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Eric Longenhagen Trade Deadline Prospects Chat
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Aldo Rayne
12:44
Agree or disagree: the Mets paid a higher prospect price by a significant margin for Tyler Rogers than they did for Ryan Helsley
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
Agree
J36T
12:44
What's your take on Taj Bradley?  I know pitcher's development is not linear, but Bradley seems to be pitching more to contact, more of a ground ball tilt than previous years, and quality of contact seems to be down.  I wonder if that was intentional, and if that changes with the Twins?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
I think Lance Brozdowski has written about Taj making changes multiple times this year, there's definitely been tinkering there. I'm not sure what the Twins plan to do there, specifically.
Pinstripe Perry
12:46
Know you said you were deep diving him after the chat last week so anything you can share that kept Spencer Jones off the hondo? Contact and CSW %s looks similar to Xavier Isaac who is on the list despite less of a defensive profile to fall back on. I'd throw Eldridge in that group as well from a swing and miss standpoint but understand his numbers look to be a grade better than both the former guys and he's obviously way younger so more room to project him forward.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
Jones' contact rate is well below those other guys. Isaac's is closest but at least north of 60%, Spenny's is 58%.
Big Buckston
12:46
Twins are now flush with prospects and recent graduates who are candidates for the back end of the rotation next year: Zebby Matthews, David Festa, Taj Bradley, Simeon Woods Richardson, Mick Abel, Andrew Morris, Marco Raya, and heck, maybe even AA guys like Connor Prielipp and Ryan Gallagher. Who of this group do you like to emerge from the fray and claim rotation spots next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
Zebby, Festa, Taj, Abel, Morris, SWR all in the mix, maybe Culpepper and Kendry Rojas should be in the mix too since I think he needs to go on the 40-man this offseason
GA Blood
12:48
I thought there were some trades made that indicated that teams are valuing prospects drastically differently than I would have expected. The Eugenio Suarez deal, for example, felt really light. In this market I thought he'd net a couple 45s. Do you have any examples of deals where you might want to go take a second look at guys to double-check your view of them because of the players they were exchanged for?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
The Geno trade was one and I took another pass at Locklear and think his hands have changed enough to move him. I don't think he's a 2 WAR guy or anything, but he's a nice fit with Pavin and Del Castillo. For that one I also wondered whether they'd try to stretch Burgos out as a starter. He's small but athletic enough and has a deep mix.
12:50
The Littell trade made me look at Feduccia again just o make sure I wasn't missing something. I like him but this trade indicates the Rays think he can have like a Jonah Heim window of relevance?
Jaygray007
12:51
Stafura seems like hes going to be a real SS who can hit a little.   You seem to be worried about strikeout issues.   His K rate is under 24 percent this year which, to me sounds totally fine.  Has that concern been alleviated, or is there whiff data that remains concerning?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
70% contact (MLB average is 77%, average at SS is 79%) in his second year at Low-A
mario
12:52
Florentino and Eduardo Quintero tore up A ball and getting a lot of buzz. Since they don't make the 50FV cut (yet) ,what's your take on them?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
Watched Quintero play CF when I updated the hondo and don't think he can do it
Josue De Paula it's a strained hammy btw, I was told it shouldn't be long, like two weeks.
Dust in May
12:53
The Dustin May trade has to be the biggest overpay right? I don’t even think the prospects are that good, but for an injury-prone 5 ERA pitcher who blew past his career high in IP two months ago, it’s an amazing haul. Wow.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
I think the optics of it are weird because of Tibbs/Devers.
Dusty is talented
More than Tibbs, imo.
Nathan
12:54
This prospect didn't get traded but he is moving... to the Show. Luis Morales is getting called up today per Martin Gallegos. What led to his FV going from 50 to 45?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
Just that he moved to the 'pen, basically has to be an elite reliever to justify being a 50.
Still good, have a set-up man grade on him.
My Name
12:55
Cam Smith came up as a 3B. Instead of the Astros trading for 3B help, why did they not just move Cam to 3rd and get OF help? Did he not have a great glove down in the minors? Is he actually a better defender in the OF now?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
You could argue his size would be prohibitive over there, long term. I likened him to Bohm when he was drafted. It's not good there now, but he's athletic enough (and has the arm) that it could get better. They're contending, I think it's fine to want to limit how much change you're subjecting your lineup to this late in the game.
Rob
12:56
What’s your general take on AJ Preller’s philosophy to team-building? Net positive, negative?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:58
It's fun as hell. I don't think it can truly be sustained without eventually having to knock the entire thing down, and he puts himself at risk of being let go when the time comes to do that, but also who would you rather root for: Sustainability Core Team X, or the Padres?
12:59
I'd be frustrated if I were a Guardians fan, we're always just fine. They have great people working there but at some point your approach needs to lean toward urgency more than value.
1:00
It's easy for me to say that from my kitchen table, of course.
Perkins
1:00
How much variability do you understand to exist with teams internal grades of prospects? Are there essentially always simultaneous 45, 50 and 55 grades on the same guy if you could peer into every FO? Would there often, or ever be a 40 and 55 grade on the same guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:02
In some cases there is quite a bit of variability. I've had scouts or execs read my reports (not verbatim, just the grades) from two or three different scouts who aren't on the same page at all. I've had people tell me the public rankings are a much bigger part of their model than we realize because teams view it as a crowd sourcing exercise since (especially BA and pipeline) we're collecting opinions from a bunch of scouts and publishing it.
1:03
It's why pro cross checkers can be important, to settle on which one is right.
Lord Thunder
1:03
When will you next update the international players list on The Board? The current No. 1, Shunpeita Yamashita, has only pitched a handful of innings all season.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
I've got 2026 draft scouting to do for the next couple of weeks, then will turn my attention to NPB.
Jace, The Mind Sculptor
1:03
Would love a plug for any podcast appearances you've done re: the draft
Eric A Longenhagen
1:04
I only did Effectively Wild, which you can now listen to on the FanGraphs Youtube channel, btw.
Stan Lee
1:04
Hi Eric! KLaw said the reports he was receiving suggested Leo De Vries defence at SS was bad. Are you hearing the same? Do you think he moves to 2B?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:04
I agree with Keith that it's a mixed bag, he's not a lock to stay there.
Guest
1:04
Just as a reminder, how soon after the deadline do you do your "ranking all traded prospects" post? Looking forward to reading it
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
It's in progress, I'd guess late today or tomorrow depending on how much juice Meg has to edit an enormous article on her Friday night.
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