JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

Paul Swydan

5:12

What is tonight's best 7 pm matchup?

PHI (Velasquez) vs. WAS (Scherzer) (75.7% | 143 votes)

CHW (Sale) vs. TOR (Dickey) (14.8% | 28 votes)

BAL (Jimenez) vs. TB (Odorizzi) (3.2% | 6 votes)

BOS (Price) vs. ATL (Wisler) (2.1% | 4 votes)

CIN (Finnegan) vs. NYM (Colon) (3.2% | 6 votes)

OAK (Hill) vs. DET (Pelfrey) (1.1% | 2 votes)

Total Votes: 189

5:14

What is the best 8 pm or later matchup?

MIL (Nelson) vs. CHC (Hendricks) (4.3% | 8 votes)

NYY (Severino) vs. TEX (Griffin) (2.2% | 4 votes)

CLE (Anderson) vs. MIN (Nolasco) (2.2% | 4 votes)

PIT (Cole) vs. COL (De La Rosa) (4.9% | 9 votes)

STL (Martinez) vs. ARI (Miller) (30.8% | 57 votes)

KC (Volquez) vs. LAA (Weaver) (3.2% | 6 votes)

HOU (Keuchel) vs. SEA (Karns) (7% | 13 votes)

MIA (Koehler) vs. LAD (Kershaw) (18.4% | 34 votes)

SD (Shields) vs. SF (Cueto) (27% | 50 votes)

Total Votes: 185

5:42

Do you think Travis d'Arnaud will ever play a full major league season?

Definitely (2.6% | 5 votes)

I think so. (16.3% | 31 votes)

Meh (25.8% | 49 votes)

I doubt it. (40% | 76 votes)

Definitely not (15.3% | 29 votes)

Total Votes: 190

9:00

Hi everybody!

9:01

Couple warnings for tonight's chat. 1) Jeff is in the middle of a lightning/hail storm that is causing him to lose intermittently lose power, so he may be in and out. 2) I'm watching the Celtics game because a) it's the playoffs and b) last night's Sox-Braves game was super boring. Sue me.

William Wallace

9:02

Berrios hot takes

Paul Swydan

9:02

You're talking to a guy who went to $11 on him in Ottoneu. Yes that was partly because I had accidentally left a lot of money on the table, but still. I'm excited. Be excited!

The rookies are coming.

9:03

Jeff lost power FYI.

Dweeb

9:03

Why is baseball so fluky?

Paul Swydan

9:03

You say fluky, I say random. Kind of like life.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:03

I am around for a while. I am only under a Tornado Watch, Thunderstorm warning and flood warning

9:04

The randomness works

Paul Swydan

9:04

And he's still here. THAT'S dedication.

Big Joe Monferrant

9:04

If you had to put a bet on the table of who hits more HRs by the AS break, the Braves or Bryce Harper.. Who you got?

Paul Swydan

9:04

Probably the Braves.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:04

Braves, but it is going to be closer than it should be

Yusuf

9:04

Do you think Mets are better off with Plawecki as the primary catcher?

Paul Swydan

9:05

No, it's just sad how fragile d'Arnaud is.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:05

No, Travis is just off to a slow start

Paul Swydan

9:05

Well also he's hurt now.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:06

Great, I have too many shares of him.

At least I don't have him in Tout Wars

Future Hendrix

9:06

Chances Machado wins MVP this year? Or ever in career?

Paul Swydan

9:07

I think he's got pretty good odds. Trout is going to have an uphill battle because the Angels are not good. If the O's end up being good, Machado will feature prominently in the discussion.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:07

I would put his chance at 10%

9:08

Hey, the thunderstorm warning passed, now only two warnings ... and the lights flashed

