JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 12/5/17

FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 12/5/17

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Paul Swydan

5:49

Which of Paul's most listened to artists (according to Spotify) this year do you like best?

Kendrick Lamar (29.5% | 41 votes)

The Alchemist (2.2% | 3 votes)

Nas (9.4% | 13 votes)

Mobb Deep (3.6% | 5 votes)

Wu-Tang Clan (16.5% | 23 votes)

I like them all equally! (2.2% | 3 votes)

I don't like any of these musical acts. (36.7% | 51 votes)

Total Votes: 139

5:52

Which of Paul's 9 most listened to songs of 2017 (according to Spotify) do you like best?

Your Wildest Dreams - The Moody Blues (9.8% | 12 votes)

Let's Groove - Earth, Wind & Fire (13.1% | 16 votes)

Capt. Underpants Theme Song - Weird Al (7.4% | 9 votes)

Everything She Wants - Wham! (3.3% | 4 votes)

Saturday - Nathan Willett of Cold War Kids (0.8% | 1 vote)

I'm The One - DJ Khaled f/ Bieber, Chance, Lil' Wayne (12.3% | 15 votes)

While My Guitar Gently Weeps - Regina Spektor (13.1% | 16 votes)

All Night - Big Boi (4.1% | 5 votes)

(Shake, Shake, Shake) Shake Your Booty - KC & The Sunshine Band (11.5% | 14 votes)

I don't like any of these songs! (24.6% | 30 votes)

Total Votes: 122

5:58

Do you think the Mikolas signing makes the Cardinals rotation deep enough to trade away a starting pitcher?

Absolutely (3.8% | 6 votes)

I think so (17.8% | 28 votes)

Meh (36.3% | 57 votes)

I don't think so (30.6% | 48 votes)

Definitely not (11.5% | 18 votes)

Total Votes: 157

9:02

Hi everybody!

Austin

9:02

Thoughts on Drew Pomeranz for 2018?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:02

Hi

9:03

He'll be an acceptable #3 starter

Paul Swydan

9:04

I guess my overriding thought is that he is one of the guys who could be most impacted by the managerial switch. Ole Johnny Farrell pretty clearly just didn't care to manage his starting rotation like it was 2017, choosing instead to pretend it was 1987. As such, guys like Sale and Pomeranz faded down the stretch. Perhaps Cora will have a brain, and this won't happen in 2018.

Otherwise, what Jeff said.

Paul don't read this....

9:04

Jeff... hello

Paul Swydan

9:04

I don't even know how to read...

Sean

9:04

would a gerrit cole for roughned odor trade work for both teams? Who says no?

Paul Swydan

9:04

Um, the Pirates. Rougned Odor sucks.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:05

I think it's closer than Paul but I think the Pirates will aim for some younger and can take a walk.

Ben

9:06

Supposedly Shohei Ohtani wrote down some year-by-year life goals when he was in high school. By age 26 (2020) he said he wants to win a World Series. Does that disqualify any of the 7 teams still in the hunt?

Paul Swydan

9:06

Nope.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:06

No, a lot can happen in two seasons.

Paul Swydan

9:07

Well, maybe the Padres and A's, but no, any team CAN turn it around if they really want to. It's just that most every owner wants to hide behind their small market BS.

Even Houston and Toronto and Philly get labeled as small markets somehow. It's really quite astounding.

Poppa Brad

9:07

If Ohtani puts up a 110 wRC+ with 15 HRs in ~300 PAs and a sub-3 ERA, does that put him make him the MVP favorite?

Paul Swydan

9:08

Assuming that sub-3 ERA comes in 150+ IP, then yes.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:08

Some BIG ifs, but yea.

AA

9:09

After a strong Arizona Fall League showing, should the braves expect max fried to lay claim to a spot in the rotation come spring or do they need to add some depth to make sure they are covered?

Paul Swydan

9:09

I think that even if they expect him to lay claim to a spot that they should acquire some depth anyway.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:10

He could. Walks may be an issue IIRC

natsfan

9:10

With the Rays in continuous roster turnover mode and steals always lacking is Mallex Smith worth a $4 play in AL only?

Paul Swydan

9:11

Standard disclaimer that we need more info than that if you want our best answer. For instance, if your salary cap is $100, then it's harder to justify $4 on Smith than if it were, say, $280-$300. Having said that, probably, yes.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:11

AL-only, sure. Almost any hitter with a pulse is in play

Parblo

9:11

What wRC+ over how many PAs would it take for everyone to recognize Ohtani as "the real deal" and buy into him as a true two-way player going forward?

Paul Swydan

9:12

The way fans have been getting riled up at all these no's from Ohtani, the general fan might not give him his due until he posts a 175 wRC+. For me, I'll take anything above 90 as super encouraging.

9:13

But I very much want the two-way plan to succeed, so I'm not exactly unbiased.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:13

Teams aren't fighting over him for his hitting. Eric L wouldn't even put him in his top 100 prospect list if he was a hitter only.

Lou

9:14

Why do so many people believe the Giants are possible contenders when they have posted the worst record since the '16 All Star break?

Paul Swydan

9:14

Because the Giants are almost always contenders.

Gonna take more than a bad year and a half to convince people otherwise.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:15

I could see them as a wild card team but that division is tough.

Yaba daba doo!

9:15

The Mariners *really* need to try to win right now. If they sign Ohtani, how long of a leash do they give him if that means they have to play Nelson Cruz in RF 2-3 days a week? Does 2018 just get punted in favor of letting Ohtani get as many PAs as he wants?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:16

Cruz >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Ohtani

9:17

Ohtani is projected to be similar to the '17 version of Matt Kemp: https://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/shohei-ohtani-projection-and-compara...

Paul Swydan

9:17

I don't see the urgency. The Mariners have never won the World Series. If they need a year to get it lined up with Ohtani, then you take a freaking year with Ohtani to get it lined up. The team's only free agent of consequence after this season is Cruz, and by then he'll be on the verge of his age-38 season. Pretty sure the M's will be able to get him back. Easy, tiger. Everything's gonna be alright.

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