
I had no idea there was a post-11pm Squeeze play
Georgia Tech offense starting to do Georgia Tech things
12:50
We're ten minutes away from several more games starting.
higginsford
12:50
Seems like Tampa has settled on a part time MI role for Carson Williams right now. Can he fix his approach problems on a part time basis? Obviously Tampa is doing great so they can’t really let him work through it
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
I think he can, but it'll take longer his way. I agree this is simply what must be done, they're too good to let him K 40% of the time while they're winning like this.
rossredcay
12:51
You all were pretty in on Yilver De Paula coming into the year.   Thoughts so far?  Seems to be hitting well, but I expected the Ks to be a smidge lower.  Maybe not surprising based on the lack of reps last year.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
Were we? 40+ is a big grade for a DSL guy. Sub 70% contact rate right now... feels appropriate.
Shirtless George Brett
12:52
In previous chats you have mentioned that Africa is sort of the next big place for baseball in terms of scouting etc. Can you expand on that a bit? Why Africa?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
There's space there for baseball fields and cricket only has a hold on a fraction of the continent, neither of which is true for europe.
higginsford
12:54
Wei-En Lin arrow up?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
I'm glad the strikes have been where they have been, but he was a 45 and pick to click, and I think this is him tracking exactly like that. Between him, Jump, and Kade Morris, I think they have the best starter prospect depth in that division and it's why I picked them to win the division
rossredcay
12:56
Have you seen any EV data for Jordan Yost?  Reports during spring sounded like he'd added some strength.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
103 max, that's like a 35
Which, honestly, is a little better than I thought he'd be based on how skinny he was at draft time
tc22
12:57
Of the crop of FV50 shortstops, are any differentiating themselves? It seems like they're almost all hitting right now.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:58
solo shot for the Vols
1:01
Honestly, I think the only thing I'd tweak about the shortstop on the hondo would be to side the injured guys somewhat and maybe have a Bruce Rainer reckoning. Brendan and I have been super happy with how the preseason hondo looks right now
1:02
Huge Vahn Lackey homer, 80-grade Mike Ferrin call
Ben Schneider
1:03
Hi Eric, excited for the tournament starting right now. I enjoyed Brendan's article on the Big 12 tournament. Do you have any initial thoughts to share on the conference tournaments you saw in person?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:09
I sat on the tourneys in the East Valley and my targets mostly got creamed. Guys with 50% slider miss rates on the season who couldn't make it out of the second inning. The USF center fielder made several incredible plays but is hitting .190. St. Mary's has a well-rounded baseball team and a nice underclass transfer portal target or two, Parker Dilhoff not a bad senior sign, Rohan Lettow (local kid, ASU initially, SDst now) has a sneaky fastball.
higginsford
1:09
I just submitted several questions about power breakouts and promptly remembered Brendan mentioning it’s tough to tell cus of the ball. Oops 😅
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
IDK for sure if it's the baseball itself but it's our best guess. I do think there's more being done with bat weight optimization across the minors, but that doesn't sufficiently explain why hard hit rates are up 5 percentage points, minors wide, why ev90 average across the minors are up two ticks...
ED44
1:14
Regarding Steele Hall, this is from his blurb in the Reds updated 2026 list: "He has a realistic low-end regular shortstop floor, with more ceiling than that if it turns out Hall can shorten his swing enough to catch pro velocity." Obviously too early to conclude much, but are you encouraged?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
I'd say he's holding serve. Sub 70% contact rate isn't great...
rambleon33
1:14
Keith Law’s recent write up seems to attribute the resurgence of Felnin Celesten to effort and attitude.  Have you had a closer look this year? Are you back in the Celesten train? Were you ever on/off?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
He's been on the hondo for two years, we like him.
odin525
1:15
The Brewers have continued to mesh their needs with their resources by using Patrick out of the pen for what seems like the rest of 2026. Along with Drohan, Hall and Ashby (though usually a 1-2 inning guy), they can navigate the middle late innings without evaporating their short-inning arms. With the limits on pitch counts and starters being minimized more every year, do you see this as the future of the big league staff in general? Or, does it take a pool of plus arms to make it worthwhile and successful beyond the usual bullpen game?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
I think innings will continue to be spread out more evenly across the pitcher population until we get expansion and need to drill another 40 arms deep into the minors
1:16
Yeesh, not a good start for Auburn
Salty
1:17
Do you think Bazzana is up for good, or is the potential there for the Guardians to demote him if he struggles and someone like Arias is ready to return?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
He's crushing, he's heir leadoff guy...he's up for good.
Matt
1:17
Thoughts on Walbert Ureña’s MLB time so far? Would he still be a 40?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
Outperforming his grade by a lot so far
Keith Hernandez
1:17
What are the knocks on Ralphy Velazquez’ bat? KLaw says he stifles with spin - does he still? And what are his MLB comps in your opinion?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
I would be so funny if Keith and I flipped on Ralphy. It's a worse than average contact rate against spin but lower (as in better) than average chase. Doesn't look super terrifying at first blush.
Dan
1:20
What's your outlook on Johan De Los Santos?
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