FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 1/19/16
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Paul Swydan
5:47
Which division is the hardest to peg?

AL East (24.1% | 46 votes)
 
AL Central (56.5% | 108 votes)
 
AL West (8.4% | 16 votes)
 
NL East (0.5% | 1 vote)
 
NL Central (4.2% | 8 votes)
 
NL West (6.3% | 12 votes)
 

Total Votes: 191
5:51
Which of these outfielders would you most want to sign?

Austin Jackson (38.9% | 77 votes)
 
Steve Pearce (27.3% | 54 votes)
 
Matt Joyce (2% | 4 votes)
 
Domonic Brown (3% | 6 votes)
 
David Lough (3.5% | 7 votes)
 
Travis Snider (4.5% | 9 votes)
 
Oh, good Lord, no! (20.7% | 41 votes)
 

Total Votes: 198
9:01
Hi everybody! OK let's do this thing.
The Dude of NY
9:02
Why was George Steinbrenner villainized for spending so much money on free agents, while Mike Ilitch is praised for it? Is it because the Tigers are lost money last year, but Ilitch is spending anyway?
Paul Swydan
9:02
Probably because Steinbrenner spent his money on bonafide stars and did it with a sneer on his face, while Ilitch spends his money on second tier guys and mostly stays in the shadows.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:03
I think the Steinbrenner issue was how much he out spent people. The Yankees are still outspending the Tigers.
Paul Swydan
9:03
That too.
Codes
9:03
What does Blanton in relief look like in 2016 for the Dodgers?
Jeff Zimmerman
9:03
On the DL? Tough to really tell
Paul Swydan
9:04
Middle reliever. Probably pretty decent. His stuff played up in the pen last year.
Raindog
9:04
I don't really understand why Austin Jackson is thought of so lowly / going to get paid so little. He put up 2.3 WAR last year and is only going to be 29 years old. Shouldn't that be considered a solidly useful player, not a bargain-bin buy-low candidate?
Paul Swydan
9:05
Absolutely. But since the perception is that he trended down, he has to wait in line. Cespedes still has to sign, and he may have to outwait Fowler as well, though Fowler's draft pick comp brings that a little closer to even.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:05
Teams wait to see if they can get the top talent and then settle. Jackson is not as good as other OF still available
AKA22
9:05
Braves keep showing up as suitors for the big OF bats before dropping out. Think they agree just trying to bluff the fans into thinking they want to win games, or is there a chance they surprise people?
Jeff Zimmerman
9:06
Small chance for them getting bats right now, especially giving up draft picks for them
Paul Swydan
9:07
If I'm being honest, I'd say there's probably a little bluffing for the fans in there, but also on guys like Heyward and Upton, they will still be productive when the Braves get good again.
Russ
9:07
Two Part Question! 1. What percent chance do you give Appel starting the season in the rotation, assuming he has a decent spring? 2. What percent chance do you give Jonathan Schoop ending the season as a top 5 offensive second basemen, assuming he plays 140-160 games?
Paul Swydan
9:08
I give Schoop better chances than Appel, and I would only put Schoop's chances at around 20%.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:08
1. 5% 2. 35%
Martin
9:08
In a 12 team h2h with Avg, HR, R, RBI and OPS, is Prince Fielder worth keeping at $25?
Paul Swydan
9:08
STANDARD REMINDER: If you're going to ask us dollar-based questions, we need to know your salary cap.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:09
That sounds about right .... with $260 cap
Paul Swydan
9:09
For instance, my home league played with a floating cap that maxed out at $229. My Ottoneu league cap starts at $400. I would recommend Fielder at that price for the latter but not the former.
9:10
I mean, I guess we don't NEED to know, but it definitely helps us give you a better answer.
Minty
9:10
OBP dynasty, Schwarber or Corey Seager? I question if Schwarber will ever catch or if Seager stays at SS.
Paul Swydan
9:10
Well, they'll both have that eligibility this year. I think Seager holds on to his prime eligibility longer, so I'd say him.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:11
Seagar, I think he has the better bat and glove
James
9:11
The Rangers have reportedly started extension talks with Adrian Beltre. How comfortable would you be giving Beltre a 2/40 extension which has been thrown about?
Paul Swydan
9:11
I'd be fine with that.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:11
That's OK
GSon
9:12
Frankie Lindor had a tremendous debut in the Major Leagues, surpassing even the eventual AL ROY in numbers/WAR..etc.. Do you see a continuation in 2016?
Paul Swydan
9:12
I think he can continue to be that good yes, because I think the defensive value over a full season should offset any potential offensive decline.
Jeff Zimmerman
9:12
No, I expect huge regression especially with the power
Ryan
9:13
Is there any way Fangraphs could publish the standard deviations for its projected standings? I think it would be fascinating to see which teams' situations are most unpredictable/uncertain.
Paul Swydan
9:13
I'm honestly not sure if we can or can't, but I will try to remember to ask about it.
Sho Darvish
9:14
Twenty bucks says Yu is innocent. You want any of that action?
Jeff Zimmerman
9:14
When I have looked at this previously, the ranking can have 10 SD. Just too many variables to get worked up about like injuries and trades
Paul Swydan
9:14
I'm not sure to what this is referring. RE: Yu. Care to elaborate?
Jeff Zimmerman
9:14
Who cares?
9:15
His brother was gambling one baseball, Paul.
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