Paul Swydan

9:08

http://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/split_finder.cgi?type=b&class=team#gotresults&type=b&class=team&as=team_batting&offset=0&match=season&min_year_game=1980&max_year_game=2016&playoffs=&split_1=dates%3Ahalf&sid_situa%3Atkswg=situa%3Atkswg%3Aany&sid_situa%3Aleado=situa%3Aleado%3Aany&sid_outcb%3Aoutcb=outcb%3Aoutcb%3Aany&sid_oppon%3Aoppon=oppon%3Aoppon%3Aany&sid_situa%3Atimes=situa%3Atimes%3Aany&sid_plato%3Aplato=plato%3Aplato%3Aany&sid_situa%3Abases=situa%3Abases%3Aany&sid_defp%3Adefp=defp%3Adefp%3Aany&sid_opptp%3Agbfb=opptp%3Agbfb%3Aany&sid_plato%3Aplats=plato%3Aplats%3Aany&sid_opptp%3Apower=opptp%3Apower%3Aany&sid_hitty%3Atraj=hitty%3Atraj%3Aany&sid_lineu%3Alineu=lineu%3Alineu%3Aany&sid_age%3Aage=age%3Aage%3Aany&sid_total%3Atotal=total%3Atotal%3Aany&sid_dates%3Ahalf=dates%3Ahalf%3A1st+Half&sid_locat%3Astad=locat%3Astad%3Aany&sid_situa%3Ainnng=situa%3Ainnng%3Aany&sid_locat%3Asite=locat%3Asite%3Aany&sid_dates%3Amonth=dates%3Amonth%3Aany&sid_situa%3Acount=situa%3Acount%3Aany&sid_situa%3Aouts=situa%3Aou

9:09

Wow, San Diego only hit 21 homers in the first half in 1981.

Oh but that was the weird strike year. Here let's try again:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/play-index/split_finder.cgi?type=b&class=team#gotresults&type=b&class=team&as=team_batting&offset=0&match=season&min_year_game=1980&max_year_game=2015&playoffs=&split_1=dates%3Ahalf&sid_situa%3Atkswg=situa%3Atkswg%3Aany&sid_situa%3Aleado=situa%3Aleado%3Aany&sid_outcb%3Aoutcb=outcb%3Aoutcb%3Aany&sid_oppon%3Aoppon=oppon%3Aoppon%3Aany&sid_situa%3Atimes=situa%3Atimes%3Aany&sid_plato%3Aplato=plato%3Aplato%3Aany&sid_situa%3Abases=situa%3Abases%3Aany&sid_defp%3Adefp=defp%3Adefp%3Aany&sid_opptp%3Agbfb=opptp%3Agbfb%3Aany&sid_plato%3Aplats=plato%3Aplats%3Aany&sid_opptp%3Apower=opptp%3Apower%3Aany&sid_hitty%3Atraj=hitty%3Atraj%3Aany&sid_lineu%3Alineu=lineu%3Alineu%3Aany&sid_age%3Aage=age%3Aage%3Aany&sid_total%3Atotal=total%3Atotal%3Aany&sid_dates%3Ahalf=dates%3Ahalf%3A1st+Half&sid_locat%3Astad=locat%3Astad%3Aany&sid_situa%3Ainnng=situa%3Ainnng%3Aany&sid_locat%3Asite=locat%3Asite%3Aany&sid_dates%3Amonth=dates%3Amonth%3Aany&sid_situa%3Acount=situa%3Acount%3Aany&sid_situa%3Aouts=situa%3Aou

9:10

STL in 86. They look like the outlier there.

And STL in 91.

ok i'm done

Matt

9:10

12-team H2H cats league. Thinking of shopping Braun's hot start for a hitter upgrade. I love the guy, but the back/thumb issues unfortunately seem to be chronic issues now. I'm strong-ish at 1B/CI/OF (5) (Goldy/Abreu/JDM/Cargo/Adam Jones/Granderson/Reddick) but much weaker at 2B/SS/MI/3B (Rendon/Suarez/K.Wong/Longoria). I'd love to package Braun + Longoria for one of the big 3B (Nolan, Manny) but I doubt that happens. Question is - Would you hold or sell Braun? And if you think sell, who is a reasonable target? Miggy? Todd Frazier? Nelly Cruz?

Paul Swydan

9:10

I initially read this as a fantasy league for cats.

9:11

Jeff can speak to Braun's health better than I can, but I would have no problem at all selling high on Braun.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:12

Teams aren't going to give a ton. I may look for someone just a bit younger like Marte ... maybe Dickerson.

Tom

9:12

Rich Hill is pitching tonight. He is my favorite pitcher to watch right now in the big leagues. I just want him to go 7 and strike out 10 every start.

Paul Swydan

9:12

You mean you like Rich Hill better than Joe Kelly? Pft.

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