JotCast | FanGraphs After Dark Chat

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Big Joey

9:13

Does Vlad jr make it to the majors next season? And if so, would you go the extra mile to acquire him in a 12 team, 6 player keep-forever league?

Paul Swydan

9:14

Whether he does come up or not, I'd definitely go the extra mile to get him.

brb

Jeff Zimmerman

9:15

Not sure about next year. The Blue Jays won't likely be contenders so they have no reason to rush him (i.e Moncada). So you'll be clogging one of only 6 spots with someone who won't play. Now I like him but not as a keeper yet.

Steve

9:15

Do you believe Matt Harvey can bounce back and be as good as he was in previous years?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:16

Not a chance. He is going to need to re-establish himself as someone else. I'm not sure his ego will let him.

Paul Swydan

9:16

I don't believe that, no.

Jon Lester

9:16

Am I an a-hole because I can't appreciate the fun that happens at the ballpark. Lackey always taught me to never have fun... that nacho guy drove me nuts? Am I wrong here?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:17

Who cares and what do you have against nachos?

Paul Swydan

9:18

It was obviously an odd take, but the thing I come back to is that before Magic and Isiah kissed before Game 1 of the 88/89 NBA Finals, teams were usually pretty antagonistic to each other. So I'm not too surprised by Lester's reaction, even though it was with a fan. But like Jeff said, who cares?

Pablo Devers

9:18

Do my body issues concern you? I am strikingly similar to Pablo and I have tailed out significantly.

Paul Swydan

9:18

No I don't think that's even remotely a fair comp.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:19

Yes, I see you moving to 1B or DH in a few years.

I think more like Miggy

Paul Swydan

9:19

Sandoval is listed as 5-11, 255 lbs. Devers 6-0, 195. That's literally a 60 lb. difference, and there's a damn good chance that Sandoval's weight listing was generous.

Avisail Garcia

9:20

How long do I have to do this before people believe in me?

Paul Swydan

9:20

Another year, probably.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:21

Yea, good story but you really rode that early BABIP.

Dr Evil

9:21

Devers is not under 2 bills.

Paul Swydan

9:22

If you say so.

billsaints

9:22

Bold prediction. Ohtani to the Rays. He doesn't care about money or fame. They have none and no one goes to their games. They will invest in the best way to develop 2-way players as they will have two. That's as far as i can reach, but i still have a sneaky feeling...

Paul Swydan

9:22

Goodness that is a bold prediction. Saying that the young man doesn't care about money is one thing. Saying he doesn't care about fame seems like quite another.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:23

No, if he takes a pay cut, he'll play where he can get to the postseason.

And I was wrong, Garcia kept the BABIP up. Off to see how good....

Fangraphs

9:23

Do you guys go to FanGraphs at all?

Paul Swydan

9:23

We do!

9:24

Please buy our new t-shirt! https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/do-you-go-to-fangraphs-at-all/

Mac

9:25

If somebody were to vote for a player like Justin upton for MVP, would you vote for NL where he finishes the year on his merits from both leagues, AL where he began on merits from both leagues, or would you treat NL and AL upton as separate players and could technically have him be the MVP of both leagues (not that it would happen, just curious hypothetically)

Jeff Zimmerman

9:25

Garcia with #16 highest BABIP (min 500 PA) since 1980 and highest since 2013: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=50...

Paul Swydan

9:26

I don't think the last thing you said can be correct.

John

9:27

Think the Indians trade a catcher this offseason and Mejia comes up a few weeks into next season?

Jeff Zimmerman

9:28

My gut says no to messing with a good thing. I think it comes down to the starters trusting him.

Paul Swydan

9:28

I can't see them trading Gomes and rolling with Perez and Mejia, and I can't see Perez having any trade value. My guess is they give Perez two months, and if he still is rocking a sub-.300 OBP they just send him back to Triple-A or let him go if he doesn't have any options lef.t

weezy

9:29

will either of you be on the live chats for the WC games next week? Thanks for doing this style of chat all year.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:30

Not sure. It will probably get decided on Monday

Paul Swydan

9:30

I haven't spoken to Cameron about the chat schedule next week. We'll probably wait until Monday to make that announcement, but rest assured, the Wild Card games will be live blogged, and probably the first couple of crazy LDS days as well.

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

9:30

Has (x)FIP kept pace with the home run surge? Been looking at Chris Archer's stats and the major discrepancy between his fWAR (4.4) and bWAR (0.8) and his home run problem. He'll finish with an ERA north of 4 again despite great K/BB numbers.

Paul Swydan

9:31

Not sure, that's a good question.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:32

FIP is fine, xFIP, maybe not. I've had issues with xFIP for a while as it works for 75% of pitchers and just wrong for others.

Nic

9:32

Curious for your take on the AL MVP race.

Jeff Zimmerman

9:34

I'm biased towards Altuve but it's a crazy race.

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