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FanGraphs 2025 Wild Card Chat
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AvatarJon Becker
4:22
Nope, just continued extending of leave
Neelix
4:23
I would never be comfortable givin Zack Littell a postseason start. 4.88 FIP, 4.50 xERA, 4.40 SIERA Dodgers will smack him around.
AvatarJon Becker
4:23
Yeah even if there was the concern with Lodolo's stamina (which I share) I would've piggybacked him with Chase Burns. That would be a VERY tough adjustment as a hitter.
4:26
Seiya went from awful to hottest hitter in the NL seemingly overnight, that was roped
nat
4:29
whoa, did you know you can hit the ball right over the wall? guardians take note
AvatarJon Becker
4:29
They didn't even hit one anywhere near the warning track!
Parker Meadows was just chilling in CF all game
Guest
4:32
Cleveland hit more balls that didn't reach the infield dirt than they hit that reached the outfield
Farhandrew Zaidman
4:35
This is the point where I say something like "BABIP increases at BOTH extremes of the EV spectrum" meaning if you can't hit it hard, you may as well hit it really, really soft.
AvatarJon Becker
4:36
Right, the whole point of aligning defenses is to defend against the most likely outcomes, which for no hitter is going to include "dribbler into no man's land" and if Chandler Simpson could put the ball there perfectly every time, they'd start defending against that, too
Tom G
4:41
Doesn't Palencia usually close for the cubs? Surprised they are doing him now instead of the top of the lineup in the 8th/9th
AvatarJon Becker
4:41
He hasn't since he was on the IL for a bit with a shoulder strain, been mostly Kittredge or Keller since
4:42
And I anticipate Palencia, Thielbar, Kittredge, and Keller are the only relievers the Cubs would like to use here to seal a win, barring scoring a bunch of runs
Phil
4:45
Were the Red Sox kind of hoping to lose on Sunday? I wouldn't blame them for preferring CLE, and de Leon pitched better than he had in Worcester. Weirdly, the Tigers seemed less than engaged, and it was bizaree that they didn't pitch-hit Greene in a one run game in the 9th.
AvatarJon Becker
4:46
I think they would've been more than fine with losing, not sure I'd go so far as to say they were hoping. Every team in the playoffs is tough in their own way
MattStats5
4:47
I'm having pains hearing KB and Ben calling this game...great broadcast team NOT calling an Orioles playoff game.
Paul Sporer
4:47
KB and B Mc had me watching y'all's games way longer than necessary, really enjoy their broadcasts
Willie hears ya, Willie dont care
4:55
I always LOL whenever outfielders fight the sun on fly balls, only to see their sunglasses on the bill of their cap, or in Happ's case, behind his head
Nick Perry
4:55
Happ losing ball and making an amazing adjustment.  Tough to do with his sunglasses on the back of his head weighing him down
AvatarJon Becker
4:56
Some people say the sunglasses just make it even worse (it makes the sun dimmer but you can't see anything else, either), not sure I buy that though
That said, PCA and Suzuki both had their sunglasses on and made the plays much more easily than Happ did
Maddy
4:57
These low score first games have me thinking. If you're a low-slug team like the Pads or Brewers, would you care if a close game is like 5-5 versus 1-1 in the 6th inning? Is there something meaningful to say about like, one/both teams hitting hot that day, which meaningfully affects your probability calculations? Like maybe small-ball teams have differently shaped distributions of runs scored than normal (besides just a smaller center), so it's extra encouraging to see them scoring, even if it's a tie? Or are these two tie situations basically equal?
AvatarJon Becker
4:57
Oooh this is interesting. My gut would say basically equal, but also a 5-5 game means you're probably in the bullpen sooner on both sides, so that becomes part of the calculus, too
5:02
Feels like a violation of the Geneva Conventions or something to force hitters to face Mason Miller in the shadows
Davy Andrews
5:05
Hey everybody! Just filed my Tigers-Guardians gamer and I'm ready to chat.
Dan
5:10
I'm rooting for the Guardians solely for the possibility the Shane Bieber drops 14 scoreless innings on them.
AvatarJon Becker
5:11
Hello Davy!
Davy Andrews
5:13
Hi Jon, how are you doing?
Mr Trivia
5:13
how about kevin brown and ben mcdonald in a national booth??? rare W for ESPN
Davy Andrews
5:14
They are great, and I hope everybody who doesn't get to hear them on a regular basis really enjoys it.
small e
5:16
On one hand I'm upset they gave Red Sox - Yankees by far the worst of the four ESPN booths, on the other hand it makes simply turning on the radio instead a way easier decision
PCAs stylist
5:16
Counsell is bunting?? Thought he was a modern mgr
Davy Andrews
5:16
Maybe he was watching that Tigers-Guardians game.
Farhandrew Zaidman
5:17
(quick non-playoff question) - What's more unacceptable: Rockies giving up over 1000 runs scored or only scoring 595 themselves in that ballpark?
Davy Andrews
5:17
The answer to this question is yes.
Farhandrew Zaidman
5:18
Kiké Hernandez (who gets the start in LF today) is a career 133 wRC+ hitter in the playoffs versus 91 wRC+ in the regular season. Small sample size, pure chance, signal in the noise, or something else?
Davy Andrews
5:20
I mean, I am legally required to tell you that this is just a small sample size thing. But...I can think of a couple reasons that it might not necessarily be luck.
5:21
For example, is all the care and scrutiny that goes into the postseason allowing the Dodgers to put him in more favorable matchups? That's not necessarily a true talent thing, but it's also not luck.
MattStats5
5:21
Mr Trivia, I mentioned earlier in the chat....KB and Ben are awesome.  We O's fans listen to them nightly, along with Melanie Newman and Palmer occasionally.  Great broadcast team.
Guy who asks the dinner question
5:22
Mike trout has an .083 batting avg in the playoffs. is he just ass?
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