JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 12/20/16

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Paul Moehringer

9:33

How many of these long term reliever contracts do you think teams are going to regret and how many are worth the risk?

Paul Swydan

9:34

I think any one-year deal is worth the risk. Most of the 3-year deals for non-closers will end up being regrettable.

Joaquín Quinoa

9:34

Who do you expect to have more WAR rest of career, Tim Anderson or Jose Peraza? Last year Peraza, who's younger, did more in fewer at bats and he's notionally a better fielder, but Anderson is expected to maybe grow into more because he started playing later? Really?

Paul Swydan

9:34

I'll say Peraza, though I don't have confidence that either will have an abnormally long career.

Cybo

9:34

Keeper help. Help me pick 3 of Beni, Sano, Scharber, Maz, Piscotty, Healey, Travis. Can keep em forever league if it matters. Love the chats. Thanks as always!

Paul Swydan

9:35

Help me out here, who is Maz?

Bobby

9:35

Dont you think it's a big problem for MLB that your mom doesn't know who Mike Trout is ?

Paul Swydan

9:36

No, not really. MLB is a $10 billion business and while they are trying to change their marketing approach now, traditionally have focused on promoting the team and the history of the game over individual players. Also, my mom is in her 70s and hasn't followed sports since the Dodgers left her native Brooklyn.

When the 1991 NBA Finals started, my mom asked me if I was excited to watch Michael Johnson play Magic Jordan.

Darragh

9:37

Hey, Paul. Thanks for the chat.

If the Jays manage to add two outfielders between now and spring, does Ezequiel Carrera have any trade value? Maybe bring back a reliever?

Paul Swydan

9:37

No matter how many outfielders the Jays add, Carrera will not possess enough value to bring back any interest major league players.

5 Run Homer

9:37

Mazara

Paul Swydan

9:38

Ah. I mean, I don't think I'm out of line in not knowing who that was, right? I'll say Benintendi, Sano and Schwarber.

Bobby

9:38

Harsh answer to Jordan, much respect

Paul Swydan

9:39

I mean, it should be fairly obvious that we answer fewer questions because it takes two people longer to answer questions than it does one person.

Bobby

9:39

Is Superman the equilavent of a 2.05 era guy with a 3.75 FIP? I.e. overrated

Paul Swydan

9:40

That's such a fantastic question, I love everything about it. But Superman was only overrated in the sense that he is boring. In reality, he'd be a 0.00 ERA guy with a 0.00 FIP, and that would get hella boring to watch. He'd throw a perfect game every time.

And as a pitcher, you couldn't even get close enough to him with kryptonite for it to matter. Not without breaking the rules, anyway.

Dan

9:41

Is Santa real?

Paul Swydan

9:41

Mmmhmmmm.

TengoPreguntas

9:41

Thought Maz was Matz missing the T

Paul Swydan

9:41

That was my first thought as well! Oh well.

Alfonso

9:41

The Yankees have really struggled with developing starting pitchers. Not a question, just an observation.

Paul Swydan

9:41

Developing pitching is hard.

Nick

9:41

As a yankee fan, i'm hoping they don't trade for quintana, but if they did, what would the package look like? Frazier as the headliner?

Paul Swydan

9:41

One would assume Frazier would be prominently involved, yes.

Alfonso

9:42

Actually Superman would have a negative FIP, like Andrew Miller did for half the year.

Paul Swydan

9:42

Yeah, I thought about that. Probably. Either way, it'd be boring.

Andre

9:42

Tell me something good about my Jays pls?

Paul Swydan

9:43

They still currently project to have the 6th-best offense in the AL even after losing 2 great hitters. And who knows, maybe one of them will still come back!

Jordan

9:44

It wasn't a question of liking the chat, it was a question of speed... but thanks for being an asshole about it

Paul Swydan

9:44

Sorry, Jordan. It's mostly what I said - it simply takes us longer to answer the questions jointly. Also, we have so many questions in the queue that Jeff doesn't know which questions I am going to pick, so it necessarily takes him longer.

Lisa Vanderpump

9:45

Do the Reds trade Phillips and/or Cozart before the season?

Paul Swydan

9:45

Nah, doing things isn't the Reds' style.

TengoPreguntas

9:45

how fast would superman throw? (I'm gonna go with all the mphs)

Paul Swydan

9:45

An interesting theoretical question would be exactly how fast can you make the ball go in 60.6 feet?

9:46

Would it be a good idea for ny Yankees to discuss extension with Gary Sanchez? If so what is a fair deal ?

Paul Swydan

9:46

No, I'd give at least one full season. The basic priority is locking up a player before he reaches arbitration, and Sanchez has plenty of time left before he gets there.

9:47

What could th Yankees reasonably get in return if they made starlin Castro available ?

Paul Swydan

9:47

I honestly don't think much. It's not clear that Castro would be an upgrade over what any team looking to contend in 2017 already has at second base.

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