JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 12/19/17

FanGraphs After Dark Chat - 12/19/17

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Paul Swydan

10:28

Did you enjoy the baseball parts of 2017?

Absolutely (63.9% | 145 votes)

Sure (30.4% | 69 votes)

Meh (4.4% | 10 votes)

Not really (0.4% | 1 vote)

Definitely not! (0.9% | 2 votes)

Total Votes: 227

10:32

Which team that won between 70-79 games last season do you think is most likely to be better than .500 in 2018?

Toronto (10.8% | 27 votes)

Baltimore (0% | 0 votes)

Seattle (30.4% | 76 votes)

Texas (10% | 25 votes)

Oakland (16.8% | 42 votes)

Miami (1.2% | 3 votes)

Atlanta (4.8% | 12 votes)

NY Mets (17.6% | 44 votes)

Pittsburgh (5.2% | 13 votes)

San Diego (3.2% | 8 votes)

Total Votes: 250

7:24

If you saw "The Last Jedi" already, where does it rank among the 9 Star Wars films for you? (Eps 1-8 + Rogue One)

Best Ever! I loved it! (3% | 5 votes)

2nd (3% | 5 votes)

3rd (7.7% | 13 votes)

4th (6.5% | 11 votes)

5th (10.1% | 17 votes)

6th (3% | 5 votes)

7th (1.8% | 3 votes)

8th (1.2% | 2 votes)

Dead last, I hated it. (2.4% | 4 votes)

I haven't seen it yet (61.5% | 104 votes)

Total Votes: 169

9:03

Hi everybody!

Jeff Zimmerman

9:03

Hi

Paul Swydan

9:03

You people need to get out more!

Jeff Zimmerman

9:03

Hi

Grateful Bread

9:03

What is your realistic prediction for when the Red’s will be competitive again? They have an interesting position player core, and Luis Castillo, Tyler Mahle, and to a lesser extent Robert Stephenson all showed some promise. Is a WC berth realistic in 2018 with some luck?

Paul Swydan

9:04

I think the division that is the most vulnerable in 2018 is the NL Central, so I won't rule out the Reds making a Wild Card run, but they're at the bottom of that division with the Pirates still. I'd say 2019-2020 would be more realistic.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:05

At some point, they need to try to add parts to give them a positive boost

justin seager

9:05

Would a defense of Machado at 3B, Turner at 1B and Bellinger in LF work for the Dodgers?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:06

Why not?

Paul Swydan

9:06

Yeah, I think in a vacuum that works.

John

9:06

Am I crazy to think that Machado might go for more than expected? I know he won't get a haul but he should be worth more than mid-season rentals with a full year and the QO right? Will he get less than Lucroy and Darvish got at deadline?

Paul Swydan

9:07

He certainly won't get less than Lucroy got. I don't think you're crazy at all. I think he'd fetch a lot more if the Orioles were granting the exclusive negotiating window, but maybe Machado's reps have told the Orioles they won't sign an extension anyway.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:07

He'll bring back a top 10 prospect or equivalent.

PTBNL

9:07

Hanley Ramirez will be:

A) Traded
B) DFA'd

Paul Swydan

9:07

C) Neither

Jeff Zimmerman

9:08

DH

Paul Swydan

9:08

No one is trading for that albatross of a contract unless the Sox pay it all off, and that'd be pointless for them to do.

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

9:08

Zack Cozart, Jorge Polanco, or Marcus Semien in AL only OBP roto league?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:09

Polanco by far

Paul Swydan

9:10

I'll disagree and say that I don't think there's much separation between the trio and to take whichever one is cheapest/you can get the latest in your draft.

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

9:10

How are your leagues adjusting for Ohtani as a two-way player?

Paul Swydan

9:10

Ottoneu is going to treat him as one player and you have to pick each day if he is at Util or Pitcher. I haven't checked in with my CBS league to see how he'll be accounted for.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:11

Teams will get to decide how to use him. I'm just in weekly leagues so he'll only be used as a pitcher.

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

9:11

The best part of the Last Jedi was when it murdered the childhood of the loser sitting next to me.

angry

2

Paul Swydan

9:12

LOL. It is pretty amusing listen to people bitch about how they feel betrayed. It's a movie - it didn't owe you anything.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:12

Just one loser?

manny machado

9:12

would i be the best ss in baseball?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:13

Tough to say .... I'd take Correa though.

Paul Swydan

9:13

NOPE. I think we need to dispense with this particular line of thinking. Machado is a third baseman. He's going to SAY that he wants to play shortstop to give him as many options as possible on the open market, but the reality is that he's played 6331 innings at third base, and 433 at shortstop. He's 6'3" and has already had a knee problem. He's a third baseman.

cool

2

Curtis

9:14

Rhys Hoskins over/under 40hrs in 2018?

Paul Swydan

9:14

Under

Jeff Zimmerman

9:14

Under

Dmitry

9:14

Do you think theres an unmeasured negative WAR for a catcher like Sanchez, whose past ball tendancies make pitchers change their pitch selections to avoid balls in the dirt?

Paul Swydan

9:15

I don't think there's any way we could accurately suss out how much pitchers change their pitch mix to avoid passed balls. Some pitchers don't just care about passed balls. Some would only feel pressure in certain situations, etc. Your comparable sample of "passed ball situations" between him and other Yankees catchers for each pitcher would be a minuscule sample.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:15

Maybe a bit but not a ton. Fractions of a Win

Brian

9:15

Is Clint Frazier and Chance Adams enough for Cole? I think he's being overrated and I wouldn't want to give up Sheffield or Andujar for him

Paul Swydan

9:16

I think you probably have to give up 3 of those guys to get Cole, but I'm not sure I'd do that deal either. I'd much prefer the Frazier and Ellsbury for Samardzija type of deal.

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